Moving to Vegas to become a full time pro handicapper

I know I know what ur going to say..  "CG what are the chances they win by exactly six"  

hmm what were the chances I lose my Miami heat -1 bet up 79-65 going into the 4th at Milwaukee last week against a ice cold bucks team who lost six in a row?

what were the chances I lost my SPURS ML bet 3 weeks ago vs the Cavs... up 6 with 35 seconds left... up 3 with 13 seconds left and Kwai Leonard shooting two FT's

What were the chances taking florida +16.5 instead of +17 would actually make a difference between a loss and a push? 

What were the chances I would go from losing my eastern Washington +8 bet against gtown in the tourney... once I missed down 8 and was walking off the court not fouling?  GTWON decides to classless dunk with 1 second left

What were the chances I would lose my Suns at Nets bet... had the Nets up 13 with 5 min left at home and they don't score A SINGLE PT the last 5 min and change

What were the chances I would not win my Michigan state -4 bet vs Maryland in the big 10 tourney?  up 4 with 4 seconds left and Maryland somehow dosent foul and I have an uncontested dunk I didn't take....

When was the last time an NBA team scored 131 pts and didn't cover? let alone not WIN like the Thunder did for me Wednesday

Those are just a few... there have been more brutal losses than that, just a few that popped off the top of my head...  each game being a 2K-4K swing in my journey in the wrong direction

so ur not exactly dealing with someone with good luck from the gambling gods here... so any insurance I can take I MUST DO SO.. as I lose 90% of my games on phantom events by a half pt or pt...

Yes, same thing could happen for sure. I can easily see Wisky losing by 17. Buy it up 12 points, because you only pay juice on the losses, as you have so ignorantly pointed out so many times.

I mean, you can't really be this ignorant, can you?  Are you just not good at logic or math?  You're Mickey Mouse when it comes to math bro. 

oh I left one out among others...

what were the chances byu would not cover -3 let alone win vs ole miss in the play in game up SEVENTEEN at half?

ole miss is a great squad I forgot... they played really well the next round vs xaxier

no no no ..  what I was saying is if I take wiscy +5 -105 instead of +6 -120 that Kentucky could beat me by that half pt-pt range again... just like my florida +16.5 bet when I could have gotten +17 and pushed instead of lost..

that's what I was saying...   basically saying when u look at my losses so many are sick and by a pt or half pt so any insurance I can get is huge

Do you ever look at how many games you have bought a half point and it doesn't come into play whether you won or lost the bet? You have no idea how much you cost yourself in profit and how much extra you lost because I doubt you have a chart where you keep tract of this stuff, buying points or paying higher juice is idiotic. I don't care what sport and what number, I will never buy half a point and yes that includes football on 2.5, 3.5, 6.5 and 7.5 lines.

I totally "get it" pt is look at my losses...  just listen to me and look at them.. u can see I am quite unlucky.. I get 10 bad bets for every 1 lucky win if not more....  so a pt difference for a bettor with my luck is criticial.. 

purdue -5.5  vs penn state in big 10 tourney... if I bought that to -5 I push instead of lose...

whitchita state -6 vs Indiana....  win by 5

both games bc of missed FT"s

it's amazing.. maybe since u guys aren't the ones making the bets u don't realize it... but if I had bought the half pt on all of my bets I would have had about 5-6 pushes instead of losses... and in every case I should have won the spread with my original number which is the sickest part of it

I sound like a loser talking about bad beats since I am down, but look at those beats... they are some of the most brutal ones of the season without a doubt, all within a month or so of each other.. hard to believe...   each time a 2-4K swing.. if I had even BAD luck and not HISTORICALLY BAD luck I would be even right now.

read this again...   and tell me u don't think someone with luck like this should take every pt he can get?

most ppl I agree it's crazy to go from +5 -105 to +6 -120

banking on a one pt difference helping u knowing u have to risk an extra 15 cents

but normal people don't lose ONE of the games mentioned above, let alone ALL OF THEM like me

Yeah, I KNOW what you are saying.  But why stop at 6, or 7, or 8?  They could lose by 8  you know, right?  How is 8 any less/more likely than 5 or 6, that's only one bucket more.  Just keep buying it up (I know you probably can't since you only bet at the non-Mickey Mouse casinos).  You said you only pay juice when you lose.  So if that is true, and you are confident in UW +5, why wouldn't you just buy it up as high as the book will let you?  Why wouldn't you do this on every single wager you ever make?

Why even lay points with a favorite??  Just play the ML, no juice if you win, right?

Did you grow up under some power lines?  Sleep next to a microwave in college? 

Also, nice sample size on the six games, I think 6 is a pretty large sample size.  You make more excuses for $hit than my teenagers. 

bk to be safe.. u see the sick shitt that happens to cost me losses.. its hard to make up...  if they cover then it makes no difference and it gets me more insurance

add the purdue -5.5 loss in big ten tourney to psu   if I bought it down I push... missed ft cost me

shockers -6 vs Indiana  same crap.. missed ft

all I know is if I took wiscy +5 instead of buying it to +6 and they lost by 5 or 6 I couldn't live with myself

so yea it's nuts per say to pay the extra $600 in juice but this is my last bomb play if I lose before my grind so I want every bet of insurance I can get.  if they lose by 7 or more yea I'm out an extra $600 than I should be but I need that extra pt for insurance...  even tho I feel wiscy wins the game outright

last sunday similar scenario... Michigan state is -2.5 at the book with the -105 juice specials and -2 -110 at another book

u clowns would want me to take the -2.5 -105 which is absurd...  I took the -2 -110 and although it didn't matter it was the type of game where it easily could have ended a Michigan state 2 pt victory.

when sparty was up one shooting two free throws late, would u have liked to have -2.5 and not -2?  

give me a break don't tell the pro how to run things like I told u all before

I AM GURANTEEING A WISCY COVER.   FIRST TIME IN MY CAREER ISSUING A GURANTEE

WTF- WRONG TEAM FAVORED

If you knew your $$$ was going to come down to a college kid making/missing a foul shot, probably wouldn't be wagering on it to begin with.  You are micro-analyzing the end of the game and trying to apply that small fraction of the game to your end result. 

If you think 5 isn't enough with Wisky because it "could" come down to FT's, DON'T F&*CKING BET THE GAME.  If you are confident UW stays within the number, and maybe wins outright, JUST BET THE LINE AS IS.

Such a novice concept, hard to believe you don't grasp it.

"Luck" is short term, close wins/losses even out over time.  In the long run, winners win, and losers lose.