Best NRFI Bets Today - Friday, August 1

With Shane Baz's analytics suggesting positive regression and the Dodgers' offense struggling, expect a low-scoring start to tonight’s matchup in Tampa.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Aug 1, 2025 • 12:21 ET • 4 min read
Shane Baz Tampa Bay Rays MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Shane Baz (11) pitches.

It seems crazy to back the "No Run First Inning" prop in a game where the stacked Los Angeles Dodgers lineup is facing a starter with an ERA above 4.50, but that's exactly what my MLB picks are betting tonight.

Read more in my best free YRFI and NRFI bets for Friday, August 1.

Best NRFI/YRFI bets today

  • Royals Royals vs Blue Jays Blue Jays: YRFI
  • Dodgers Dodgers vs Rays Rays: NRFI
  • Rangers Rangers vs Mariners Mariners: NRFI

JOIN THRILLZZ - AMERICA'S SOCIAL SPORTSBOOK

Download Thrillzz, today using the code COVERS and get a 400% match on your first coins purchase — plus 60,000 free coins and $3 in free sweeps coins!

Thrillz

Learn more with our comprehensive Thrillzz review.

Available in all states excluding AL, GA, ID, IN, IA, KY, LA, MI, MN, MS, NV, OH, SC, and WA.
18+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

NRFI/YRFI bets for August 1

Royals at Blue Jays: YRFI (Play at Thrillzz)

Both of these offenses are red-hot.

The Toronto Blue Jays lead the majors in OPS (.824) while plating 5.29 runs per game over the last 30 days. Meanwhile, the Kansas City Royals rank sixth in OPS (.764) over the same span.

KC is starting Michael Wacha, who carries a 4.53 ERA on the road this season. The Jays are sending Kevin Gausman to the hill, who’s been inconsistent with a 3.82 ERA over 21 starts.

The Royals also hit better on the road, where they rank sixth in first-inning run percentage (32.1%).

  • Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Sportsnet | FDSN Kansas City
  • Bet: YRFI

Dodgers at Rays: NRFI (Play at Thrillzz)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have seen a significant drop-off in their production on the road, posting an OPS of .721. Their stacked lineup has also been in a slump, with L.A. ranking 27th in the majors in OPS (.673) over the last 30 days. 

While Tampa Bay Rays starter Shane Baz has a 4.61 ERA, his expected ERA is far better at 3.64. He has also pitched to a 1.71 ERA with an OBA of .195 in the first frame.

L.A. is sending 11-time All-Star Clayton Kershaw to the hill. Although the southpaw's season debut in May went poorly, he boasts a 3.07 ERA in 11 starts since. The Rays have also struggled against lefties, posting an OPS of just .658.

  • Time: 7:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MLB Network
  • Bet: NRFI

Rangers at Mariners: NRFI (Play at Thrillzz)

The Seattle Mariners' bats have been struggling at home, where they play at the most pitcher-friendly venue in the majors. They sport an OPS of .678 at T-Mobile Park, plating a run in the first inning in just 17% of their home games.

Meanwhile, the visiting Texas Rangers are just 28th in the majors in OPS (.677) while ranking 21st in first-inning run rate (27.3%). The Rangers will struggle against M's starter Logan Gilbert, who sports a sizzling 1.94 ERA with an OBA of .132 in eight starts at home.

Texas responds with Jack Leiter, who is beginning to play up to his vast potential as a sophomore. Leiter has been getting off to great starts before finding trouble in the middle innings. The righty has logged a 2.33 ERA with an OBA of .153 during the first three innings of his 18 starts.

  • Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Root Sports | Rangers Sports Network
  • Bet: NRFI

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo