NC State vs Boston College Picks and Predictions: A Chestnut Hill Chance

The Eagles are on a brutal losing streak against ranked competition, but given the nebulous nature of the bottom of the rankings right now, this could be a great shot to snap that slide. Find out why with our Week 7 NC State vs Boston College picks.

Last Updated: Oct 15, 2021 4:09 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Dennis Grosel Boston College Eagles college football
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The Boston College Eagles have not beaten a ranked team since 2014, a streak of 21 straight losses that the Eagles will hope to end against the No. 22 North Carolina State Wolfpack in primetime on Saturday.

This nighttime meeting in Chestnut Hill could be a decent chance for the Eagles to shirk that streak to ranked opponents, even if they are without their star starting quarterback and have been simply trying to get by since Phil Jurkovec’s wrist injury a month ago.

Here are our free college football picks and predictions for North Carolina State at Boston College on October 16, with kickoff set for 7:30 ET.

NC State vs Boston College odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Perhaps in undue deference to the home-field advantage at Alumni Stadium, this opened as low as a 1.5- or 2.0-point edge toward North Carolina State on Sunday. By Monday, the spread had reached a full field goal, and it crossed over to -3.5 toward the end of the week before dropping back to that full field goal across the board early Friday.

The total opened as low as 51.0 before gradually moving upward early in the week, cresting at 53.0 and 53.5 on Tuesday before falling back down to 51.5 on Wednesday.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.

NC State vs Boston College picks

Picks made on 10/15/2021 at 3:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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NC State vs Boston College game info

Location: Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill, MA
Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ACC Network

NC State vs Boston College betting preview


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

NC State: C.J. Clark OL (Questionable), Payton Wilson LB (Out)
Boston College: Phil Jurkovec QB (Out), Chibueze Onwuka DT (Out)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

North Carolina State has gone 0-6 ATS in its last six games as a favorite on the road. Compounding those worries, Boston College is 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games and 5-1 ATS in its last six chances as a home underdog.

The two division rivals meet annually, with a pandemic exception, and the Under has cashed in five of their last six meetings. Find more NCAA betting trends for NC State vs. Boston College.

NC State vs Boston College predictions

Ranked opponents might have a long stretch of success against the Eagles, but in Jeff Hafley’s year-plus as their head coach, Boston College has come within a touchdown of three of their five ranked foes, including just two weeks ago against then-somehow-still-No. 25 Clemson.

At some point, the Eagles need to turn that “so close” feeling into a cigar.

North Carolina State has not exactly been dominant this season. Remove its blowouts of South Florida and FCS-level Furman, and the Wolfpack have been outscored by a point despite going 2-1 against comparable competition.

Boston College may not have a litany of stellar wins itself — a 41-34 roller-coaster victory against Missouri carries only so much weight, no matter how much Hafley wanted to hype up the victory over an SEC opponent afterward — but at some point, the variance should strike back against NC State. On the road, against a decent defense supporting a scrappy quarterback, that moment could come for the Wolfpack, much to the Eagles’ delight.

Boston College does not have the firepower, particularly without Jurkovec (no offense intended toward senior Dennis Grosel), to win in a shootout, so predicting the Under here fits hand-in-hand with expecting the Eagles to cover.

Grosel could disparagingly be called a “game manager,” his 157.6 passing yards per game somewhat skewed by a cameo in the season opener, but even an accurate portrayal of Grosel does not set up Boston College to score with ease. While Grosel threw for 311 yards at Clemson two weeks ago, he never found the end zone and instead threw two interceptions. His 57.5 percent completion rate was nothing astounding.

Similarly, NC State quarterback Devin Leary can misleadingly be held up as a star. His 12 touchdowns to two interceptions ratio is excellent, but very little of that comes from explosive plays. The Wolfpack offense chips away at a defense. In the three games against decent competition, Leary averaged 6.1 yards per attempt.

Hafley is too good a defensive mind to let that middling offensive approach beat him.

College football parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our NC State vs. Boston College picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college football parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college football odds?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of college football prop odds. Head over to our best football betting sites for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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