Nine games are scheduled in the Association tonight, opening up plenty of NBA player prop markets to sift through.
My NBA picks for November 10 are highlighted by Luka Doncic's passing ability, with Donovan Mitchell and Ryan Rollins also catching my eye.
Best NBA player props today
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Luka Doncic |
Over 9.5 assists | -110 |
 Donovan Mitchell |
Over 25.5 points | -115 |
 Ryan Rollins |
Over 18.5 points + assists | -120 |
Prop #1: Luka Doncic Over 9.5 assists
A 7-3 start represents a terrific effort for the Los Angeles Lakers, who’ve juggled injuries and put together a 6-0 record at home. Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves have taken turns cooking defenses, and I’m counting on more Luka magic tonight in Charlotte.
Reaves is questionable to return from a groin injury, but regardless, this is going to be the Doncic show. Though Luka is averaging 37 points per game, I’m targeting his assists tally in this matchup, with the expectation he’ll be setting the table for his teammates.
He’s served up 10+ dimes in each of his last three contests, with both Jaxson Hayes and Deandre Ayton feasting on alley oops, and the Hornets’ lack of rim protection could be exposed in a big way.
Doncic only logged 27 minutes in Saturday’s loss to the Atlanta Hawks, but he still finished with 11 assists, and his playmaking numbers are all the more impressive when you consider the Lakers are making just 34% of their 3-pointers (eighth-worst in the league).
With L.A. at a creativity deficit until LeBron James can return, look for Luka to thrive again as the puppet master.
- Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Spectrum SportsNet, FDSN Southeast-Charlotte
Prop #2: Donovan Mitchell Over 25.5 points
Donovan Mitchell can light it up with the best of them when he gets on a roll, and his 46-point clinic against the Philadelphia 76ers last week was the latest reminder. He’s averaging 34 ppg so far in November, and he’s got the Heat in his sights tonight.
The Cleveland Cavaliers look like an offensive juggernaut again with Darius Garland back in action, and that allows Mitchell to pick his spots.
Defenses just can’t load up on him in the same way, so it would be no surprise to see his field-goal percentage hold firm above the 50% mark.
Mitchell has fired up 20+ shots in four straight games, and I see a similar story unfolding against a Miami defense that struggled in a 136-131 win over the Portland Trail Blazers over the weekend.
Bam Adebayo will force tough looks around the rim, but I see Mitchell escaping from Davion Mitchell to feast on easier matchups.
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FDSN-Ohio, FDSN-Sun
Prop #3: Ryan Rollins Over 18.5 points + assists
The Milwaukee Bucks put their faith in Ryan Rollins with a three-year, $12 million contract this summer, and he’s already shown signs he’ll massively outplay that deal.
Rollins has given Doc Rivers quality minutes in the starting Milwaukee backcourt, and his ability as a ball handler is at least slightly easing the colossal burden on Giannis Antetokounmpo’s shoulders.
I like this combo Over, with Rollins becoming a key cog in this Bucks offense. He’s gone past this number in points alone in his last two outings — including a 20-point effort against the Chicago Bulls — and he’s shooting an ultra-efficient 53% from the field.
His assist numbers have been steady, too. He’s dished five or more dimes in four of his past five contests, and there are opportunities to spread his wings as a playmaker when Giannis is on the bench. Bottom line: he’s nailed the Over on 18.5 points + assists in six of his last eight games.
This is a decent matchup tonight against the Dallas Mavericks, who’ve got Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, and Daniel Gafford listed as game-time decisions. The Mavs are also short on perimeter stoppers to keep Rollins out of the paint, and I expect him to make them pay.
- Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FDSN-Wisconsin, KFAA
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