Stanley Cup Final Game 2 Odds, Injuries & Last Minute News for Oilers vs Panthers

Game 2 of the Stanley Cup Final takes place in Sunrise tonight, and Neil Parker lets you in on what you need to know ahead of making your NHL picks beforehand.

Neil Parker - Analyst at
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Jun 10, 2024 • 14:15 ET • 4 min read
Zach Hyman Edmonton Oilers NHL
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The Edmonton Oilers largely outplayed the Florida Panthers in Game 1 but couldn’t solve Sergei Bobrovsky. He turned away all 32 shots he faced for his third career postseason shutout, and Bobrovsky is now the consensus betting favorite in the Conn Smythe odds

Florida can take a 2-0 series lead with another win tonight, and teams taking a 2-0 lead in the Stanley Cup Final have won the series 91% of the time (49-5) over the past 54 years.

Here’s a look at betting news and insights for Game 2 to help you prepare your NHL picks for the Oilers vs. Panthers matchup on June 10.

Cats stay put

The Florida Panthers aren’t expected to make any lineup changes for Game 2. While it’s rare for a winning lineup to be tinkered with in the postseason, head coach Paul Maurice has the luxury of personnel flexibility up front to make in-game adjustments if things aren’t clicking early.

Forwards Carter Verhaeghe, Vladimir Tarasenko, Anton Lundell, Sam Bennett, and Evan Rodrigues have all moved up and down the lineup during the postseason.

Oil make adjustments

The big news following the Edmonton Oilers' morning skate on Monday was the absence of veteran winger Evander Kane, and defenseman Cody Ceci appearing set to be a healthy scratch for Game 2. Kane said he’s playing Monday, so it’s likely Vincent Desharnais sliding in for Ceci is the only move.

Here are the 5-on-5 fancy stats for Ceci and Desharnais to this point of the playoffs:

Player CF% Adjusted CF% GF% xGF% Adjusted xGF%
Cody Ceci 43.6% 46% 33.3% 36.3% 38%
Vincent Desharnais 47.5% 49.8% 29.4% 52.1% 54%

Underlying numbers paint a prettier picture for Desharnais, but he’s averaged only 14:08 of 5-on-5 minutes per game, so his role is limited. Ceci coming out of the lineup also means it’s likely Desharnais and Brett Kulak will be paired on the No. 1 penalty-kill unit.

The Great One Praises Sasha

Aleksander Barkov continuing to hold McDavid in check will be critical for Florida. Barkov held No. 97 off the scoresheet across 15:52 of shared ice time in Game 1, despite Edmonton generating 75.1% of the expected goals. Additionally, McDavid had a 71.4 Corsi For percentage across the 11:34 of 5-on-5 ice time the two were opposite one another.

McDavid may have been held off the scoresheet, but Barkov had a lot of help from Sergei Bobrovsky. It’ll be bad news for the Panthers if the ice is that tilted against them with No. 97 buzzing in the offensive zone again in Game 2.

Can Big Show Bob do it again?

Whatever way you slice it, Bobrovsky stole Game 1 for Florida. The Panthers were caved in at 5-on-5, with the Oilers driving possession with a dominant 58.6 CF%, and Edmonton also won the expected goals battle at 68.4% at 5-on-5 and 66.9% overall.

Florida was held to a pedestrian 18 shots on 42 attempts, while Edmonton piled up 18 high-danger scoring chances.

This series could turn dire quickly for Edmonton unless the Oilers can solve Bobrovsky in Game 2, and he’s definitely the X Factor for the Cats.

A glance at the odds

The Panthers opened as a -125 favorite to win the Stanley Cup Final and moved to -130 ahead of Game 1 through BetMGM. Florida is now trading at -250 at the shop to win it all.

Bettors are backing the visiting Oilers in Game 2 with 62% of the betting handle and 57% of the tickets on the Edmonton moneyline. This is the opposite of the Covers consensus on our matchup page, with 64% of picks on the Panthers.

Additionally, 56% of the betting tickets and 87% of the handle is on Florida to win the Stanley Cup through BetMGM.

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