The New York Jets will go overseas looking for their first win of the year as they face off against the Denver Broncos in London on Sunday.
Both teams have reason to believe they’ll find success on the ground in this game, which is why I’m targeting both Breece Hall and JK Dobbins in my Broncos vs. Jets predictions.
Let’s look at the best player props for this European showdown in my NFL picks for Sunday, October 12.
Broncos vs Jets props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Breece Hall |
Over 68.5 rushing yards | -114 |
 JK Dobbins |
Over 68.5 rushing yards | -114 |
| Bo Nix |
Over 226.5 passing yards | -114 |
Prop bet #1: Breece Hall Over 68.5 rushing yards
The New York Jets may be in the midst of a terrible season, but running back Breece Hall remains productive. The 24-year-old out of Iowa State has yet to find the endzone, but has picked up 351 yards in five games, going for over 100 yards twice and compiling at least 80 yards in each of his last two contests.
In a New York offense that is having trouble getting anything going through the air, leaning on Hall makes a lot of sense. And while teams haven’t run the ball a whole lot on Denver, they’ve found some success when they’ve given it a try. The Denver Broncos are allowing 4.1 yards per rushing attempt, a solid but unspectacular number that gives the Jets something to target.
Hall has gotten 14 carries in each of his last two games, and has paid the Jets off with 6.9 yards per carry in that stretch. It’s clear that New York wants to get him the ball as much as possible, as he has also caught at least four passes in each of the last three weeks. That suggests to me that Hall’s steady diet of runs will continue Sunday, allowing him to hit the Over.
Prop bet #2: JK Dobbins Over 68.5 rushing yards
As good as Hall has been for the Jets, JK Dobbins has done even more for the Broncos, and has been far more consistent with his production. Dobbins has 402 yards and four scores on the year, picking up four touchdowns in the process. Importantly for prop bettors, nobody has held Dobbins to less than 63 yards, and he’s been at 76+ yards on the ground in each of the last four weeks.
There’s no reason to think that will change against New York. Teams have run the ball a lot against the Jets – not a big surprise, as New York is typically playing from behind – averaging 4.5 yards per rush and 140.4 yards per game on the ground.
I’m not sure how heavily the Broncos will feature the run, but Dobbins should get his typical usage at an absolute minimum. And against a Jets team that isn’t exactly shutting down opposing backs, that should be more than enough to hit the Over on a total of just 68.5 yards.
Prop bet #3: Bo Nix Over 226.5 passing yards
If you were worried that my first two picks meant both teams would be running the ball over and over, don’t panic: the Broncos should be able to throw the ball against the Jets, too. New York’s passing numbers don’t look dreadful simply because teams haven’t had to throw a ton against them, but opposing quarterbacks have a rating of 113.2, one of the worst marks in the NFL.
That should be music to the ears of Bo Nix. Over the last two weeks, Denver head coach Sean Payton has left the ball in Nix’s hands, as the young quarterback has thrown 81 passes in those games. Nix even went 29-for-42 for 326 yards against the Bengals despite a comfortable 28-3 win for the Broncos.
That tells me that Payton will let Nix throw the ball when the matchup is favorable, and that applies this week, as the Denver receiving corps should find success – especially if Sauce Gardner continues to struggle in coverage. Both Nix and Dobbins have been able to get plenty of yardage to hit their totals in the past two weeks, and I expect the same kind of all-around success against the Jets on Sunday.
Bet on the NFL at FanDuel!
Make your NFL bets at FanDuel, America's No. 1 sportsbook! Sign up now and by placing $5 on your first bet, you could win $300 in bonus bets if your wager is a winner!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
