Two of the best in the West clash tonight when the Denver Nuggets visit the Los Angeles Lakers.
Before you lock in your Nuggets vs. Lakers predictions, consult with our NBA player prop projections. Our computer has crunched the numbers to deliver the best bang-for-the-buck NBA picks for Saturday, March 14.
Nuggets vs Lakers computer picks for March 14
 Nuggets |
 Lakers |
|---|---|
| Johnson o9.5 points -110 |
James o18.5 points +100 |
| Gordon o2.5 assists +115 |
Smart o7.5 points +102 |
| Murray u6.5 assists -150 |
Ayton o9.5 points -110 |
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Nuggets computer picks
Cameron Johnson Over 9.5 points (-110)
Projection: 11.6 points
This isn't a high bar to clear, and Cameron Johnson has done it in six of his last 10 overall. Our computer outlines the case for the Over hitting again tonight.
"With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets' impressive 122.7 points per game on the road measures as the best in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Lakers, making this a favorable matchup. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets."
Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 assists (+115)
Projection: 2.9 assists
Aaron Gordon is handing out helpers at a feverish rate. He's cleared his assists Over in eight of his last 10 overall.
Gordon, who missed all of February due to injury, has had three assists in two of his first three games back.
Jamal Murray Under 6.5 assists (-150)
Projection: 6.3 assists
Jamal Murray has hit this Under in seven of his last 10, and with the Denver Nuggets checking in as the third-worst road offensive rebounding team in the NBA, our system sees him failing to pick up the necessary helpers again.
There's a +18.7% EV associated with this play.
Lakers computer picks
LeBron James Over 18.5 points (+100)
Projection: 21.3 points
LeBron James has hit this Over in six of his last 10 games, and our computer sees multiple reasons why he'll do it again tonight.
"The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have shot 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-best in the league) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a strong matchup."
Marcus Smart Over 7.5 points (+102)
Projection: 9.1 points
Marcus Smart is on a roll, hitting this Over in seven of his last eight. Circumstances suggest he's in line for another Over, per our player prop projections.
"This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (10th-most in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, easily managing to draw fouls."
Deandre Ayton Over 9.5 points (-110)
Projection: 11.3 points
Deandre Ayton rounds out the trio of Los Angeles Lakers our computer likes to clear his point total tonight.
"The Lakers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets)."
This play carries a +17.4% EV edge.
How to watch Nuggets vs Lakers tonight
| Location | Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Saturday, March 14, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Not intended for use in MA.
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