Women's College Basketball Odds: Tournament Fun Begins

Aisha Quiñones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Aisha Quiñones • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 4, 2026 , 04:56 PM ET • 4 min read

Conference tournament time is upon us, and the UConn Huskies continue to stand apart, looking every bit like the team to beat on their quest to repeat.

Azzi Fudd Sarah Strong UConn Huskies NCAA Women's College Basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. UThe UConn Huskies bench reacts after a basket against the Georgetown Hoyas.

The UConn Huskies haven’t let up all season, staying unbeaten and looking every bit like a dynasty.

Still, the top of the standings is getting interesting with March in full swing.

With conference tournaments and the Big Dance around the corner, teams like UCLA, Vanderbilt, and Michigan are building momentum and making strong pushes to crash the championship conversation.

Here’s a look at where the latest 2025–26 title odds stand across the field.

Odds to win Women's March Madness 2026

Team bet365 Movement
UConn UConn -300 --
UCLA UCLA  +650 --
NFC South Carolina +850
Texas Texas +1100
LSU LSU +1600
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt +3300
Michigan Michigan +7500 ▼ 
Duke Duke +7500 --
Iowa Iowa +8000
Louisvilla Louisville +10000

Odds from bet365, one of our best betting apps. Sign up with our bet365 promo code, or get one of our other sportsbook promos.

UConn UConn Huskies (-300)

The UConn Huskies are cruising toward the Big East Conference tournament after claiming the regular-season crown with an unblemished 31-0 record, proving once again that they’re the team to beat in March.

With momentum on their side and a roster firing on all cylinders on both ends of the court, the Huskies are perfectly positioned to defend their national title and make it back-to-back championships.

There’s no denying that UConn is bringing serious championship energy into the women’s NCAA Tournament.

UCLA UCLA Bruins (+650)

UCLA surged from +1200 preseason odds to +650, now second behind UConn.

Capitalizing on a JuJu Watkins-less Big Ten Conference, UCLA dominated the rivalry and the league with finishing the regular season at 28-1, carrying just one loss to the Texas Longhorns.

Their rise has firmly placed them among the nation’s top title contenders.

NFC South Carolina (+850)

After gritty losses to Texas and Oklahoma, the Gamecocks have shown rare cracks and were leapfrogged by the surging UCLA Bruins.

Still, Dawn Staley’s group traditionally peaks in March.

Finishing the regular season at 29-2, the South Carolina Gamecocks are looking to carry their momentum into the SEC Tournament and, ultimately, the Big Dance, where a showdown with UConn Huskies gives them a chance for sweet revenge.

Texas Texas Longhorns (+1100)

Texas has made a statement with signature upsets over the South Carolina and UCLA, proving they can beat the nation’s elite.

Those marquee wins have elevated Texas’ profile within the SEC Conference and pushed their championship odds sharply upward.

With confidence growing and momentum building, the Longhorns now enter postseason play viewed as legitimate title contenders.

LSU LSU Tigers (+1600)

Kim Mulkey's squad has suffered a few losses by some heavyweight names such as South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Texas & Kentucky, but LSU has some making up to do and expect the Tigers to roar in Flau'jae Johnson's last season in the purple & gold.

With Johnson leading the charge and support from MiLaysia Fulwiley, Mikaylah Williams, and standout freshman Zakiyah Johnson, LSU looks ready to make their March run unforgettable.

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Women's March Madness opening odds

  • South Carolina: +145
  • UConn: +400
  • Texas: +400
  • Notre Dame: +700
  • USC: +950
  • UCLA: +1200
  • NC State: +2000
  • LSU: +3000
  • Stanford: +3000
  • Duke: +5000

It should come as no surprise that oddsmakers were high on South Carolina after the Gamecocks became just the 10th team ever to cap off an undefeated season with a national championship.

But it's the UCLA Bruins who shook up the scene this season after going 30-2 and putting all of women's college basketball on notice after being the No. 1 ranked team in the country for most of this season. Led by Lauren Betts and Kiki Rice, the Bruins are out for blood and appear to be a shoe-in to win the Big Ten tournament ahead of March Madness.

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Women's March Madness 2026 schedule

Event Date Location(s)
Selection Sunday March 15 --
First Four  March 18–19 UD Arena (Dayton, Ohio)
First Round March 20–23 Top 16 seeds host.
Second Round March 20–23 Top 16 seeds host.
Sweet 16 March 27–30 Sacramento, CA; Fort Worth, TX
Elite Eight March 27–30 Sacramento, CA; Fort Worth, TX
Final Four April 3 Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)
National Championship Game April 5 Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)

Popular March Madness markets

March Madness betting splits

Highest ticket percentage:
•    UConn 17.3%
•    South Carolina 14.8%
•    UCLA 11.1%

Highest handle percentage:
•    UConn 30.3%
•    South Carolina 23.9%
•    UCLA 12.4%

Biggest liabilities:
•    UConn
•    USC
•    South Carolina

All data courtesy of BetMGM.

March Madness 2026 predictions

Bet Odds Bet Date Units
National Title: UConn -300 February 12 0.5
Final Four: Vanderbilt +4000 February 12 0.5
To Make NCAA Tournament Field of 68: USC +15000 February 12 0.5

What makes this UConn group especially dangerous in a tournament setting is lineup flexibility. The Huskies can play small to maximize spacing or lean into length and rebounding without sacrificing offensive flow. Geno Auriemma’s teams historically peak in March by tightening rotations and sharpening execution, and this roster already looks comfortable in high-pressure moments.

With experience, depth, and star power aligned, the Huskies enter the Final Four conversation as the most complete team in the country and the safest pick to cut down the nets again.

Vanderbilt's defensive structure forces opponents into uncomfortable possessions, and they’ve shown the ability to control pace against both fast and methodical teams. That adaptability is key in navigating the bracket. Vanderbilt also benefits from continuity, plus experienced contributors who understand roles and rarely beat themselves with turnovers or poor shot decisions.

If their defense dictates games early in the bracket, a Final Four appearance becomes a realistic outcome rather than a surprise.

Losing a dominant offensive centerpiece like JuJu Watkins changes the ceiling, but it doesn’t eliminate USC’s foundation. The Trojans still possess athleticism, length on the perimeter, and a defensive identity capable of keeping them competitive against top-tier opponents.

From a résumé standpoint, USC’s schedule strength and defensive efficiency should keep them firmly within the at-large conversation. They may win differently with fewer offensive explosions & more grind-it-out results, but consistency and competitiveness across conference play are enough to secure a spot in the Field of 68.

Understanding March Madness futures odds

Sportsbooks will post odds for the NCAA women's basketball championship as early as the summer before the season starts. These odds are constantly adjusted throughout the offseason as players get hurt, suspended or are traded. Once the season begins in November, title odds will change as often as daily as teams win and lose games and as players get hurt or suspended. Sportsbooks will also adjust the March Madness futures odds based on handle and liability to certain teams.

March Madness futures odds will usually look like this:

  • Indiana Hoosiers +800

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to win $800 if the Hoosiers win the NCAA women's basketball title. If it's close to the end of the regular season or even during the tournament and college basketball has a very dominant team, you might see that a team is has a minus sign (-) ahead of its odds. 

  • South Carolina Gamecocks -165

This means that you would need to bet $165 to win $100 on a South Carolina championship.

Above we have posted the American odds for March Madness futures. However, these are easy to convert to decimal odds or fractional odds with our odds converter tool.

How to bet college basketball futures

Learning how to successfully bet on March Madness is one of the hardest things to do in sports betting. The lose-and-go-home format and the fact that a school needs to win six straight games against quality opponents means that the favorites don't always take home the title.

Another factor that comes into play is that the tournament bracket isn't set until Selection Sunday. As the college basketball season winds down, you can be pretty sure that the big favorites will slide into the bracket as top seeds. But for teams in the middle of the pack, nothing is certain.

As always when betting futures odds, be sure to look into injuries and suspensions. You might find some current value in a team that is expecting to get a key player back before March Madness begins.

Where to bet on Women's March Madness

If you're in a state that allows mobile, or online betting, make sure you know which sites are the best March Madness betting sites. Great betting sites offer sharp odds, quick payouts and are safe and secure when it comes to depositing and withdrawing your money.

Past Women's March Madness champions

Year Champion Runner-Up
2025 UConn UConn South Carolina South Carolina
2024 South Carolina South Carolina Iowa Iowa
2023 LSU LSU Iowa Iowa
2022 South Carolina South Carolina UConn UConn
2021 Stanford Stanford Arizona Arizona
2020 COVID-19 COVID-19
2019 Baylor Baylor Duke Duke
2018 Notre Dame Notre Dame Mississippi State Mississippi State
2017 South Carolina South Carolina Mississippi State Mississippi State
2016 UConn UConn Syracuse Syracuse
2015 UConn UConn Notre Dame Notre Dame
2014 UConn UConn Notre Dame Notre Dame
2013 UConn UConn Louisville Louisville
2012 Baylor Baylor Notre Dame Notre Dame 

Women's March Madness trends

• The last four winners of the tournament all entered the season as the No. 1 seed.

• Since 1982, a No. 1 seed has made the Final Four every year. 

• UConn has the most women's NCAA titles of all-time (11), including four straight years of successfully defending the championship from 2013-2016.

Women's March Madness Odds

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Aisha Quiñones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Hailing from Harlem, New York, Aisha Quiñones joined Covers in 2024 after an illustrious career with several other major media outlets. A proud Johnnie, after graduating from the Big East basketball powerhouse St. John's University, Quiñones earned her bachelor's degree in sport management and journalism, then obtained her master's degree in media studies from The New School.

Over a span of 12+ years, Quiñones has built her portfolio as a writer, dipped her toe into on-camera work, and also been behind the scenes in producing sports content.

Despite being a New Yorker, Quiñones has always been a lifelong Los Angeles Lakers fan thanks to her mom's joy of watching Kobe Bryant play — so much of a fan to the point that Quiñones named her toy poodle after the late-great legend.

Her hometown roots stay true to her MLB and WNBA choice in teams, as a Yankees and Liberty fan, due to her uncle and grandmother's love for the sports throughout her childhood.

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