Black Friday Bettors Shop for Value in NFL Standalone Game

With a Sunday slate still to come, Kansas City (-13) is the most-bet team by tickets and handle at BetMGM. 

Brad Senkiw - News Editorat Covers.com
Brad Senkiw • News Editor
Nov 29, 2024 • 12:37 ET • 4 min read
Photo By - Imagn Images.

The NFL’s lone Black Friday game doesn’t offer much pizazz or stakes, but that won’t keep bettors from getting action down when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Las Vegas Raiders. 

The reigning Super Bowl champs are a 13.5-point favorite at ESPN BET, where they’re getting 63.4% of the handle and 42.7% of the bets as of Friday morning. 

With a Sunday slate still to come, Kansas City (-13) is the most-bet team by tickets and handle at BetMGM. 

DraftKings reported 40% of the handle is on the Raiders while 55% of the tickets are backing the road team.

The action is even more split at bet365, which told Covers that 54% of the spread handle is backing the Chiefs, and at BetMGM, which reported 53% of tickets and 52% of the money is on the favorite. 

Despite Kansas City’s 10-1 record, they don’t have a winning mark against the spread. Neither do the Raiders, but that hasn't stopped some bettors from getting in on +525 odds to win outright as the biggest underdog bet yet at BetMGM. 

ESPN BET reported that 88.5% of the moneyline is on the Chiefs while bet365 said Kansas City’s 96% makes it the shortest ML on the board and the most popular parlay team.

Total holds steady

A total of 42.5 is universal across the sportsbooks that provided Black Friday insights, and there has yet to be much movement. BetMGM has the over in this game as the most-bet total at this point in the week. 

ESPN BET has 71.2% of the bets and 63.5% of the handle on the over. 

DraftKings has it fairly onesided as 73% of the handle and 72% of the wagers are on the over while nearly 70% of action on the total is leaning the same way at bet365.   

Finding the end zone

Bettors are a little more split on touchdown scorers. 

Among the Raiders vs. Chiefs picks and best bets, ESPN BET and DraftKings said Travis Kelce is the most-bet player in the anytime TD market at +125. The Chiefs’ star is looking to find the end zone for the third time all season and first since Nov. 10 against a defense that’s dreadful defending his position. 

Kareem Hunt is getting the second-most anytime TD wagers. The Chiefs running back is No. 1 at bet365 with odds of -163. Bettors aren’t backing off of the veteran rusher despite the return of Isiah Pacheco from injury to the Kansas City backfield.

Tight end Brock Bowers is the most-bet player wearing silver and black to score a touchdown on Black Friday.  

Other player props

Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 touchdowns thrown at -150 has seen one-sided action at bet365. The Kansas City quarterback has gone over that mark in four of his last five games and threw a pair of TDs against the Raiders in Week 8. 

The two most-bet player props at DraftKings for the Black Friday showdown are Kelce to catch 40+ yards at -270 and 50+ yards at -155. DeAndre Hopkins over 3.5 catches is the third-most bet prop. 

Bowers is a popular pick to go over 70 yards with odds of +140 at bet365.  

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