Tulsa vs South Florida picks and predictions for October 23

Zach Smith and Tulsa (-9.5 vs. South Florida) are off to an impressive 1-1 start, punching above their weight and getting strong contributions on defense.

Oct 19, 2020 • 03:04 ET
Zach Smith Tulsa Golden Hurricane NCAA football
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

There are several college football betting options this Friday night, including an AAC matchup between the Tulsa Golden Hurricane and the South Florida Bulls. 

South Florida will try to snap a four-game skid but are installed as 9.5-point home underdogs against a Tulsa program coming off a 34-26 win against Central Florida.

We break down the NCAA football odds with our best free picks and predictions for Tulsa vs. South Florida on Friday, October 23 with kickoff at 7:30 p.m. ET. 

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs South Florida Bulls betting preview

Weather

It's expected to be a warm and humid evening at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida, with temperatures ranging from 72 to 87 degrees and humidity at 68 percent. There is currently a 27 percent chance of rain with winds reaching up 9.6 miles per hour. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key Injuries

Tulsa: Yohance Burnett LB (Out), Shamari Brooks RB (Out)
South Florida: Xavier Weaver WR (Questionable), Jacob Mathis TE (Questionable), Darrian Felix RB (Questionable), Eddie McDoom WR (Out)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

 

Against the spread (ATS) pick

South Florida's only win this year came against FCS program The Citadel in their season opener. While getting clobbered by ranked teams like Notre Dame and Cincinnati is somewhat excusable, losing by 20 points at home against East Carolina isn't. 

Tulsa is probably happy just to be playing in this contest with four of their games already cancelled due to COVID-19. In the two games the Golden Hurricane have played, they've shown a lot of heart. They lost 16-7 as a 24-point underdogs against a strong Oklahoma State squad in their season opener, then fought back from a 16-0 first-quarter deficit to hand Central Florida their first defeat of the season.

Returning quarterback Zach Smith gives Tulsa a focal point on offense while their defense has shown a ton of improvement. Although Tulsa lost seven defensive starters from last season their replacements have played at a much higher level. Tulsa's underclassmen linebacker trio of Zaven Collins, Justin Wright and Grant Sawyer has already totalled 14 tackles for loss in just two games. 

Look for Tulsa to continue overachieving and back them on the spread. 

PREDICTION: Tulsa -9.5

 

Over/Under pick

We mentioned how well Tulsa's defense has played so far this season. Holding a high-powered OK State offense to 16 points and UCF to 10 points in the last three quarters is an impressive feat, and now they take on a USF offense that's struggling to move the ball. 

The Bulls are averaging just 311 yards per game against FBS foes while converting on just 31.2 percent of third downs. Thankfully for South Florida bettors, Tulsa hasn't exactly been explosive on offense either, scoring just seven points against Oklahoma State and being limited to 3.75 yards per carry versus UCF.  

The Golden Hurricane have cashed the Under in four of their last five games going back to last year, while the Bulls are 6-3 to the Under in their previous nine contests. Back the Under again on Friday.

PREDICTION: Under 52.5 (-110)

First Quarter Bet

South Florida's offense has really struggled this season. Especially in the early going, averaging just 3.5 points per game in the opening quarter.

Tulsa has been even more punchless early, with their offense failing to score in the first 15 minutes in either of their first two games of the year (their only two first-quarter points against UCF came by a safety). Expect another slow start and take the 1Q Under. 

PREDICTION: First Quarter Under 10.5 (-110)

Tulsa vs South Florida betting card

  • Tulsa -9.5
  • Under 52.5 (-110)
  • First Quarter Under 10.5 (-110)
NCAA Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Tulsa vs. South Florida picks, you could win $59.58 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college football?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NCAA football point spreads, Over/Under totals, derivative bets and even prop plays as well. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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