2023 Genesis Invitational Picks & Odds: Keeping Up With the Action at Riviera Country Club

Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy once again occupied the top spots on the odds board pre-tournament for this week's Genesis Invitational, but the biggest news came from Tiger Woods making his first competitive start of 2023.

Last Updated: Feb 16, 2023 11:46 AM ET Read Time: 4 min

Another heavyweight field is heading to the iconic Riviera Golf Course, but playing headliner this week is tournament host Tiger Woods — who announced he'd be throwing his hat in the ring. 

The Tiger-hosted Genesis Invitational routinely pulls one of the best non-major championship fields on the PGA Tour schedule and with it receiving elevated status in 2023, it's no shock to see almost all of the top players teeing it up.

Where does Tiger stack up in his return? Who are the favorites? Find out in our Genesis Invitational betting preview below, including outright odds, free golf picks, and more. 

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The Genesis Invitational picks and predictions

Sam Burns Top 30 (+110)

There’s a lot to like about Sam Burns this week. He’s rather quietly bounced back from finishing 32nd out of 38 guys at the Sentry with a T11 finish at the Amex and a T6 in Phoenix. 

His game has been extremely well-rounded over that span, gaining strokes in all five areas in each of those two starts. That includes 15.1 strokes gained from tee to green and strong putting figures as well. 

He did miss the weekend here a year ago, but that came during a stretch of three straight missed cuts – which is far from the case this time around. In 2021, he finished solo third and carried a lead into the back nine on Sunday.

This is certainly a big-boy venue but Burns has proven he can go toe-to-toe with the best. 

Adam Scott to finish 39th or better (-120 at bet365)

This line is… rather curious. The Aussie is a course horse at Riviera and his results have remained consistent for nearly two decades, creating a rather straightforward handicap this week. 

Scott has made 14 starts here to the tune of two victories (2005, 2020) and 10 Top-20 finishes (!). Only three times has he finished outside of this 39th or better threshold.  

Similar figures could be applied to his recent form. He finished T21 at the Sony Open most recently and has eight Top 25s in 13 worldwide starts going back to the U.S. Open in June. That stretch includes just two finishes worse than 39th.

Aside from this line being 8-10 places too high, there’s really not much else to say. He’s rested and has a track record here at Riv that could rival just about anyone teeing it up this week.   

Odds to win 2023 The Genesis Invitational

The Genesis Invitational field and favorites

This event didn't need elevated status to pull the Tour's heavy hitters, but with that designated tag, this week's field is bursting at the seams. 

It naturally starts with Jon Rahm, who enters the week a +850 solo favorite over Rory McIlroy (+1,000) after falling just short of another win over the weekend. Following a successful title defense in Phoenix that returned him to World No. 1, Scottie Scheffler sits third on the board at +1,100.

The second tier of stars features Xander Schauffele (+1,600, T10 last week), Justin Thomas (+1,600, solo-fourth), and Tony Finau (+1,800, T14). 2021 champion Max Homa is available at 20/1 with two-time major champion Collin Morikawa the only other listed shorter than 25/1. 

Tiger Woods odds to win The Genesis Invitational

And while there's plenty of star power to go around, all eyes will be on Tiger Woods this week. The 15-time major winner announced his return over the weekend and to say the least, it has the golf world buzzing. 

We haven't seen Tiger tee it up since December when he played in the latest edition of The Match and the PNC Championship. He showed flashes of great golf and maintains that his game is in great shape but he hasn't played a competitive Tour round since a missed cut at St. Andrews last July. 

The odds certainly reflect that, with Tiger opening up at around 130/1 and as high as 150/1 at BetMGM

The Genesis Invitational recent winners and odds history

Let's take a look at some recent Genesis Invitational winners and their closing odds to win:

Year Golfer Closing odds
2022 Joaquin Niemann +5,000
2021 Max Homa +5,000
2020 Adam Scott +3,000
2019 J.B. Holmes +100,000
2018 Bubba Watson (3) +5,000
2017 Dustin Johnson +750
2016 Bubba Watson (2) +2,000
2015 James Hahn OTB
2014 Bubba Watson +2,500
2013 John Merrick OTB
2012 Bill Haas +4,000
2011 Aaron Baddeley +100,000
2010 Steve Stricker +1,200

Odds courtesy of GolfOdds.

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