Best NBA Player Props Today for February 11: Ace in the Hole

Ace Bailey is starting to show why he was considered a top prospect heading into June's NBA Draft, and sportsbooks haven't caught up yet.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Feb 11, 2026 • 11:13 ET • 4 min read
Ace Bailey Utah Jazz NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ace Bailey (19) drives past a Chicago defender.

It’s a jam-packed night of hoops action with 14 games on the NBA betting board.

I’ve sorted through the odds and found my three favorite plays for the day, including one on a Grizzlies guard who keeps giving us value and another on a rookie starting to show why he was a top pick.

Those and more NBA picks for Wednesday, February 11, are below.

Best NBA player props today

Player Pick bet365
Pelicans Trey Murphy III Over 5.5 rebounds +122
Grizzlies Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 9.5 points +100
Jazz Ace Bailey Over 13.5 points -125

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Prop #1: Trey Murphy III Over 5.5 rebounds

+122 at bet365

As long as the Miami Heat keep playing basketball, I’m going to keep fading them on the glass.

The Heat aren’t the worst rebounding team, but it’s their high tempo that’s made them profitable. 

Miami leads the NBA in pace and shot attempts per game, so that inherently means a lot of rebounds. It surrendered the second-most rebounds per game heading into tonight’s matchup with the New Orleans Pelicans.

My favorite Pels player to back is Trey Murphy III, who has pulled down six or more boards in three of his last five games.

  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FDSN Oklahoma, GCSEN

Prop #2: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 9.5 points

+100 at bet365

Despite the injuries... the trades... the losses... the Memphis Grizzlies are showing some fight. Memphis is playing team basketball and getting performances from places you wouldn’t expect.

Ty Jerome has been a moneymaker lately, but books have caught on, so we turn our attention to Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.

KCP is putting up 11.3 points per game over his last six, getting to double digits five times. We’re getting even money against a Denver Nuggets team that ranks 24th in defensive rating.

  • Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Prop #3: Ace Bailey Over 13.5 points

-125 at bet365

Utah Jazz rookie Ace Bailey has been playing the best basketball of his young career, and I’m betting he keeps rolling in tonight’s matchup against the Sacramento Kings.

Bailey is putting up 16.1 points per game with a .522 effective field goal percentage over his last 11, and he’s had 16+ points seven times during that stretch. 

Yet, we’re still getting Bailey’s points prop at 13.5 against a Sacramento team that can’t stop anyone from getting buckets these days. The Kings have the third-worst defensive rating in the NBA, so why would they suddenly slow down Bailey?

  • Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBCSCA, KJZZ

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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