We will not have any Sunday scaries today! We have a ton of value to attack this today, so here are my favorite MLB player props for June 28, led by Bobby Witt Jr. and Shea Langeliers.
Link to “MLB player props” and link to MLB picks page below in text.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Total Bases | -118 | |
| Over 1.5 Total Bases | +119 | |
| Over 1.5 Total Bases | -115 |

Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-118)
Despite the disaster that has been the Royals' 2026 season, Bobby Witt Jr. remains the one constant bright spot in Kansas City. This afternoon, he draws White Sox left hander Anthony Kay, a matchup that sets up well for him. Witt Jr. owns excellent arsenal coverage against Kay's pitch mix, which is made up almost entirely of offerings that grade below league average on FanGraphs.
Witt Jr. earns an elite rating today on Batters-Box and has cleared this prop in 56% of his road games over the last three seasons. It is only a 25 game sample, but it is still worth noting. He also records at least one hit in 76% of those games and has gone deep in nearly 30%.
Over his last 60 plate appearances against left handed pitching, Witt Jr. sports a .364 BA, .618 SLG with a 1.035 OPS, while generating a 59% hard hit rate and a 13.7% barrel rate. In his most recent 30 plate appearances against southpaws, he owns an outstanding 92.2% contact rate.
Kay has struggled against right handed hitters at home, allowing a .296 BA, .400 SLG, and .345 wOBA. Even more concerning, the last 30 right handed hitters he has faced have produced an elevation rate of nearly 82%, creating plenty of opportunities for damage.
Yeah, I will happily pay a little extra juice for Mr. Witt Jr. this afternoon.
Text – UPDATE PLAYER NAMES IN THE JUMPLINK TAG
- Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CHSN, ROYL
Josh Jung Over 1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Texas Rangers third baseman Josh Jung used to be one of my favorite players to back a few years ago, but he has not looked like the same hitter he was during his rookie season. That said, he has started to lock back in at the plate. Over his last 30 plate appearances against right handed pitching, Jung owns a 75% hard hit rate and a 10% barrel rate, despite hitting just .259. The way I see it, with the quality of contact he is generating, he is due for a big hit.
Jung enters today with an elite rating on Batters-Box. His overall trends are not as flashy as you would like, but as mentioned, he has not played at an elite level over the past two seasons. Even so, he owns strong matchup percent changes in ISO, wOBA, hard contact, and fly ball rate against Toronto Blue Jays right hander Shane Bieber. On top of that, he covers Bieber's arsenal extremely well.
Bieber is coming off a rough 2026 debut, and I am not going to pretend one start tells us much. However, it is worth noting that he struggled against right handed hitters last season, allowing a batting average near .300, a slugging percentage approaching .600, and a wOBA close to .400.
At +119, I think this is a great price on a hitter who feels more than due for a big swing.
Text – UPDATE PLAYER NAMES IN THE JUMPLINK TAG
- Time: 1: 37 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Sportsnet, RSN
Shea Langeliers Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Athletics star catcher Shea Langeliers finds himself in a mouthwatering matchup against Los Angeles left hander Sam Aldegheri, who has been tormented by right handed hitters this season. Aldegheri has allowed a ton of hard contact and elevated contact, and the underlying metrics are downright ugly. Over the last 30 right handed hitters he has faced, he has allowed a 72% elevation rate and a 16% barrel rate. Those hitters have produced a .370 xBA, .659 xSLG, and .455 xwOBA during that span.
Langeliers matches up extremely well, owning an OPS of at least .806 against 61% of Aldegheri's pitch mix. Left handed pitching has also been his bread and butter this season, as he owns a .337 BA, .651 SLG with a 1.046 OPS and a 183 wRC+. Over his last 30 plate appearances against lefties, he has generated a 48% hard hit rate and a 13% barrel rate, while posting a .963 SLG and a 1.463 OPS.
At -115, I would not pay much more for this prop despite how much I love the matchup. If you are not in the mood to lay juice today, I also like taking his home run and double props individually.
Text – UPDATE PLAYER NAMES IN THE JUMPLINK TAG
- Time: 3:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Peacock
- Prop picks: 246-452, -7.8 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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