Today’s MLB player props and home run analysis will hop on the Juan Soto train again as he continues to smash baseballs.
I’ll also include Willy Adames and reigning AL MVP Aaron Judge in my home run picks for Wednesday, September 3.
Best MLB home run props today
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Soto (+320) -
Judge (+250) -
Adames (+310) - 💲 +5927 parlay💲
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HR Prop #1: Juan Soto
Juan Soto is coming alive offensively at the best possible time. He’s been destroying the Detroit Tigers in this three-game series, finishing with two hits in both wins so far. That includes home runs in both contests.
The slugger is now up to 37 bombs on the year, and he’s gone deep five times in as many appearances. That includes a two-homer day on Saturday against the Miami Marlins.
The Dominican comes up against the struggling Casey Mize this afternoon, who had an ERA well over 5.00 in August. He’s struggled immensely over the last two months, and the righty has allowed 17 homers in 23 outings. Soto is 1-for-3 lifetime versus Mize.
HR Prop #2: Aaron Judge
Perhaps he may have serious competition for the AL MVP award given Cal Raleigh’s historic campaign, but Aaron Judge is still a monster at the dish. After a slow start following his return from the IL, the outfielder has started to find a rhythm offensively again.
Judge has three homers in his last six games and has now gone deep 43 times on the season while hitting .325. The New York Yankees take on the Houston Astros tonight and they face Jason Alexander. Judge is 1-for-4 against him with a round-tripper.
He has five hits already in this series, including one bomb. Look for Judge to stay hot and potentially crack No. 44.
HR Prop #3: Willy Adames
The drama was at an all-time high on Tuesday when Rafael Devers and Kyle Freeland got into it after Devers was caught "admiring" a home run, which resulted in the benches clearing in Denver.
There will be more animosity tonight, and Willy Adames will be looking to add fuel to the fire. The infielder has smacked 26 bombs this season, and he’ll be loving the matchup here.
The San Francisco Giants face German Marquez. Adames is 2-for-7 against him, with both hits leaving the ballpark.
Adames has two round-trippers in his last three, and also went deep on Tuesday in the 8-2 victory. He’s smacked 16 long balls on the road, and of course, the elevation always helps a hitter at Coors Field.
Marquez has a 6.14 ERA and has allowed three homers in his last two outings. He’s given up 15 bombs in total in 2025.
Today’s HR parlay
Juan Soto home run
Aaron Judge home run
Willy Adames home run
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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