The Miami Heat are getting healthy and will look to keep the good vibes rolling when they host the Boston Celtics.
Miami has won four of its previous five games at Kaseya Center, and my Celtics vs. Heat predictions back the Heatles to pull off the upset at home.
Read on for my NBA picks for Thursday, January 15.
Celtics vs Heat prediction
Celtics vs Heat best bet: Heat moneyline (+110)
The value tonight is on the home underdog Miami Heat. While the Boston Celtics won by 13 points in December, Miami was missing three starters and 50+ points.
Now healthy, Miami has won four of five at home with a Top 5 defense against a Celtics offense sometimes too heavily reliant on a banged-up Jaylen Brown.
Miami is 4-2 in games decided by fewer than four points. At plus-money odds, you're getting paid to back a team that wins two out of every three close games.
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Celtics vs Heat same-game parlay
Bam Adebayo is thriving in Miami’s faster pace, and with Davion Mitchell out, the Heat lean more on ISO sets. That favors Bam attacking the Celtics' younger frontcourt with his versatile scoring.
The Heat are healthy and playing smaller, which has directly cut into Kel’el Ware’s minutes. He needs 20+ minutes to reach his rebounding number, and that workload is unlikely with Bam Adebayo in peak form.
Celtics vs Heat SGP
- Heat moneyline
- Bam Adebayo Over 15.5 points
- Kel'el Ware Under 7.5 rebounds
Our "from downtown" SGP: Down goes Brown
Jaylen Brown is dealing with back issues and has failed to score more than 30 points in five of his last seven games.
Celtics vs Heat SGP
- Heat moneyline
- Bam Adebayo Over 15.5 points
- Kel'el Ware Under 7.5 rebounds
- Jaylen Brown Under 29.5 points
Celtics vs Heat odds
- Spread: Celtics -1.5 | Heat +1.5
- Moneyline: Celtics -130 | Heat +110
- Over/Under: Over 233 | Under 233
Celtics vs Heat betting trend to know
The Boston Celtics have only hit the moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (-19.65 Units / -17% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Celtics vs. Heat.
How to watch Celtics vs Heat
| Location | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL |
| Date | Thursday, January 15, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC Sports Boston, FDSN Sun |
Celtics vs Heat latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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