Every NFL season delivers its share of jaw-dropping stats, but there’s something different about a true milestone.
The round numbers. The legacy implications. The creeping sense that you’re watching history, not just highlights. Whether it’s a Hall of Fame lock inching toward immortality or a quietly consistent vet finally joining an elite club, these moments matter – and we’re tracking every one of them.
This page is your all-in-one hub for the NFL’s most meaningful career chases. From Derrick Henry’s march toward 100 rushing touchdowns to Travis Kelce climbing the all-time tight end leaderboard, we’ll keep you updated weekly with who's on the cusp, how far they have to go, and when they might get there. No fluff, no filler – just the stuff that ends up in Canton.
We'll update this tracker regularly as new data rolls in. Whether you’re a die-hard stathead, a legacy chaser, or just want to know when your favorite player is about to enter the record books, this is the space to watch.
All-Time NFL Passing Yards List
(Active players in bold)
| Rank | Name | Yards | Career |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Brady | 89,214 | 2000-22 |
| 2 | Drew Brees | 80,358 | 2001-20 |
| 3 | Peyton Manning | 71,940 | 1998-2015 |
| 4 | Brett Favre | 71,838 | 1991-2010 |
| 5 | Ben Roethlisberger | 64,088 | 2004-21 |
| 6 | Philip Rivers | 63,440 | 2004-20 |
| 7 | Aaron Rodgers | 62,952 | 2005-24 |
| 8 | Matt Ryan | 62,792 | 2008-22 |
| 9 | Dan Marino | 61,361 | 1983-99 |
| 10 | Matthew Stafford | 59,809 | 2009-24 |
Aaron Rodgers ended 2024 with 3,897 passing yards, bringing his career total to 62,952 yards, which places him seventh on the NFL's all-time passing list. With just under 500 yards needed to surpass Philip Rivers (63,440 yards) for the sixth spot, Rodgers is poised to climb higher in the rankings, provided he continues his career.
Matthew Stafford enters the 2025 season with 59,809 career passing yards, ranking him tenth all-time. With just 191 yards needed to reach the 60,000-yard milestone, Stafford is on the cusp of joining an elite group of quarterbacks. Surpassing Dan Marino (61,361 yards) for the ninth spot would require an additional 1,553 yards – a virtual lock, health willing.
Notable Passing Yards Milestones
| Name | Milestone | Needed | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 60,000 yards | 191 yards | 🔒 Big ol' lock |
| Russell Wilson | 50,000 yards | 3,865 yards | 🤞 Optimism in NY? |
| Joe Flacco | 50,000 yards | 4,303 yards | ❌ Extremely unlikely |
| Andy Dalton | 40,000 yards | 500 yards | 🎱 Ask again later? |
| Jared Goff | 40,000 yards | 4,942 yards | 🎯 He's got a shot |
| Josh Allen | 30,000 yards | 3,566 yards | ✅ Looking good |
| Baker Mayfield | 30,000 yards | 5,168 yards | 📉 Virtually no chance |
Passing Yards Milestones: AI Projections
Matthew Stafford – 60,000 Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford is sitting just 191 yards shy of 60,000 career passing yards, a milestone that cements him among the NFL's statistical elite. Barring injury in training camp, he should cross that number in the first half of Week 1, especially given his integral role in Sean McVay's offense and the trust he's built with a strong receiving corps. This is about as close to a lock as any non-health-related projection gets. Chance: 99% (–9900 odds)
Russell Wilson – 50,000 Passing Yards
Wilson enters 2025 needing 3,865 yards to hit the 50,000 milestone, and he’ll open the season as the starting quarterback for the New York Giants. With Daniel Jones no longer in the picture, the job is clearly his – but the Giants are in transition, and Wilson hasn't posted a 4,000-yard season since 2020. He’ll need to stay healthy and get more out of a middling receiving corps than anyone did last year. Chance: 55% (+122 odds)
Joe Flacco – 50,000 Passing Yards
Flacco sits 4,303 yards away from 50,000 — and he’s currently without a starting job. After a feel-good comeback run in 2024, his best shot at reaching the milestone in 2025 is if a contending team suffers a major QB injury. Even then, he'd likely need double-digit starts to get there. Without a clear path to playing time, this chase feels more like a long goodbye than a historic climb. Chance: 10% (+900 odds)
Andy Dalton – 40,000 Passing Yards
Dalton needs just 500 yards to reach 40,000 for his career — a number well within reach if he sees the field at all. The issue, of course, is opportunity. He remains a backup heading into 2025 and would need an injury or a complete meltdown in front of him to get meaningful snaps. Still, 500 yards is only two decent starts or a few relief outings away. Chance: 30% (+233 odds)
Jared Goff – 40,000 Passing Yards
Goff enters 2025 needing 4,942 yards to hit 40,000 — a number he’s never reached in a single season. That said, he came close last year and just signed a massive extension to remain the face of a Lions offense that keeps trending up. He’d need a full 17-game slate and a small jump in volume to get there, but it’s not out of the question. Chance: 35% (+185 odds)
Josh Allen – 30,000 Passing Yards
Allen enters the 2025 season needing 3,566 yards to reach 30,000 — a mark he’s hit in four straight seasons. Even with Stefon Diggs gone, Allen remains the engine of Buffalo’s offense and will continue to pile up volume through the air and on the ground. Barring injury, this is one of the safest milestone bets on the board. Chance: 90% (–900 odds)
Baker Mayfield – 30,000 Passing Yards
Mayfield needs 5,168 yards to reach 30,000 — a number he’s never come close to hitting in a single season. But he’s coming off arguably the best year of his career and has job security in Tampa after signing a new extension. The Bucs would need to open things up even more for him to hit this total, but it’s not entirely out of reach with a 17-game season and continued efficiency. Chance: 25% (+300 odds)
All-Time NFL Passing Touchdowns List
(Active players in bold)
| Rank | Name | Touchdowns | Career |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Brady | 649 | 2000-22 |
| 2 | Drew Brees | 571 | 2001-20 |
| 3 | Peyton Manning | 539 | 1998-2015 |
| 4 | Brett Favre | 508 | 1991-2010 |
| 5 | Aaron Rodgers | 503 | 2005-24 |
| 6 | Philip Rivers | 421 | 2004-20 |
| 7 | Dan Marino | 420 | 1983-99 |
| 8 | Ben Roethlisberger | 418 | 2004-21 |
| 9 | Matt Ryan | 381 | 2008-22 |
| 10 | Matthew Stafford | 377 | 2009-24 |
Aaron Rodgers sits at 503 career touchdown passes, just five behind Brett Favre for fourth all-time. Whether he gets there depends entirely on whether he plays again — and after being released by the Jets following an injury-derailed stint, that’s an open question. If he signs with a contender and starts even a handful of games, passing Favre feels inevitable. If not, his final mark may sit frustratingly close to the man he once replaced in Green Bay.
Matthew Stafford currently ranks 10th all-time with 377 touchdown passes, but he’s just five scores shy of passing Matt Ryan and 42 away from overtaking Ben Roethlisberger. If Stafford plays a full 2025 campaign in L.A., jumping to at least eighth all-time is realistic. While reaching that ranking would require a big season – something he hasn’t done since 2021 – it’s still in play if the Rams' offense takes another step forward.
Notable Passing Touchdowns Milestones
| Name | Milestone | Needed | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford | 400 TDs | 23 TDs | 🤷♂️ Can he get there? |
| Kirk Cousins | 300 TDs | 12 TDs | ❓Questions abound |
| Patrick Mahomes | 250 TDs | 5 TDs | 🙄 Come on |
| Josh Allen | 200 TDs | 5 TDs | 🙄 Come on (also) |
| Baker Mayfield | 200 TDs | 29 TDs | 💪 Liking his chances |
| Lamar Jackson | 200 TDs | 34 TDs | ✨ Big new baseline |
Passing Touchdowns Milestones: AI Projections
Matthew Stafford – 400 Passing Touchdowns
Stafford heads into 2025 with 377 career touchdown passes — 23 shy of the 400-club, where legends live. It’s a big ask this late in his career, but not impossible. If the Rams’ offense hums and Stafford stays upright for 17 games, he’s got a fighter’s chance. That said, 400 likely demands one of his best seasons in years — and in a loaded NFC, that’s no small task. Chance: 30% (+233 odds)
Kirk Cousins – 300 Passing Touchdowns
Just 12 touchdowns stand between Cousins and a tidy 300 — a mark that once looked like a lock. Then came Michael Penix Jr. and a late-season benching that complicated everything. If Cousins holds off the rookie and opens the season under center, this gets done fast. If he doesn’t? He’ll be one headset closer to the FOX booth than the Falcons’ huddle. Chance: 60% (+150 odds)
Patrick Mahomes – 250 Passing Touchdowns
Mahomes is at 245 and counting — and that count is moving fast. Even in a so-called “down year,” he tossed 26 in 2024 and kept the Chiefs rolling. He needs just five to hit 250, which he’ll likely handle before the leaves turn in Arrowhead. When you’re this good, this early, round numbers just show up on the way to Canton. Chance: 95% (–1900 odds)
Josh Allen – 200 Passing Touchdowns
Allen enters 2025 with 195 career TDs and a whole lot of velocity aimed at 200. He tossed 28 last year, won MVP, and remains the axis of everything Buffalo does offensively. Even without Diggs and Amari Cooper, Allen’s arm (and legs) will keep this train moving – and five more touchdowns should come in no time. Chance: 95% (–1900 odds)
Baker Mayfield – 200 Passing Touchdowns
After a rollercoaster early career, Mayfield found his fastball again in Tampa — and now he enters 2025 with 171 touchdowns, needing 29 more for 200. That’s a lot, but not outrageous for a guy coming off a 28-TD season and playing for a team that just paid him. It’s no gimme, but with another strong year, Baker’s back in the statistical conversation. Chance: 80% (–400 odds)
Lamar Jackson – 200 Passing Touchdowns
Lamar heads into 2025 with 166 career passing touchdowns – and he just threw 41 of them last year. He’s never been more dangerous from the pocket, and Baltimore finally gave him the keys to a full-throttle aerial attack. Thirty-four more TDs is ambitious, but if 2024 was the new normal, then 200 is a matter of when, not if. Chance: 85% (–567 odds)
All-Time NFL Rushing Yards List
(Active players in bold)
| Rank | Player | Yards | Career |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emmitt Smith | 18,355 | 1990-2004 |
| 2 | Walter Payton | 16,726 | 1975-87 |
| 3 | Frank Gore | 16,000 | 2005-20 |
| 4 | Barrry Sanders | 15,269 | 1989-98 |
| 5 | Adrian Peterson | 14,918 | 2007-21 |
| 6 | Curtis Martin | 14,101 | 1995-2005 |
| 7 | LaDainian Tomlinson | 13,684 | 2001-11 |
| 8 | Jerome Bettis | 13,662 | 1993-2005 |
| 9 | Eric Dickerson | 13,259 | 1983-93 |
| 10 | Tony Dorsett | 12,739 | 1977-88 |
| 19 | Derrick Henry | 11,423 | 2016-24 |
Henry enters 2025 with 11,423 career rushing yards, sitting at 19th on the NFL’s all-time list. He needs just 1,317 yards to crack the top 10, which would leave him within striking range of the next four names on the list. If he comes anywhere close to his career-best 1,921-yard showing in 2024 – he’s not just entering rarefied air, he’s stomping through it in cleats. The question now isn’t if Henry makes history – it’s how high he can climb before it’s over.
Notable Rushing Yards Milestones
| Name | Milestone | Needed | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry | 12,000 yards | 577 yards | 🔋 Plenty in the tank |
| Ezekiel Elliott | 10,000 yards | 870 yards | ⏳ Time's running out |
| Joe Mixon | 8,000 yards | 572 yards | 🏥 A lock if healthy |
| Saquon Barkley | 8,000 yards | 784 yards | 💨 Why stop at 8K? |
| Aaron Jones | 8,000 yards | 982 yards | 🌤️ Conditions are good |
| Josh Jacobs | 8,000 yards | 1,126 yards | 🛣️ Has a clear path |
| Nick Chubb | 8,000 yards | 1,157 yards | 🛬 Landing spot coming? |
Rushing Yards Milestones: AI Projections
Derrick Henry – 12,000 Rushing Yards
Henry enters 2025 with 11,423 career rushing yards, needing just 577 more to reach the 12,000-yard milestone. Coming off a stellar 2024 season with the Ravens (1,921 yards, 16 TDs), he showed he’s still a punishing force – and with a new two-year deal, he’ll remain the engine of Baltimore’s ground game. Expect him to climb quickly. Chance: 90% (–900 odds)
Ezekiel Elliott – 10,000 Rushing Yards
Elliott enters 2025 with 9,130 career rushing yards, needing 870 more to reach 10,000. But after just 226 yards on a reserve role with the Chargers last season – and currently unsigned – he’ll need both a new team and a meaningful workload. Time’s running out. Chance: 25% (+300 odds)
Joe Mixon – 8,000 Rushing Yards
Mixon sits at 7,428 rushing yards entering 2025, just 572 short of 8,000. He looked right at home in Houston last year with over 1,000 yards and double-digit touchdowns. If he stays healthy, this milestone is a near lock. Chance: 80% (–400 odds)
Saquon Barkley – 8,000 Rushing Yards
Barkley enters 2025 with 7,216 rushing yards and a new ring after a 2,000-yard season led the Eagles to a Super Bowl title. He needs 784 more to hit 8,000 – and if 2024 is any indication, he may blow past it by Thanksgiving. Chance: 85% (–567 odds)
Aaron Jones – 8,000 Rushing Yards
Now with Minnesota, Jones sits at 7,078 career rushing yards – needing 922 more to hit 8,000. He posted a 1,100-yard season in 2024 despite turning 30, and still looks quick in space. If his body holds up, the number is well within reach. Chance: 75% (–300 odds)
Josh Jacobs – 8,000 Rushing Yards
Jacobs has 6,874 rushing yards entering 2025 and just logged a career-best season in Green Bay with 1,329 yards and 15 touchdowns. He needs 1,126 more to reach 8,000 – a stretch, but well within his range if he stays on the field. Chance: 80% (–400 odds)
Nick Chubb – 8,000 Rushing Yards
Chubb sits at 6,843 rushing yards but missed most of 2024 due to injury. He needs 1,157 more to reach 8,000 – and while his track record says he’s capable, his health status entering training camp is still unclear. The milestone may have to wait. Chance: 30% (+233 odds)
All-Time NFL Rushing Touchdowns List
(Active players in bold)
| Rank | Player | Touchdowns | Career |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emmitt Smith | 164 | 1990-2004 |
| 2 | LaDainian Tomlinson | 145 | 2001-11 |
| 3 | Marcus Allen | 123 | 1982-97 |
| 4 | Adrian Peterson | 120 | 2007-21 |
| 5 | Walter Payton | 110 | 1975-87 |
| T6 | Jim Brown | 106 | 1957-65 |
| T6 | Derrick Henry | 106 | 2016-24 |
| 8 | John Riggins | 104 | 1971-85 |
| T9 | Shaun Alexander | 100 | 2000-08 |
| T9 | Marshall Faulk | 100 | 1994-2005 |
Derrick Henry enters 2025 tied with Jim Brown for 6th all-time in rushing touchdowns (106) – a historic perch alongside one of the game's true icons. Just five more scores would move him past Walter Payton into the top five, solidifying his legacy as one of the most dominant power backs the league has ever seen.
All-Time NFL Receiving Yards List
(Active players in bold)
| Rank | Player | Yards | Career |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerry Rice | 22,895 | 1985-2004 |
| 2 | Larry Fitzgerald | 17,492 | 2004-20 |
| 3 | Terrell Owens | 15,934 | 1996-2010 |
| 4 | Randy Moss | 15,292 | 1998-2012 |
| 5 | Isaac Bruce | 15,208 | 1994-2009 |
| 6 | Tony Gonzalez | 15,127 | 1997-2013 |
| 7 | Tim Brown | 14,934 | 1988-2004 |
| 8 | Steve Smith Sr. | 14,731 | 2001-16 |
| 9 | Marvin Harrison | 14,580 | 1996-2008 |
| 10 | Reggie Wayne | 14,345 | 2001-14 |
| 21 | DeAndre Hopkins | 12,965 | 2013-24 |
DeAndre Hopkins enters 2025 with 12,965 career receiving yards, sitting just outside the top 20 all-time – but not for long. He needs fewer than 300 yards to crack that tier, and just 1,381 to leap into the top 10, surpassing Reggie Wayne. While his days as a WR1 are behind him, Hopkins remains a reliable red-zone and possession threat, and another productive season could vault him into elite historical company.
Notable Receiving Yards Milestones
| Name | Milestone | Needed | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Hopkins | 13,000 yards | 35 yards | 🥇 Set for 14K gold |
| Mike Evans | 13,000 yards | 316 yards | 🚀 Full steam ahead |
| Travis Kelce | 13,000 yards | 849 yards | 🥱 Is the energy there? |
| Davante Adams | 12,000 yards | 156 yards | 🧪 Volume could mean 13K |
| Keenan Allen | 12,000 yards | 726 yards | 🪫 Battery running low |
| Tyreek Hill | 12,000 yards | 902 yards | ⚡ He still has wheels |
| Stefon Diggs | 11,000 yards | 509 yards | 📅 Ahead of schedule? |
| Amari Cooper | 11,000 yards | 967 yards | 🎯 Who's his QB? |
| Brandin Cooks | 10,000 yards | 468 yards | 🎢 Expect a wild ride |
Receiving Yards Milestones: AI Projections
DeAndre Hopkins – 13,000 Receiving Yards
Hopkins enters 2025 with 12,965 career receiving yards – just 35 shy of 13,000. While no longer the focal point of his offense, he'll be a strong option in Baltimore and should get there within a game or two. Chance: 99% (–9900 odds)
Mike Evans – 13,000 Receiving Yards
Evans has 12,684 yards entering 2025 and is coming off his 10th straight 1,000-yard season. Needing just 316 more, the milestone is well within reach – and likely well before midseason unless injuries interfere. Chance: 90% (–900 odds)
Travis Kelce – 13,000 Receiving Yards
Kelce enters 2025 with 12,151 career receiving yards, needing 849 more to reach the 13,000-yard milestone. After recording 823 yards in 2024 – his lowest total since 2015 – he's aiming for a strong comeback. But at 35, with a reduced role anticipated in Kansas City's offense, reaching 13,000 yards is uncertain. Chance: 40% (+150 odds)
Davante Adams – 12,000 Receiving Yards
With 11,844 yards through 2024, Adams needs just 156 to reach 12K. He’s now part of an explosive Rams offense and remains a high-volume target. If he avoids injury, this milestone will be off the board fast. Chance: 90% (–900 odds)
Keenan Allen – 12,000 Receiving Yards
Allen enters 2025 with 11,274 yards and a shot at 12K, but it’ll require a full healthy season – something that’s eluded him lately. If he can string together 15+ games, he’s got a real shot. But that's far from a sure thing – and he still needs a team to play for. Chance: 45% (+122 odds)
Tyreek Hill – 12,000 Receiving Yards
Hill has 11,098 career yards and needs 902 more to hit 12K. That’s a tall ask for most – but not for Hill, who still leads the NFL in explosiveness and should see plenty of volume. One more big year locks it up. Chance: 80% (–400 odds)
Stefon Diggs – 11,000 Receiving Yards
Diggs enters 2025 with 10,491 yards and needs just 509 more – something he’s hit in every full season of his career. And while he appears to be ahead of schedule in his return from a knee injury, the bigger question is whether a move to New England will translate into sufficient volume. Chance: 75% (–300 odds)
Amari Cooper – 11,000 Receiving Yards
Cooper sits at 10,033 yards – just 967 shy of 11K. That’s well within reach if he stays on the field and lands with a team whose quarterback opts to include him in the offense. A borderline coin-flip depending on usage. Chance: 50% (+100 odds)
Brandin Cooks – 10,000 Receiving Yards
Cooks has 9,532 yards entering 2025 and needs 468 more for 10K. His role in New Orleans isn’t huge, but he’s still involved enough to chip away. If he stays healthy, he’s got a decent shot. QB play will matter, though. Chance: 60% (-150 odds)
