Our NBA player prop projections are here to help make your Rockets vs. Nuggets predictions process easier.
Read on for our computer's free NBA picks for Wednesday night, featuring a five-star Tari Eason prop.
Rockets vs Nuggets computer picks for March 11
 Rockets |
 Nuggets |
|---|---|
| Eason o10.5 points +100 |
Gordon o2.5 assists -105 |
| Sengun o17.5 points -120 |
Hardaway Jr. o10.5 points -112 |
| Thompson o6.5 rebounds -125 |
Jokic u28.5 points -115 |
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Rockets computer picks
Tari Eason Over 10.5 points (+100)
Projection: 12.6 points
Our computer would be salivating if it were capable over this Tari Eason points prop. He's projected to beat this line by over two full points for a +23.6% EV.
"The Houston Rockets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists)."
Alperen Sengun Over 17.5 points (-120)
Projection: 20.0 points
Our system likes this Alperen Sengun prop for the same reasons it likes the Eason one. This four-star play checks in at a +21.5% EV.
This line is as low as it's been in a nine-game span, and now looks like the time to buy.
Amen Thompson Over 6.5 rebounds (-125)
Projection: 7.7 rebounds
Amen Thompson has cashed the Over on his rebounding prop in eight of his last 10 overall.
The juice takes some of the shine off this wager, but our computer believes there's still a +10.2% EV edge to be had based on the projection of 7.7 boards.
Nuggets computer picks
Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 assists (-105)
Projection: 2.8 assists
Aaron Gordon is on a hot streak when it comes to handing out helpers. He's cleared his assists Over in nine of his last 10 overall.
Gordon, who missed all of February due to injury, has had three assists in each of his first two games back.
Tim Hardaway Jr. Over 10.5 points (-112)
Projection: 12.4 points
Our computer notes that the Nuggets have played at the eighth-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, so it's not surprising to see Denver at second in the league in scoring. Tim Hardaway Jr. has made some contributions, clearing his point total Over in six of his last nine overall.
Our system suggests he'll beat this line by nearly two full points, good for a +16.8% EV.
Nikola Jokic Under 28.5 points (-115)
Projection: 26.8 points
Another night, another big point total for Nikola Jokic to clear. Unfortunately for Nuggets fans, our system sees the former MVP falling short of his prop line by nearly two points.
"Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank second-worst in the NBA with the home court advantage, with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games."
How to watch Rockets vs Nuggets tonight
| Location | Ball Arena, Denver, CO |
| Date | Wednesday, March 11, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Not intended for use in MA.
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