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Ridiculously absurd MLB System!

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Captain
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Posted: #1476
-210 juice on marlins for an away game??  and a double down chase system???  this kinda betting can put someone deep in trouble fast,  i love your stuff Jeff but im gonna watch this one   
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1477
They beat them yesterday on the road? I get what you are saying, it's a system which doesn't involve handicapping, so it's up to you to dot your i's and cross your t's. Kept in mind the odds could switch to Mets + 1.5 so we don't know for sure yet if Miami is the play.
 
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Posted: #1478
 
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Posted: #1479
 
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Posted: #1480
just went up to -235 on my book.. wish I pulled the trigger sooner. many of the last few games between Mets and Marlins decided by a single run so lets hope it continues again today!
 
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Posted: #1481
only tracking play left for today is Toronto right Jeff?
 
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Posted: #1482
Quote Originally Posted by BaggerVANCE:

only tracking play left for today is Toronto right Jeff?

Yes
 
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Posted: #1483
Quote Originally Posted by cwbuff44:


Yikes! I played Pitt ML because there wasn't a +1.5 in your post this morning.  I just assumed you meant Pitt ML. It was a winner anyway but I don't want to screw it up in the future. Will system 2 always be run line plays or are the ML plays too?

It was typo on my pàrt. If the team I post is a dog, take the +1.5
 
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Posted: #1484
Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

No plays for system 2 on Sunday! 

System 1

TOR +1.5 (C)
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1485
Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:


It was typo on my pàrt. If the team I post is a dog, take the +1.5

Ok cool! Thanks for the clarification.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1486
This one's gonna really hurt. - 210 juice. Maybe Vegas caught on? Definitely gotta lower my units if it's gonna get this bad.
 
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Posted: #1487
First D game of the year :). Should be fun.  Looks like Cubs..  Stay the course !!!  Good luck to ALL
 
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Posted: #1488
Quote Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:


System 1

TOR +1.5 (C)

 
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Posted: #1489
Ok guys bad day on rotation system lost with MIA +1.5 (C)

Tomorrow we have CHC +1.5 (D) 

System 1 today wins with TOR +1.5 (C) 

No losses this season with System 1 which is 3 game chase 

System 1 tomorrow is:

CHC +1.5 (A) 
COL +1.5 (A)
S.F. (A)
LAA (A)

No losses this season with System 2 which is a 4 game chase

System 2 tomorrow is:

No plays
 
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Posted: #1490
How has system 1 performed in the past years? 
 
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Posted: #1491
Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:

How has system 1 performed in the past years? 

Very well, it will have many losses but a ton of plays. Should net a few hundred units a season after all losses. 
 
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Posted: #1492
Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:

How has system 1 performed in the past years? 

If I get some time I'll figure out this years performce so far. 
 
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Posted: #1493
So D play is like high winning percentage right?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1494
How do you figure out system 1 and 2? I got the NL system down.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #1495
Sorry, don't want to be an annoying poster, but I don't want to look through 60 pages of this thread to try and find it. If you have a post number, that works too. Appreciate it.
 
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Posted: #1496
He has not said how Systems 1 and 2 work.
 
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Posted: #1497
Wager less $$$!!! It's a 7 month season. Everyday!
 
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Posted: #1498
I'm looking for a Cubbie win, because they either win or lose by an approx. avg. 2.5-3 runs.

BOL
 
Prospect
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Posts: 314
Posted: #1499
Quote Originally Posted by SteveChase:



Here is the current chase sequence to help those who are having a tough time following this system or understanding it completely.  Today is Game "D" which means the current chase has lost 3 straight.

Game 1: San Diego +1.5 (-135)  Risk $135 to win $100 (Loss $135)
Game 2: San Diego +1.5 (-230) Risk $540 to win $100 (Loss $540)
Game 3: Miami +1.5 (-225) Risk $1,440 to win $100 (Loss $1,440)
Game 4: Cubs +1.5 (-175) Risk $2,695 to win $100 (Pending)

If you win today you win $100 on the chase but if you lose today tomorrow you will need to risk approximately $5,500 to win $100. This is the reality of how it works.  However, the real problem with this is that no local will take a $2,695 on a single baseball game and most sportsbooks won't either because they insert maximum bet amounts for most bettors that are below this threshold which means most bettors are already screwed and can't chase today or tomorrow.

yeah but if you're normally a $100 per unit bettor, you should be scaling down your unit for a chase bc you know the risk in advance

I'm a $50 bettor when I bet straight, but for this chase I am starting the A game at $5.... 

if it profits like Jeff said it will (he said this chase is good for 150 units or so), then I still profit $750 for the chase when all is said and done

no one should be starting this chase at $100 for the A game unless they have a big big bankroll
 
 
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Posted: #1500
For a 5 game chase your unit size should be around 0.5%.

Pinnacle has a limit of around $10k on individual games.
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