Kansas vs Texas Picks and Predictions: Jayhawks Corral Longhorns on Road

The Kansas Jayhawks roll into Texas as 1-point favorites against the Longhorns after topping the Baylor Bears over the weekend. The unfriendly crowd and unfamiliar court won't be enough to derail Kansas in our betting picks. Jayhawks take it.

Last Updated: Feb 7, 2022 8:45 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Ochai Agbaji Kansas Jayhawks College Basketball
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas Jayhawks will take a trip to Texas to take on the Longhorns in a huge Big 12 battle between two ranked teams on ESPN. 

Kansas is coming off a massive 83-59 win at home against the Baylor Bears. Meanwhile, Texas easily knocked off Iowa State, winning 63-41. 

It’s more likely that this game won’t be a blowout on either side but which Big 12 powerhouse can get the win tonight?

Here are our college basketball betting picks and predictions for the Big 12 matchup between the Kansas Jayhawks and the Texas Longhorns. 

Kansas vs Texas odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Texas Longhorns opened as 1-point favorites but are now underdogs at home, sitting at +1.5 at some outlets. The total has since dropped from 137 at open to as low as 134.5.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

Kansas vs Texas predictions

Predictions made on 2/7/2022 at 7:45 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Kansas vs Texas game info

Location: Frank Erwin Center, Austin, TX
Date: Monday, February 7, 2022
Tip-off: 9:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN

Kansas at Texas betting preview

Injuries

Kansas: Zach Clemence F (Out), Remy Martin G (Out).
Texas: No injuries to report.

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Jayhawks are 14-6 against the spread in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Find more NCAA betting trends for Kansas vs. Texas.

Kansas vs Texas picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

Despite getting blown out by Kentucky in late January, Kansas has been one of the best teams in the country. In the Big 12, Kansas is 8-1 and has gone 19-3 on the season. 

The offense has been a real game-changer for Kansas. The Jayhawks are shooting a 55.4% effective field goal percentage while earning 34.8% offensive rebounds. 

Meanwhile, Kansas is shooting 36% from deep and 56.1% from inside the arc. There’s also a good chance that Kansas earns a bunch of offensive rebounds as Texas has struggled to rebound on the defensive end, giving up 29% offensive rebounds per game. 

However, Texas has been otherwise solid on the defensive end of the floor, holding teams to a 45.1% effective field goal percentage. The Longhorns also earn 25% of steals and hold opponents to 30.5% from three and 44.8% from inside the arc. 

It's a classic battle between teams finding success in completely different ways. Kansas is one of the best offenses in the nation while Texas is one of the best defenses. The winner of that battle, on the side of the court, will likely be the reason for the outcome of this game.

On the other hand, Texas has a 51.9% effective field goal percentage but is shooting just 33.4% from three. Just like Kansas, Texas should be able to earn offensive rebounds, but not at the same rate as the Jayhawks. 

Kansas is holding opponents to a 47.4% effective field goal percentage and opponents are only hitting 30.6% from deep. However, opponents have scored over 48% of shots inside the arc against Kansas and that’s the area where Texas has been better offensively. 

Still, I’m not so sure Texas’ offense can keep up. The Jayhawks beat Baylor while scoring 83 points. Sure, Kansas was the home team, but Baylor is one of those terrific defensive units. And it was the same with Iowa State, where Kansas scored 70 in the win. 

So I’ll take Kansas as the very short favorite. 

Prediction: Kansas -1 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

I’ve really enjoyed watching Kansas on offense. I’m not saying the Jayhawks will be elite offensively against Texas, but they will be better. 

The Longhorns have the experience and should know that they can’t match bucket-to-bucket against Kansas. Therefore, Texas will ultimately slow the game down and try to limit possessions as best as possible at home. 

We’ve two Top-30 defenses going at it tonight, according to KenPom. Both teams have forced opponents to at least use 17.8 seconds per possession this season. I like the Under in this game. 

Prediction: Under 135 (-110)

Best bet

Kansas is 19-3 on the season and is ultimately the best team in the Big 12. Now they’re sitting at -1 against a Texas team that doesn’t have the offense to stick around in a back-and-forth shootout. 

The Longhorns already have a home loss to Kansas State this season and while it’s tough to beat them at home, Kansas has the offense that can hook those horns. 

Give me Kansas -1. 

Pick: Kansas -1 (-110)

College basketball parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Kansas vs. Texas picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our college basketball parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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