MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Parlay & Odds Today for June 27: Duran Takes Center Stage at Fenway

Jarren Duran may be in the middle of a disappointing offensive campaign, but the Red Sox leadoff man is poised for a big outing against a starter he has historically dominated.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Jun 27, 2025 • 12:32 ET • 4 min read
Jarren Duran Boston Red Sox MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Boston Red Sox left fielder Jarren Duran (16) hits a solo home run.

Tonight’s MLB player props analysis will highlight Jarren Duran, Manny Machado, and Nick Castellanos.

Find out more in my MLB picks for Friday, June 27. 

Best MLB home run props today

  • Red Sox Jarren Duran (+400)
  • Padres Manny Machado (+275)
  • Phillies Nick Castellanos (+600)
  • 💲 +13025 parlay💲

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HR picks for June 27

Jarren Duran (+400 at DraftKings)

While Jarren Duran's power numbers are down this season, the Boston Red Sox outfielder has historically raked against Jose Berrios.

He’s 10-for-21 lifetime with three home runs off the Toronto Blue Jays starter. Additionally, every one of Duran’s bombs has been off right-handed hurlers, and he’s batting .294 at home.

Expect Duran to make some noise in front of the Fenway faithful tonight. 

Manny Machado (+275 at DraftKings)

Manny Machado has been tearing the cover off the baseball in June, hitting .278 with seven bombs and 22 RBI. Only two players have slugged more long balls this month than the San Diego Padres third baseman.

The Friars are set to begin a series with the Cincinnati Reds, and Machado is batting .321 on the road with eight homers. San Diego faces right-hander Nick Martinez, and Machado is 4-for-11 with three RBI against his former teammate.

Machado has two bombs in his last six appearances, and five of his home runs are off right-handed pitchers. I’m eyeing him to keep up the success against Martinez tonight. 

Nick Castellanos (+600 at DraftKings)

It's well known that Nick Castellanos has serious pop in his bat when he gets hold of one. 

The Philadelphia Phillies begin an important series with the Atlanta Braves, who hand Bryce Elder the ball. 

Castellanos is 3-for-6 lifetime against the right-hander, and the outfielder thrives at Citizens Bank Park, hitting .313 at home with six bombs.

Most of Castellanos's power output is against righties as well, boasting seven long balls. 

Today’s HR parlay

Jarren Duran

Manny Machado

Nick Castellanos

  1. Aaron Judge, Yankees
  2. Martin Maldonado, Padres
  3. Juan Soto, Mets

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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