It took a dramatic comeback on the road in Jacksonville from Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills for oddsmakers to change their stance on the AFC contenders.
Key Takeaways
- Buffalo goes from +1,000 to +550 to win the Super Bowl at FanDuel.
- The Seahawks remain the favorites to win it all.
- Bettors like the Texans to beat the Steelers on Monday night.
The Bills were slight underdogs in Sunday’s wild-card game against the Jaguars, which they won 27-24 after Allen capped a nine-play, 66-yard drive on a go-ahead touchdown with 1:04 to play.
With one game still left in the Wild Card Round, the Bills’ odds to win the Super Bowl shortened significantly from +1,000 a week ago to +550 at FanDuel, which lists the Bills third behind the Seahawks and Rams. However, FanDuel has the Patriots slightly ahead of Buffalo in AFC winner odds. Allen is listed third with odds of +700 to be named Super Bowl MVP.
DraftKings has Buffalo fourth on its Super Bowl odds list at +600, with New England third at +550.
Not only did Buffalo make a good impression on the futures market, but the sixth-seeded Bills are also currently 1.5-point favorites at FanDuel in the divisional round over the Broncos, the AFC’s top seed, who had a bye from the wild-card round. Buffalo dominated Denver 31-7 at Highmark Stadium in last year’s wild-card showdown.
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Same favorite
| Team | FanDuel | DraftKings |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | +280 | +275 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +320 | +310 |
| Buffalo Bills | +550 | +600 |
| New England Patriots | +600 | +550 |
| Denver Broncos | +800 | +700 |
| Houston Texans | +1,200 | +1,200 |
| Chicago Bears | +1,200 | +1,600 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +2,000 | +2,000 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +4,000 | +6,000 |
Seattle remains the Super Bowl favorite at every major sportsbook, but its odds over the last week went from +420 to +280 at FanDuel without playing during wild-card weekend. The Rams, who survived the Panthers 34-31 as 10.5-point favorites last Saturday, are +320 at FanDuel and +310 at DraftKings.
The Bears' 31-27 come-from-behind win over the Packers on Saturday night lifted Chicago's Super Bowl odds from +2,200 at DraftKings to +1,600 heading into the divisional round matchup with the Rams, who are 3.5-point favorites.
The 49ers are touchdown underdogs at Seattle but saw their Super Bowl odds shorten slightly from +2,500 to +2,000.
Heading into Monday Night Football’s game between the Texans and Steelers, Pittsburgh is listed last with odds of +4,000 to win it all at FanDuel, up from +5,500 last week.
MNF insights
The Texans, 3-point favorites on the road Monday night, have odds of +1,200 to win the Super Bowl at FanDuel. Houston is getting 65% of the bets and 63% of the handle at BetMGM to cover the spread against the Steelers.
The online operator has seen 53% of the tickets on the over 38, and 58% of the money is on the over. Houston’s Christian Kirk over 2.5 receptions made at +150 is the most-bet player prop at BetMGM, followed by Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers over 0.5 rushing yards and under 32.5 yards longest passing completion.
