Spurs vs Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Krest's prediction: Gui Santos steps up for the undermanned Warriors.

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst
Feb 11, 2026 • 13:32 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 7 hrs
SA
65 %
GS
35 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Gui Santos o12.5  Points Scored (+105) Gui Santos o12.5 Points Scored (+105)
Read Analysis
Gui Santos Golden State Warriors NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Golden State Warriors forward Gui Santos (15).

The shell of what's left on the Golden State Warriors' roster will host a San Antonio Spurs team on a five-game winning streak.

Jonathan Kuminga is gone. Jimmy Butler is out for the season. Steph Curry is hurt. 

As a result, my San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors predictions are backing Gui Santos to rise to the occasion tonight.

Read more in my NBA picks for Wednesday, February 11. 

Spurs vs Warriors prediction

Spurs vs Warriors best bet: Gui Santos Over 12.5 points (+105)

Gui Santos has been the biggest beneficiary of the trade and injury-related attrition within the Golden State Warriors' rotation. He's scored in double figures in seven straight games after reaching that mark just twice in his first 36 appearances. 

The former G League standout is now attacking off the dribble and creating his own offense. Santos has started each of the last four games and seen his playing time jump from 12:45 per night to 29:30. 

Santos's shot attempts have also climbed from 3.4 per game to 9.5.

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Spurs vs Warriors same-game parlay

The Warriors are just 1-4 against the spread over their last five contests.

Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs are surging. During their five-game winning streak, the Spurs have defeated three teams with winning records, including the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder.

Golden State has also pumped the brakes offensively. The Warriors have finished at least five points below today's total in three of their last four matches, failing to crack triple digits twice.

Spurs vs Warriors SGP

  • Gui Santos Over 11.5 points
  • Spurs -7.5
  • Warriors team total Under 106.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Green Light

Moses Moody has dished out six assists across the last three games, while Draymond Green provides some of the only remaining size on the Golden State roster.

  • Spurs -7.5
  • Moses Moody Over 1.5 assists
  • Draymond Green Over 4.5 assists

Spurs vs Warriors odds

  • Spread: Spurs -5.5 (-110) | Warriors +5.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Spurs -205 | Warriors +170
  • Over/Under: Over 216.5 (-110) | Under 216.5 (-110)

Spurs vs Warriors betting trend to know

San Antonio has hit the moneyline in 19 of its last 30 road games. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Warriors.

How to watch Spurs vs Warriors

Location Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN Southwest, NBC Sports Bay Area

Spurs vs Warriors latest injuries

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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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