Sunday night in L.A. brings one of the NBA’s marquee matchups, and we’ve run the numbers to find the edges.
These NBA player prop projections break down where our model sees separation between posted lines and expected output.
In our Celtics vs. Lakers predictions, we’re focused strictly on the props with real value — the ones that make sense if you’re building sharper NBA picks for February 22.
Celtics vs Lakers computer picks for February 22
 Celtics |
 Lakers |
|---|---|
| Brown o28.5 points -120 |
Smart o7.5 points -110 |
| Pritchard o2.5 threes -112 |
Reaves o4.5 assists +125 |
| White Over 3.5 rebounds -120 |
Doncic Under 30.5 points -120 |
Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout!
Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!
Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review!
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Celtics computer picks
Jaylen Brown Over 28.5 points
Projection: 30.5 points
This isn’t a thin edge — the model has Jaylen Brown clearing 30. When you’re getting a two-point cushion on a high-usage scorer, that’s meaningful. He’s carrying a consistent offensive load and doesn’t rely on one scoring lane to get there. If the minutes are secure, 29+ is the expectation, not the ceiling.
Payton Pritchard Over 2.5 threes (-112)
Projection: 3.2 threes
Payton Pritchard doesn’t hesitate — if he’s open, it’s going up. He’s clearing this in most normal shooting nights, and volume isn’t the issue. With the projection comfortably above three, this is a rhythm-and-minutes bet more than anything else.
🔥 Bet Pritchard Now at bet365!
Derrick White Over 3.5 rebounds (-120)
Projection: 4.1 rebounds
Derrick White plays bigger than his position when it comes to rebounding. He crashes from the perimeter and benefits from long misses in guard-heavy matchups. The model has him clearing four boards, which gives this a bit of cushion.
Lakers computer picks
Marcus Smart Over 7.5 points (-110)
Projection: 9.0 points
Marcus Smart isn’t out there to score 20, but eight points is well within his normal workload. A couple of drives, a corner three, maybe a transition bucket — it adds up fast. The projection puts him comfortably above this number.
Austin Reaves Over 4.5 assists (+125)
Projection: 4.9 assists
Even with Luka Doncic and LeBron James in the lineup, Austin Reaves handles enough of the offense to flirt with five assists on most nights. At plus money, you’re getting paid for a line that sits just below his expected output. If teammates knock down open looks, this clears.
Luka Doncic Under 30.5 points (-120)
Projection: 28.6 points
Thirty-one is considered a light night for Luka Doncic, but tonight will be tricky. He can get there, but the projection leans toward a high-20s night rather than an explosion. If the defense shows extra bodies and forces the ball out of his hands, this Under has a path.
How to watch Celtics vs Lakers tonight
| Location | Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Sunday, February 22, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 6:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
