Game 6 of this Western Conference semifinal series could be a “coming of age” contest for the San Antonio Spurs.
They need to go on the road if they want to eliminate a veteran Minnesota Timberwolves team.
My Spurs vs. Timberwolves props and NBA picks single out three player props for Friday night, including a last stand from deep for Anthony Edwards.
Here are my best Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions for May 15.
Best Spurs vs Timberwolves props for Game 6
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Anthony Edwards |
Over 2.5 threes | -135 |
| Julius Randle |
Over 10.5 rebounds + assists | +110 |
 Stephon Castle |
Over 5.5 rebounds | +120 |
Game 6 Prop #1: Anthony Edwards Over 2.5 threes
Minnesota Timberwolves star Anthony Edwards appreciated the extra day off before Game 6 more than anyone.
He’s been playing through a painful knee injury suffered in the first round yet is still pacing the T-Wolves offense. Edwards will be the healthiest he’s been in a long time and carries that weight again with Minnesota facing elimination at home.
Edwards is coming off his quietest day beyond the arc in Game 5, making just one of his three 3-point attempts. The shooting guard had knocked down three triples in each of the past two games and is shooting much better from distance at home during the postseason (36% vs. 28.6% away).
The San Antonio Spurs’ interior defense is pushing the Timberwolves to the perimeter and game script has Minnesota playing from behind, prompting plenty of 3-point attempts.
Edwards’ projections all sit north of three treys with some models as high as four makes from downtown.
Game 6 Prop #2: Julius Randle Over 10.5 rebounds + assists
Julius Randle has come under a lot of fire in this series.
He’s been ice cold shooting the ball, firing at 36.6% from the floor in the past five games. But he’s found other ways to contribute, with 18 rebounds and four assists in the last two outings.
The T-Wolves could roll out a smaller rotation with Randle at center in hopes of drawing Victor Wembanyama away from the rim. That will open up space and make Randle a conduit for cutters.
He’s been actively passing in the series with 28 potential assists but his teammates haven’t converted those dimes into buckets, with just eight total assists from Randle the past five games.
He’s getting after it on the glass as well, transforming 71 rebounding chances into 39 boards. If Randle draws more defensive assignments on Wemby, he’ll be stationed closer to the rim and in prime rebounding space.
Projections for Randle have a ceiling of five assists and seven rebounds, which gets up Over his combo prop of 10.5 rebounds + assists — a bar he’s topped the past two games.
Game 6 Prop #3: Stephon Castle Over 5.5 rebounds
There haven’t been too many rebounds to go around with Wembanyama cleaning the glass like a Costco-size jug of Windex. That could change in Game 6.
The Timberwolves flirted with a smaller lineup in Game 5 in an attempt to stretch the Spurs’ interior and drag Wemby away from the rim. With the 7-footer having to check Randle, Jalen McDaniels, or Naz Reid on the perimeter, Stephon Castle could see extra opportunities on the boards.
So far in the series, the Spurs' 6-foot-6 guard has been in position for 44 rebounding chances and converted those into 23 rebounds — 4.6 per game. He’s deferred seven of those rebounding chances, meaning he let Wembanyama swoop in and snatch up the miss.
His game models range from 5.1 to 6.15 rebounds tonight with the bulk of those models leaning to six boards.
Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout!
Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!
Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review!
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
