Golden Knights vs Red Wings Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Vegas and Detroit are about to light the lamp in the Motor City this evening.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Mar 4, 2026 • 09:57 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 7 hrs
VEG
32 %
DET
68 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o5.5 (-130)
Read Analysis
ack Eichel (9) carries there puck up ice during the first period against the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. ack Eichel (9) carries there puck up ice during the first period against the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center.

The Vegas Golden Knights have consistently played in high-scoring games on the second leg of back-to-backs.

Given the struggles of Adin Hill in net, my Golden Knights vs. Red Wings predictions expect the goals to continue flowing in Detroit.

Let’s break down my NHL picks for Wednesday, March 4.

Golden Knights vs Red Wings prediction

Golden Knights vs Red Wings best bet: Over 5.5 (-130)

Adin Hill is projected to start for the Vegas Golden Knights, which is a recipe for goals. He's performed miserably, posting an .858 SV% through 14 appearances.

Things aren’t improving in the least. Hill has conceded at least three goals in seven of nine starts in 2026 and ranks 65th among 66 eligible netminders in Goals Saved Above Expected (-11.83) along the way.

Vegas will need to outscore its problems, and it's capable of doing so. The Knights have averaged 4.11 goals per game in the second leg of back-to-backs this season.

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Golden Knights vs Red Wings same-game parlay

Jack Eichel has been a menace in back-to-backs this season, scoring eight goals over nine games. He generates a ton of his volume from the slot, and the Detroit Red Wings rank 30th in slot shots allowed.

Dylan Larkin has found the net in 44% of his games against Bottom 16 teams in goals against. He’s now skating on a line with the pass-happy Patrick Kane, which should lead to more shooting opportunities.

Golden Knights vs Red Wings SGP

  • Over 5.5
  • Jack Eichel anytime goal scorer
  • Dylan Larkin anytime goal scorer

Golden Knights vs Red Wings odds

  • Moneyline: Golden Knights +110 | Red Wings -130
  • Puck Line: Golden Knights +1.5 (-220) | Red Wings -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (+110)

Golden Knights vs Red Wings trend

Six of the nine games Vegas has played in back-to-back situations featured at least seven goals. Find more NHL betting trends for Golden Knights vs. Red Wings.

How to watch Golden Knights vs Red Wings

Location Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Date Wednesday, March 4, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV SCRIPPS, FDSN-DET

Golden Knights vs Red Wings latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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