Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Jesus Sanchez profiles well against Baltimore Orioles starter Shane Baz, making his Over 0.5 hits market at -160 an attractive price.
Read on for my Blue Jays vs. Orioles predictions and MLB picks for this Sunday, June 7, contest.
Orioles vs Blue Jays predictions
Orioles vs Blue Jays best bet: Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 hits (-160)
Jesus Sanchez profiles well against Shane Baz this afternoon.
Firstly, he’s being mispriced at -160 in comparison to his fellow teammates. Sanchez has great at-bats, ranking second on the Toronto Blue Jays with a .293 xBA, which ranks him in the 91st percentile in baseball, while eclipsing his hits total in seven of his last 10 games.
Moreover, his hitting profile matches up extremely well with what Baz offers.
The Baltimore Orioles starter throws a lot of four-seamers and cutters in the zone to left-handed batters, while relying on contact to get his outs. He ranks in the 34th percentile in xBA, while allowing a 91.6 zone-contact rate.
Sanchez has been crushing those pitch types this season, owning a .338 average with a .538 slug and an 8% barrel rate. I'd play this up to -175.
COVERS INTEL: Jesus Sanchez owns an 8.3% solid contact rating and a .336 BABIP this season, which should help against Baz, who surrenders contact often.
Orioles vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)
I’ll continue to bet on the Blue Jays bats today and wager on both Ernie Clement and Brandon Valenzuela producing today.
Valenzuela has five hits while riding a three-game hitting streak. He’s also eclipsed his hit total in seven of his last 10 outings, sporting a 177 WRC+ over that stretch.
As for Clement, he’s red hot at the plate with a .979 OPS in his last dozen games, averaging 2.5 bases per game. He also profiles well against a pitcher like Baz, who allows solid contact.
Orioles vs Blue Jays SGP
- Jesus Sanchez Over 0.5 hits
- Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
- Brandon Valenzuela Over 0.5 hits
Orioles vs Blue Jays home run pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+510)
Baz has allowed seven homers this season, but has kept the ball in the hard in back-to-back starts, so we’ll make this just a half-unit wager.
Still, the Vladdy breakout is coming. The power numbers have been trending upward over his last 35 at-bats with a 58.1 hard-hit rate, up from his season average of 44.6%, which suggests production may soon follow.
Additionally, Vlad owns a .333 average against Baz, with a home run and an .867 OPS in 15 career at-bats.
- Best bets: 31-32, +3.85 units
- SGPs: 13-50, +9.35 units
- HR picks: 9-54, -0.30 units
Orioles vs Blue Jays odds
- Moneyline: Baltimore +120 | Toronto -140
- Run line: Baltimore +1.5 (-175) | Toronto -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under: Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105)
Orioles vs Blue Jays trend
The Blue Jays have cashed the Over in seven of their last eight games for +5.9 units and a 68% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Orioles vs. Blue Jays.
How to watch Orioles vs Blue Jays and game info
| Location | Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Sunday, 6-7-2026 |
| First pitch | 1:37 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet |
| Orioles starting pitcher | Shane Baz (3-5, 4.29 ERA) |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Kevin Gausman (4-4, 3.36 ERA) |
Orioles vs Blue Jays latest injuries
Orioles vs Blue Jays weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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