The Montreal Canadiens welcome the Toronto Maple Leafs to the Bell Centre for an Atlantic Division clash on Tuesday, March 10.
These two teams couldn’t be headed in more opposite directions, which is why my Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens predictions and NHL picks call for Montreal to pull away tonight.
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens prediction
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens best bet: Canadiens -1.5 (+140)
The Toronto Maple Leafs are reeling in a 4-11-4 stretch while allowing the most goals per game (4.26) and ranking 29th in Corsi For percentage (CF%) and 28th in expected goals percentage (xGF%) at 5-on-5.
This is a soft matchup for the Montreal Canadiens.
It hasn’t been all sunshine and roses for the Habs, with Montreal checking in 26th in CF% and 29th in xGF% at 5-on-5 during the same stretch.
However, the Canadiens have outscored their problems, ranking second in goals per game (4.06) and third in goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5.
Toronto won’t keep pace tonight.
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Maple Leafs vs Canadiens same-game parlay
This is a favorable matchup for the Montreal offense, and Habs winger Cole Caufield has marked the scoresheet in four of his past five games to climb to a high-end 3.4 points per 60 minutes.
Defenseman Lane Hutson has recorded two or more shots in consecutive games. Add Hutson quarterbacking the No. 1 power-play unit against a Toronto side allowing the most shots per game (33.8) during the noted 19-game stretch, and I’m expecting the star blueliner to clear this total again.
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens SGP
- Canadiens -1.5
- Cole Caufield Over 0.5 points
- Lane Hutson Over 1.5 shots
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens odds
- Moneyline: Maple Leafs +145 | Canadiens -170
- Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 (-160) | Canadiens -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-120) | Under 6.5 (+100)
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens trend
The Montreal Canadiens have covered the puck line in 17 of their last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 26% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens.
How to watch Maple Leafs vs Canadiens
| Location | Bell Centre, Montreal, QC |
| Date | Tuesday, March 10, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet |
Maple Leafs vs Canadiens latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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