Sebastian Aho put forth a big offensive performance for the Carolina Hurricanes in their series opener, scoring a goal while constantly threatening Sergei Bobrovsky around the net.
With the Hurricanes’ backs quickly up against the wall, I expect their top-line center to have another productive outing in Game 2.
Let’s take a look at my favorite ways to bet on Sebastian Aho odds on May 22.
Sebastian Aho player prop picks
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
Sebastian Aho best bet
Sebastian Aho anytime goal (-111 at Sports Interaction)
Sebastian Aho was a force for the Carolina Hurricanes in the opening game of this series. He recorded nine shot attempts, six shots on goal, and five scoring chances. Those are numbers that nobody on either side of the ice bested.
Aho’s shot volume will continue to be there in Game 2. He's generated shots at a much higher rate in Carolina all season long, averaging 2.9 per game while clearing in 59% of home dates.
Conversely, Aho averaged just 2.3 shots on the road and finished with three or more at only a 39% clip. Home ice allows him to avoid the most difficult matchup each night, which is especially important when the opponent features Aleksander Barkov and Gustav Forsling on its shutdown units.
Aho’s home success has translated to the playoffs. He’s upped the ante a little bit, averaging 3.2 shots on goal per game while going over his total in four of six — including three of the last four.
Aho is skating on a stacked top line alongside Andrei Svechnikov and Seth Jarvis. He’s also on the No. 1 power play unit and is a threat to go the other way and create offense in shorthanded situations.
The Hurricanes will desperately be looking to avoid falling into a 0-2 hole going back to Florida, and Aho’s usage should reflect that.
Sebastian Aho same-game parlay
Sebastian Aho 3+ shots
Brent Burns 2+ shots
Hurricanes +1.5
Brent Burns only produces 1.4 shots per game in the playoffs, but it’s not for a lack of opportunity. He's averaged 5.6 shot attempts and recorded at least five attempts in eight straight games.
Burns was consistently productive when piling up that kind of volume in the regular season, posting a 76% hit rate in games he generated five attempts or more.
Blocked shots are more prevalent in the playoffs, but there’s no reason to expect Burns to struggle clearing this bar with such strong volume.
Lastly, I'm backing Aho and the Hurricanes to keep this game within a goal. They're one of the best defensive teams in the league and, playoffs included, are 36-10-1 in Carolina this season.
Getting both games in Carolina is a Herculean task for anybody, let alone a Panthers team that just played in a seven-game series and only had one day off to prepare for the series.
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