The Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder will take the floor at Paycom Center tonight following a chippy matchup two weeks ago that saw Nikola Jokic make some crazy faces and Lu Dort get ejected.
The rematch could have just as much playoff energy, and our NBA player prop projections help you find the best NBA picks on the board. For more, check out our full Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions.
Nuggets vs Thunder computer picks for March 9
 Nuggets |
 Thunder |
|---|---|
| Johnson o9.5 points -125 |
Williams u7.5 rebounds -115 |
| Braun u11.5 points +100 |
Williams u10.5 points -130 |
| Braun u1.5 threes -170 |
Wallace u3.5 rebounds -120 |
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Nuggets computer picks
Cam Johnson Over 9.5 points (-125)
Projection: 11.8 points
Cam Johnson is coming off a 10-point showing against the Knicks and went Over this number in five of eight games in February, including an 18-point night against the Clippers.
The Thunder defense is stout, but Johnson is one of the best shooters in the NBA, currently hitting 40.5% of his threes on the season.
Christian Braun Under 11.5 points (+100)
Projection: 10.6 points
Christian Braun is logging big minutes, but that hasn't always meant scoring production. He's coming off a game against the Knicks where he scored just seven points and shot 2-for-7 from the field.
He did score 23 points against OKC last time out, but that was an outlier for two reasons: he played 45 minutes (the game went to overtime) and took a season-high 10 threes (made three).
Christian Braun Under 1.5 threes (-170)
Projection: 1.1 threes
Along the same line of thinking, Braun has gone Over this number just once in four games since going 3-for-10 against OKC on Feb. 27, and it's not for a lack of trying. He's 4-for-15 in those four games.
Thunder computer picks
Jaylin Williams Under 7.5 rebounds (-110)
Projection: 6.5 rebounds
This number is inflated because Jaylin Williams has had some huge rebounding games lately (14, 16, and 11 in three of last six games), and Isaiah Hartenstein is sidelined once again.
Still, if you take those three big games out, Williams has gone Under this number in every game but one since Feb. 4. Not to mention, he's up against Nikola Jokic tonight.
Jaylin Williams Under 10.5 points (-125)
Projection: 8.9 points
Injuries to OKC's big men have helped his scoring totals, but so has shooting nearly 44% from three since the start of February. Even if the minutes stay up, that mark is unsustainable.
Cason Wallace Under 3.5 rebounds (-120)
Projection: 3.1 rebounds
Cason Wallace is coming off a zero-rebound effort against the Warriors and needed nearly 36 minutes of action to snag four rebounds against the Nuggets on Feb. 27. He won't see that many minutes tonight.
How to watch Nuggets vs Thunder tonight
| Location | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
| Date | Monday, March 9, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
Not intended for use in MA.
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