Texas A&M vs Colorado Picks and Predictions: Back the Aggies Against the Buffs

The Aggies face a large spread against Colorado as they try and groom an erratic freshman QB. But with a dangerous running game and straight-up dominant track record in non-conference play, our Texas A&M vs Colorado picks might favor Aggies backers.

Sep 8, 2021 • 13:17 ET • 4 min read
Haynes King Texas A&M Aggies college football
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

A non-conference showdown between the Texas A&M Aggies and the Colorado Buffaloes will go down on Saturday in Empire Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado. 

Both teams got off to a 1-0 start to the 2021 season, as Texas A&M overcame three interceptions from quarterback Haynes King to defeat Kent State 41-10, and Colorado handled business against Northern Colorado 35-7,

Find out with our free college football betting picks and predictions for Texas A&M vs. Colorado on Saturday, September 11. 

Texas A&M vs Colorado odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

The line has stayed current from the opener to the time of this writing, hovering at -17 in favor of Texas A&M. The total has dropped a full point, moving from 51.5 at open to 50.5 at most books. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff. Also, be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets, and also view the full line movement for this game.

Texas A&M vs Colorado picks

Picks made on 9/8/2021 at 10:05 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Texas A&M vs Colorado game info

Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Date: Saturday, September 11, 2021
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Texas A&M vs Colorado betting preview

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

Texas A&M: Baylor Cupp TE (questionable), Hezekiah Jones WR (doubtful)
Colorado: JT Shrout QB (out), Jeremiah Doss DE (out), Maurice Bell WR (out)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Texas A&M is 14-3 in their last 17 non-conference games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Texas A&M vs. Colorado.

Texas A&M vs Colorado predictions

Texas A&M has been a covering machine in the non-conference portion of their schedule, going 14-3 ATS in their last 17 such contests. 

While playing on the road in altitude is always a concern that bettors must take into account in their handicapping, head coach Jimbo Fisher has stated in Monday’s press conference that he’s played in high-altitude matchups in the past and isn’t concerned about how it will affect his team’s chances.

Of primary concern for A&M going forward will be the play of their new starting quarterback, freshman Haynes King. Although he completed 21 of his 33 pass attempts for 292 yards in the opener against Kent State, he also made plenty of mistakes and threw three interceptions. 

Look for Fisher to rely on his dangerous tandem at running back (Isaiah Spiller and Devon Achane) against a Colorado defense that surrendered 5.5 yards per carry a season ago. While Haynes King didn’t look ready for the rigors of an SEC schedule, he likely won’t need to be at his best for A&M to be successful in this matchup against an inferior foe. 

Although Colorado played well last season against a PAC-12-only schedule, they proved vulnerable in the Alamo Bowl against Texas, where they were embarrassed 55-23. Until they prove that they can hang with the big boys, it's hard to trust them when going against strong opposition.

We’re laying the points with the Aggies on the road, given their dominance in the past against non-conference foes.

Texas A&M is a team that will look to sit on a lead if they have one rather than running up the score. They aren’t looking to play with any special pace — Jimbo just wants to get the win and move on.

The trends back up that assumption, as the Aggies are 8-3 to the Under in their last 11 games when playing as the favorite.

It’s no secret what the Buffaloes want to do offensively: They ran the ball 46 times per game last year, compared to only 30 passing attempts. They’re also breaking in a new quarterback in Brendon Lewis, a dual-threat who is more dangerous as a runner than as a passer.

This total will depend on whether Texas A&M’s rush defense looks more like the 2021 opener (226 rushing yards allowed) or the 2020 season (92 rushing yards per game allowed). Aided by the return of multiple defensive linemen from suspension (Michael Clemons and McKinnley Jackson), we’re banking on a return to form for a defense that was expected to be one of the top units in the country heading into the season.

Look for both teams to run the ball plenty, drain the clock, and trend towards the Under.

NCAA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Texas A&M vs. Colorado picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college football parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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