Next NFL Head Coach to Be Fired Odds: Floating Down the River

We are through 14 weeks of the NFL season, and Brandon Staley is the latest NFL head coach to be shown his walking papers. Who will be the next coach to suffer a similar fate? I break down the odds for the next NFL coach fired below.

Chris Vasile - Publishing Editor at
Chris Vasile • Publishing Editor
Dec 15, 2023 • 16:07 ET • 4 min read
Ron Rivera Washington Commanders NFL
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First, it was Josh McDaniels. Then it was Frank Reich. Today, Brandon Staley. 

The Los Angeles Chargers were left with no choice but to relieve Staley of his duties after an embarrassing 63-21 loss at the hands of the Las Vegas Raiders. 

Which team will follow suit and relieve their head coach of their duties? NFL odds suggest the Washington Commanders, but you'd be foolish to rule out the Atlanta Falcons and Arthur Smith. 

I break down the odds and for the next NFL head coach fired below. 

First NFL head coach fired odds

Coach Odds
Commanders Ron Rivera  -300
Saints Dennis Allen  +400
Patriots Bill Belichick +900
Bears Matt Eberflus  +1,600
Saints Arthur Smith +3,300

Odds as of December 15, 2023

Favorites to be the next NFL head coach fired

Ron Rivera (-300)

How about those Washington Commanders, eh? 

After starting the season 2-0 and letting Super Bowl parade routes creep into their minds, the team has been abysmal. 

They are 2-9 since and every fiber of my being is wondering why (how the hell) Ron Rivera still has a job. 

He brings nothing to the team from an Xs and Ox perspective and he's certainly not a player motivator as we've seen more flat efforts from the Commanders than one can shake a stick at. 

He's the rightful favorite to be fired next, but I just want to know what's taking so long? 

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Arthur Smith (+3,300)

Usually, these blurbs are reserved for the top three favorites in the market, but I'm not sold on Arthur Smith retaining his job into next season if the Atlanta Falcons miss the playoffs. 

Sure, they are 6-7 and currently in the hunt for the AFC South title (that's a story for another day), but I can't help but think the Falcons would be 9-4 with anyone else on the sidelines. 

His unrelenting desire to not give his best players the football every chance he gets drives me nuts and the one or two questionable decisions he makes every week backfires more often than not. 

With the talent the Falcons possess on offense, coupled with a Top 10 defense, the Falcons deserve better than Smith calling the shots. 

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