Plus-money props headline a juicy Week 11 board, and there’s no shortage of angles to attack.
A 2+ touchdown scorer sits in a dream matchup against a defense that’s been leaking points, an MVP hopeful is positioned for 2+ passing scores, and a rookie back looks set to handle the bulk of the workload with injuries clearing his path.
It’s a perfect mix of upside, value, and opportunity for bettors looking for plus-money NFL picks this week.
NFL Week 11 Predictions: Best plus money bets
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Jaylen Warren |
2+ touchdowns | +380 |
 Josh Allen |
2+ passing touchdowns | +116 |
 RJ Harvey |
100+ rushing + receiving yards | +260 |
Jaylen Warren 2+ touchdowns
I had to go back to a 2+ TD play here after Kyren Williams put seven units in the account with his couple of scores in Week 10. This week, I'm fading the Bengals more than I'm backing the Pittsburgh offense.
Jaylen Warren is primed for a BIG game Sunday vs. the Bengals. They were off last week, but had given up 117 points across their previous three games, including a 33-31 loss to the Steelers.
In that game, Warren took 16 of 19 running back carries and added four catches for 158 total yards. He got blocked from the end zone, but that could change this week if the Steelers can move the ball again.
All the red-zone carries are Warren's, and everyone and their mom is scoring vs. the Bengals. Big Warren day coming.
Josh Allen 2+ passing touchdowns
I know things are bad for the Bills right now, but I didn't know it was this bad where an MVP frontrunner is plus money for two or more passing TDs.
I understand the passing game is stalled and the loss of Dalton Kincaid hurts. I'm also aware that the weather won't be warm and breezy at Orchard Park.
However, with the Bills down in the division and the K.C. win seeming like a lifetime ago, Josh Allen will be at his best on Sunday. 2+ passing TDs, a prop he has hit in five of his last seven games, is going on the card with confidence.
There are prices I will always chase, and Josh Allen Over 1.5 TDs at even money or better is one of them.
RJ Harvey 100+ rushing + receiving yards
The door is wide-open for rookie running back RJ Harvey to take the lead role and run with it.
It's a tough matchup vs. the Chiefs, but JK Dobbins didn't practice Thursday and is questionable. Harvey could play a ton of snaps, and because of his skills in the passing game, he won't come off the field with any type of game script.
The RB has more receiving TDs over his last four games, with three compared to one rushing score. The ceiling for the receiving game is 50 yards, and 12-15 carries with three receptions is a pretty decent projection that could be bigger.
There have been reports that Dobbins could move to the IR, and the only back to take snaps away from the rookie is Tyler Badie, so he is safe. THE BLITZ is projecting 24 receiving yards on 3.03 catches and 60 rushing yards on 14 attempts.
The 80+ total yards is +116, but I'm getting aggressive and hoping for an explosive play or two. Harvey has two carries of 40+ yards this year, which leads his team, and only three other backs have more.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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