The Denver Nuggets will attempt to stave off elimination as they host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 6 of the Western Conference semifinals tonight.
Despite some poor passing performances from three-time MVP Nikola Jokic, Denver has been extremely competitive in this series.
My NBA picks are hoping to take advantage of that interesting trend with a non-correlated parlay for tonight. Here is my Thunder vs. Nuggets same-game parlay for Thursday, May 15.
Thunder vs Nuggets SGP - May 15
Nuggets +5
Nikola Jokic Under 8.5 assists
Jalen Williams 2+ threes
The Denver Nuggets collapsed in the fourth quarter in Game 5 to lose by a final score of 112-105. That said, they still covered as 10.5-point road underdogs and are now 4-1 against the spread in this series and 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
As dominant as the Oklahoma City Thunder have looked this season, the Nuggets have been consistently undervalued in this series. They still have the best player in the world in Nikola Jokic, along with an experienced supporting cast around him.
Denver also boasts one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA due to the elevation at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are 30-17 at home, sporting an average scoring margin of +5.8 ppg. With their backs against the wall, expect the Nuggets to keep things close and cover this spread.
However, that doesn't mean that Jokic will eclipse his assists total of 7.5. 'The Joker' is averaging just 4.3 assists per game in this series and has yet to log more than six assists in any contest.
The Thunder defense has been swarming Jokic, forcing him into turnovers while locking down Denver's perimeter shooters.
Meanwhile, the Nuggets have struggled to defend the arc, finishing the regular season 20th in the league in threes allowed per game (14.1) and 21st in opponent 3-point percentage (36.5%).
Jalen Williams knocked down 1.8 threes per game at a 36.5% clip during the regular season. The All-Star wing has been shooting even better in the playoffs, draining at least a pair of treys in six of his last eight contests.
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