College Football Player Prop Projections Week 4: Our Best Computer Picks This Week

Our computer prop projections for this Saturday feature a couple of star QBs running, plus a couple of other key quarterbacks to be quiet in the passing game.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Sep 18, 2025 • 09:48 ET • 4 min read
College football computer picks Carson Beck
Photo By - Imagn Images. Miami Hurricanes quarterback Carson Beck (11) looks toward the bench against the South Florida Bull.

There are a number of interesting matchups on the Week 4 slate, which means plenty of betting opportunities on CFB player props!

Our college football player prop projections have identified some of the best value plays this weekend, featuring a number of star QB props, as well as bets for some Big Ten matchups.

College football player props: Our top Week 4 projections

Player Pick FanDuel
Clemson Cade Klubnik o26.5 rush yards -114
Notre Dame C.J. Carr o15.5 rush yards -114
Nebraska Jacory Barney o39.5 rec yards -114
Oklahoma John Mateer u255.5 pass yards -114
Miami Carson Beck u272.5 pass yards -114
Indiana Kaelon Black u58.5 rush yards -114

Clemson Cade Klubnik Over 26.5 rushing yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 33.9 yards | Saturday, 12:00 p.m.

Our projections expect the struggling QB to use his legs again this Saturday, a week after he rushed for a whopping 62 yards.

Notre Dame C.J. Carr Over 15.5 receiving yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 28.9 yards | Saturday, 3:30 p.m.

Our projections like another QB to churn out yards on the ground, with Carr forecasted to hit close to 30 yards.

Alternate-total bet
25+ yards (172): Showing a ton of value.

Nebraska Jacory Barney Over 39.5 receiving yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 49.3 yards | Saturday, 3:30 p.m.

Our projections like the Huskers' WR2 to have a good game on Saturday, forecasting him to finish above his total.

Alternate-total bet
50+ yards (+136): Shows a little bit of value.

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Oklahoma John Mateer Under 255.5 passing yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 209.3 yards | Saturday, 3:30 p.m.

Oklahoma's QB is expected to have a quiet passing day in his first SEC matchup, with his projection nearly 50 yards below his total.

Miami Carson Beck Under 272.5 passing yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 243.3 yards | Saturday, 7:30 p.m.

Beck isn't expected to light it up against rival Florida on Saturday night — although he may not need to, with the 'Canes sitting at more than a TD favorite at home.

Indiana Kaelon Black Under 58.5 rushing yards

-114 at FanDuel

Projection: 44.5 yards | Saturday, 7:30 p.m.

The combination of facing a stout Illinois defense, plus the Hoosiers having a four-headed running attack, has our projections saying Under for IU's current rushing leader.

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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