Fifteen games are on the MLB schedule today, and I’ve got you covered with my favorite moneyline picks for each matchup, highlighted by the Detroit Tigers edging out the Texas Rangers on Sunday Night Baseball.
Read on as I break down all of my top MLB picks for Sunday, May 3.
MLB moneyline picks for May 3
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Blue Jaysvs  Twins |
+100 |
 Redsvs  Pirates |
+108 |
 Astrosvs  Red Sox |
+122 |
 Brewersvs  Nationals |
-122 |
 Oriolesvs  Yankees |
-203 |
 Philliesvs  Marlins |
-127 |
 Giantsvs  Rays |
-113 |
 Dodgersvs  Cardinals |
-138 |
 Dodgersvs  Cardinals |
-150 |
 Bravesvs  Rockies |
-170 |
 Guardiansvs  Athletics |
-113 |
 Metsvs  Angels |
+113 |
 White Soxvs  Padres |
-170 |
 Royalsvs  Mariners |
-122 |
 Rangersvs  Tigers |
-122 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 5-3.
Trade on the MLB at Polymarket!
Sign up now using our exclusive Polymarket promo code 'COVERS' (on your mobile app only) and get a $20 trading bonus after you deposit $20 to trade on any other event contracts — including MLB moneylines!
*Eligible locations only
Expert MLB moneyline picks for May 3
Blue Jays vs Twins: Twins (+100)
Twins win probability: 50%
Although Trey Yesavage looked solid in his 2026 debut, Joe Ryan has had the Blue Jays' number over the years, limiting Toronto hitters to a .708 lifetime OPS.
Expect the Twins to take the series finale at home.
Reds vs Pirates: Reds (+108)
Reds win probability: 48%
Cincinnati has quietly been crushing it away from the confines of Great American Ballpark, sporting a 10-5 SU mark on the road.
Considering we have an equal pitching matchup that pits Chase Burns against Braxton Ashcraft, I'll roll with the Reds at plus value.
Astros vs Red Sox: Astros (+122)
Astros win probability: 45%
There aren’t many teams more unwatchable than the 2026 iteration of the Boston Red Sox, and our very own Josh Inglis does a great job breaking down why their offense may have spiraled this season.
For all of Houston's pitching issues, the Stros can still score with the best of them — and it likely won’t take much to get past this Red Sox club.
Brewers vs Nationals: Brewers (-122)
Brewers win probability: 55%
Zack Littell enters Sunday winless through four starts, carrying an ugly 7.85 ERA that includes a 16:11 K:BB ratio.
Both offenses have been red-hot down the stretch, but Littell’s struggles loom large in D.C.
Orioles vs Yankees: Yankees (-203)
Yankees win probability: 67%
Shane Baz hasn’t been able to reinvent himself in Baltimore, showing the same inconsistency he flashed in Tampa with a 4.50 ERA, and the Yankees will have a major leg up when they send Max Fried to the mound in the Bronx.
This one won't be close.
Phillies vs Marlins: Phillies (-127)
Phillies win probability: 56%
Can Donnie Baseball save the Phillies? Their new skipper is 4-1 and will be back at his old stomping grounds in Miami this afternoon.
Philly should keep the momentum rolling against Chris Paddack, who’s been rocked to the tune of a 6.11 ERA and 1.50 WHIP through 28 innings of work.
Giants vs Rays: Rays (-113)
Rays win probability: 53%
San Francisco is in the midst of a massively disappointing season for the second consecutive year, and the Giants are sitting in the basement when it comes to team home runs.
The Rays will grind you down with small ball and heads-up baserunning at the Trop, and I expect that to show up against a scuffling Tyler Mahle
Dodgers vs Cardinals: Dodgers (-138)
Dodgers win probability: 58%
Justin Wrobleski is 4-0 as a Dodgers reliever-turned-starter, and with the struggling Dustin May on the mound for the opposing side, this play becomes an easy choice.
Diamondbacks vs Cubs: Cubs (-150)
Cubs win probability: 60%
Merrill Kelly rates among the bottom 10 of qualified pitchers in proStuff+, and he’ll be in trouble against a Cubs offense that has averaged six runs per game over their last five contests.
Braves vs Rockies: Braves (-170)
Braves win probability: 63%
Spencer Strider is set to make his first start of the season, though his notable dip in velocity over the years could give the Rockies a chance to pounce.
Meanwhile, Kyle Freeland will have his hands full against an Atlanta Braves lineup that ranks in the Top 5 in batting average, slugging percentage, and OPS.
The real bet is on the Over, but it's hard to go against Atlanta right now.
Guardians vs Athletics: Guardians (-113)
Guardians win probability: 53%
Parker Messick is looking like an early AL Cy Young candidate, rolling into Sunday undefeated with a 1.73 ERA and a chase rate that sits in the 96th percentile at Baseball Savant.
As long as Messick keeps dealing, there's no reason not to bet on Cleveland when he takes the bump.
Mets vs Angels: Angels (+113)
Angels win probability: 47%
Not only do the Mets possess the worst record in baseball, but Francisco Lindor, Jorge Polanco, and Luis Robert Jr. have all landed on the IL.
It’s been a season from hell for Frank the Tank and the rest of Mets Nation, but let's profit off of it, shall we?
White Sox vs Padres: Padres (-170)
Padres win probability: 63%
Did San Diego win the Juan Soto trade with New York?
Randy Vasquez has really stepped up as a key cog in the Padres rotation, and the home team will have no trouble getting to White Sox lefty Anthony Kay (6.12 ERA), who’s on his third team in as many MLB seasons.
Royals vs Mariners: Mariners (-122)
Mariners win probability: 55%
Luis Castillo has been a shell of his former self, but the Mariners right-hander should bounce back against a putrid Royals offense that is hitting just .205 off of him.
Side with Seattle on Sunday afternoon.
Rangers vs Tigers: Tigers (-122)
Tigers win probability: 55%
My preseason pick to win the World Series has been treading water through much of March and April, but a Sunday night matchup at Comerica will see the Tigers take on a Rangers team struggling to plate runs, sitting bottom-10 in runs per game and OPS.
Add in injuries to Brandon Nimmo and Wyatt Langford, and the home team should pull away in primetime.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
