Washington State vs Oregon Picks and Predictions: Can Wazzu Cover In Look-ahead Spot For Ducks?

The plan is simple for Oregon: win out and earn a CFP berth. It's easier said than done, however, starting with a date this week against Washington State as two-TD favorites — do our college football betting picks dare fade the Ducks at home?

Last Updated: Nov 12, 2021 8:40 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Washington State Cougars college football
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The Oregon Ducks sit at No. 3 in the most recent College Football Playoff Rankings. The task at hand is this: Win out, and they’re in.

Sounds simple in theory, but it may prove more difficult on the football field. The Washington State Cougars have played spoiler as college football betting underdogs numerous times already this season, and they've covered in 10 of the last 11 meetings between these two schools.

Will the Cougars cannibalize the Pac-12’s playoff chances, or will the Ducks continue their conference dominance?

Check out our picks and predictions for Washington State vs. Oregon on Saturday, November 13 to find out.

Washington State vs Oregon odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

The line has remained steady since the opener at most books of Oregon -14. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.

Washington State vs Oregon picks

Picks made on 11/12/2021 at 8:14 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Washington State vs Oregon game info

Location: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR
Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET

Washington State vs Oregon betting preview


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

Washington State: Renard Bell WR (Out), Brandon Gray WR (Out), Armauni Archie CB (Out).
Oregon: CJ Verdell RB (Out), Sean Dollars RB (Out), Jackson Powers-Johnson OL (Out), Bram Walden OL (Out), Ryan Walk OL (Out), Cam McCormick TE (Out), Patrick Herbert TE (Out), Keyon Ware-Hudson DL (Questionable), Jackson LaDuke LB (Questionable), Justin Flowe LB (Out), Dru Mathis LB (Doubtful), Bennett Williams S (Out), Steve Stephens IV (Doubtful).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall. Find more NCAA betting trends for Washington State vs. Oregon.

Washington State vs Oregon predictions

Oregon is the better football team in a vacuum. It's 8-1 and a CFP contender, while Washington State is 5-4 and playing for an interim head coach. Now that we’ve established that, let’s examine a variety of factors that makes taking the points with the underdog Cougars an appealing proposition this week.

First off, Washington State has been an undervalued team in the betting market all year long, sitting at 6-3 ATS. Rather than fold after the ousting of head coach Nick Rolovich, the team has responded well under interim coach Jake Dickert. In two games sans Rolovich, the Cougars have an upset win over Arizona State and a two-point loss to a good BYU team.

Secondly, Oregon has been overvalued in the betting market in 2021, going just 3-6 ATS. The Ducks have been especially poor covering the spread as a favorite, going just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games giving points. Does that trend change at all given that they’ll be playing at home in Autzen Stadium? Hardly — they’re 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite and have failed to cover in their last six home games overall.

Washington State is also no stranger to pulling off the upset. Last time out, the Cougars were +16.5 underdogs to Arizona State but won the game outright, 34-21, for a 29.5-point cover margin. They dominated that contest, pulling ahead 34-7 in the fourth quarter. The Cougars have won outright as a dog three times in conference play, with an 11-point cover margin against Oregon State and a 22.5-point cover margin against Cal.

Lastly, this is a huge scheduling spot advantage for the Cougars. It’s a prime look-ahead spot for Oregon, which has a road date with surging conference challenger Utah on deck. Ranked third in the College Football Playoff Rankings, it's hard to expect the Ducks to be fully motivated taking on a 5-4 Washington State team playing under an interim head coach — it’s an easy team to overlook, just as Arizona State did two weeks ago.

The Ducks played in a heated rivalry game against Washington a week ago and have their biggest test to date on tap next week, making this a prime sandwich spot.

Washington State has played toward the Under all season long, cashing in seven of its nine games. This isn’t the high-flying offense fans have come to know under Nick Rolovich’s run-and-shoot scheme — the Cougars are averaging only 25.9 points offensively while holding opposing teams to a respectable 24.7 points.

Interim coach Jake Dickert enters as the former defensive coordinator, so we know that he’s more defensive-minded than his predecessor. Washington State and its opponents have combined to score over 57.5 points only once in its last six games.

Oregon’s defense has clicked in recent weeks, allowing over 400 yards only once in its last four games. The Ducks will look to avoid a shootout, keeping the ball on the ground with running back Travis Dye (635 total yards, 9 TDs in his last four games).

It’s no secret that the quarterback position isn’t Oregon’s biggest strength with veteran Anthony Brown under center, so the Ducks would be wise to keep the ball on the ground and keep the clock churning.

College football parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Washington State vs. Oregon picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college football parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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