It’s a jam-packed night of hoops action with 14 games on the NBA betting board.
I’ve sorted through the odds and found my three favorite plays for the day, including one on a Grizzlies guard who keeps giving us value and another on a rookie starting to show why he was a top pick.
Those and more NBA picks for Wednesday, February 11, are below.
Best NBA player props today
| Player | Pick | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 rebounds | +122 | |
| Over 9.5 points | +100 | |
| Over 13.5 points | -125 |

Prop #1: Trey Murphy III Over 5.5 rebounds
As long as the Miami Heat keep playing basketball, I’m going to keep fading them on the glass.
The Heat aren’t the worst rebounding team, but it’s their high tempo that’s made them profitable.
Miami leads the NBA in pace and shot attempts per game, so that inherently means a lot of rebounds. It surrendered the second-most rebounds per game heading into tonight’s matchup with the New Orleans Pelicans.
My favorite Pels player to back is Trey Murphy III, who has pulled down six or more boards in three of his last five games.
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FDSN Oklahoma, GCSEN
Prop #2: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 9.5 points
Despite the injuries... the trades... the losses... the Memphis Grizzlies are showing some fight. Memphis is playing team basketball and getting performances from places you wouldn’t expect.
Ty Jerome has been a moneymaker lately, but books have caught on, so we turn our attention to Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.
KCP is putting up 11.3 points per game over his last six, getting to double digits five times. We’re getting even money against a Denver Nuggets team that ranks 24th in defensive rating.
- Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ESPN
Prop #3: Ace Bailey Over 13.5 points
Utah Jazz rookie Ace Bailey has been playing the best basketball of his young career, and I’m betting he keeps rolling in tonight’s matchup against the Sacramento Kings.
Bailey is putting up 16.1 points per game with a .522 effective field goal percentage over his last 11, and he’s had 16+ points seven times during that stretch.
Yet, we’re still getting Bailey’s points prop at 13.5 against a Sacramento team that can’t stop anyone from getting buckets these days. The Kings have the third-worst defensive rating in the NBA, so why would they suddenly slow down Bailey?
- Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSCA, KJZZ
These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.
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