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MY TENNIS PICKS 2016

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Posts: 126
Posted: #301
Quote Originally Posted by Sentinel3:

Chroem, it can look as bad as it wants during the match.It's the result at the end that matters. I don't even watch the match or the scoreboard. I just check in 30 minutes before my next pick is about to start. And see what result I will be posting.

Why some of you guys are sweating it so badly on these matches I don't know. Unless you're making the mistake  of betting too much on a single match. That is a mistake. You must accept small but steady wins and build your bankroll slowly. If you do this with my picks. You will never ever get wiped out. And will make healthy profits every year.

And have a very powerful bankroll to back you up over the coming years. You must think LONGTERM. I know what's going on with a lot of you. You have this get rich quick mentality. And that's not going to work. Because when I eventually hit that 5 or 6 match losing streak. Those who bet too much in relation to their bankroll will get destroyed.

Many years ago I used to pay for baseball picks. This online capper promised great profits. He would give out picks maybe 10 a week on average. And sometimes you would win 5 to 10 times in a row. What he never told you was you could also lose 5 to 11 times in a row.

And as a result me being green at the time  I staked way too high in relation to my bankroll and got hit by an 11 game losing streak and lost Over 2000 pounds. I learnt a valuable lesson from that.

So I'm saying to any of you on here who see I can win and are following me. DO NOT get carried away with how much you stake. I have been doing this for 8 years. And made a profit every year. With what I know I should be a multi millionaire. But I ALWAYS have respect for the long losing streak.

And never risk more than 5% tops of my total roll. And if you all stake like me you will be successful in the long run...

So I don't want to see any of you asking me what's going on with this player or that player. follow me or don't follow me. If you do this like me. You will win like me. It's that's simple...





You are right bro.. AMEN! :D
 
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Posted: #302
Sentinel, what do you think about Monfils against Gulbis today at Rotterdam?
 
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Posted: #303
Quote Originally Posted by TShark5:

Sentinel, what do you think about Monfils against Gulbis today at Rotterdam?
I won't be playing it. Monfils should win IF he shows up. He is a very inconsistent player though. 
 
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Posted: #304
Quote Originally Posted by Sentinel3:

I won't be playing it. Monfils should win IF he shows up. He is a very inconsistent player though. 

Murray played so bad this game, they decided to win second set in 2 breaks.. then when it went into tiebreak they decided to go on tilt mode again.
 
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Posted: #305
BANKROLL=1080.60 UNITS

BET 090=M.PUJOL-GRANOLLERS@1.53--STAKE
4 UNITS

EVENT=ATP MEMPHIS OPEN USA

65 WINS--24 LOSSES
 
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Posted: #306
Sentinental what do u think ebden or laaksonen
 
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Posted: #307
Quote Originally Posted by bkingsrep:

Sentinental what do u think ebden or laaksonen
Laaksonen has looked pretty solid recently.
 
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Posted: #308
BANKROLL=1082.72 UNITS

BET 091=H.LAAKSONEN@1.67--STAKE 3 UNITS

EVENT=ATP MEMPHIS OPEN USA

66 WINS--24 LOSSES
 
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Posts: 190
Posted: #309
Hey Sentinel, Extremely impressive stuff. Just started following yesterday. Appreciate what you do here 
 
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Posted: #310
BANKROLL=1084.73 UNITS

BET 092=D.THIEM@1.44--STAKE 3 UNITS

EVENT=ATP BUENOS AIRES ARGENTINA

67 WINS--24 LOSSES
 
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Posts: 156
Posted: #311
H.LAAKSONEN was looking like easy money unfortuanatly a retire is no action on my books. Thanks for the solid pick tho, he was steam rolling. On to the next
 
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Posted: #312
Quote Originally Posted by Djr357:

Hey Sentinel, Extremely impressive stuff. Just started following yesterday. Appreciate what you do here
Thankyou, follow it faithfully and you are assured success over the longterm with this. Im glad if I can share my success with others...
 
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Posted: #313
Quote Originally Posted by Djr357:

Hey Sentinel, Extremely impressive stuff. Just started following yesterday. Appreciate what you do here
Thankyou, follow it faithfully and you are assured success over the longterm with this. Im glad if I can share my success with others...
 
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Posted: #314
Quote Originally Posted by Sentinel3:

Thankyou, follow it faithfully and you are assured success over the longterm with this. Im glad if I can share my success with others...
Yes thank you very much for your hard work and dedication. Your making it enjoyable to learn how to get an edge on tennis longterm...I would like to learn how you set yourself up for the day like a strategy or do you just go one match at a time, or  have like a vague idea on who you are going to bet on for that day/tournament? no need to respond just someday if you have time and what to share a little more knowlege, im all ears lol  thanks for your picks I'm tailing also
 
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Posted: #315
Quote Originally Posted by bulls23:

Yes thank you very much for your hard work and dedication. Your making it enjoyable to learn how to get an edge on tennis longterm...I would like to learn how you set yourself up for the day like a strategy or do you just go one match at a time, or  have like a vague idea on who you are going to bet on for that day/tournament? no need to respond just someday if you have time and what to share a little more knowlege, im all ears lol  thanks for your picks I'm tailing also
Hi bulls23

You're welcome, there's no magic formula. The two most important things are the betting zone. 1.40---1.67 and a lot of PATIENCE. If you stick to those two things you will be successful. The weak link is the MIND. For most it strays off the path very quickly. And that's why the books know they will never fail  to take most people's money in the long run.

I can show a 1000 people how to win. But human nature being what it is, not even 100 of those 1000 will stick to it.

So the first criteria for my selections is the pricing zone of 1.40 to 1.67. Only plays that fall into that pricing zone will be considered. I used to use 1.40 to 1.80. But I found by using 1.67 I enjoy many more streaks of three or better.The reason being that overall the price will average out to 1.50 for the winners. That means that if my STRIKERATE stays above 66% LONGTERM, which it does. I can make a profit even to level stakes.

But by using flexible staking I can make even greater profits.

How I make my selections is based on how I feel about the player at that time and what tournament they're playing in. Certain players excel in certain tournaments. And surfaces. I don't buy into H2H too much because a player may have beaten another player 5 times to nothing 5 years ago. Now circumstances might be very different.

So it's where those players are right now that counts more to me...

PATIENCE...The most important attribute in gambling. When I didn't have it in the beginning, I always finished a year with less than I started with. Now I always finish with decent profits in relation to bankroll.

I look for a compounded increase on my bankroll of 6--8% per month. To a greedy impatient gambler that will seem like nothing. But if you can truly increase you roll by that every single month you have it made. Take just 1000 units and see what it becomes in 2 years if you can really do that every month. Very few can. And that's where I'm at. 
 
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Posted: #316
Quote Originally Posted by bulls23:

H.LAAKSONEN was looking like easy money unfortuanatly a retire is no action on my books. Thanks for the solid pick tho, he was steam rolling. On to the next
Thats too bad. Here in the UK once the match has started. If the opponent retires that's still classed as a win for the other player on most books. And they honour the bet.
 
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Posted: #317
Wow, amazing write-up dude thanks for letting me get in your head for a min lol. Im a beliver,going to take your picks and grind it out with yea. Taking a 1000 units aside just for your thread.I wont be able to get on the challengers/doubles, but ill make it work you do the martingale betting style right? is that what you meant by flexible staking..thanks sentinel
 
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Posted: #318
Quote Originally Posted by bulls23:

Wow, amazing write-up dude thanks for letting me get in your head for a min lol. Im a beliver,going to take your picks and grind it out with yea. Taking a 1000 units aside just for your thread.I wont be able to get on the challengers/doubles, but ill make it work you do the martingale betting style right? is that what you meant by flexible staking..thanks sentinel
No not martingale. I will raise and lower in accordance to my confidence level after a loss or two. Martingales staking in its purest form is dangerous. If you have 10 losses in a row it will wipe you out.

If your STRIKERATE is hitting over break even point to level stakes. Then increases here and there will simply add to the profit margin. And bring you back from losses faster.

Another thing I do to increase my profits is rolling parlays up to 3 bets. So for example my last three winners tonight were odds of 1.53-1.67-1.44. Rolled up that gives you 3.67 times your stake. So I bet both straight and like this to make greater overall profits. So far this year there have been 17 trebles out of 92 bets.
 
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Posted: #319
BANKROLL=1086.05 UNITS

BET 093=A.SEVASTOVA@1.50--STAKE 3 UNITS

EVENT=WTA KAOHSUING TAIWAN

68 WINS--24 LOSSES
 
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Posted: #320
Quote Originally Posted by Sentinel3:

BANKROLL=1086.05 UNITS

BET 093=A.SEVASTOVA@1.50--STAKE 3 UNITS

EVENT=WTA KAOHSUING TAIWAN

68 WINS--24 LOSSES

Keep rolling. Continue to roll 
 
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Posted: #321
Quote Originally Posted by Sentinel3:

BANKROLL=1086.05 UNITS

BET 093=A.SEVASTOVA@1.50--STAKE 3 UNITS

EVENT=WTA KAOHSUING TAIWAN

68 WINS--24 LOSSES

Wins first set and cant even hold a serve the next 2 sets.. holy moly she sucks.. :D
 
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Posted: #322
BANKROLL=1087.55 UNITS

BET 094=A.BECK@1.40--STAKE 3 UNITS

EVENT=WTA ST.PETERSBURG RUSSIA

69 WINS--24 LOSSES
 
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Posts: 747
Posted: #323
She still pulled off the win though! what a comeback!!
I also am on Beck! BOL
 
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Posted: #324
Quote Originally Posted by Chroem:

Quote Originally Posted by Sentinel3:

BANKROLL=1086.05 UNITSBET 093=A.SEVASTOVA@1.50--STAKE 3 UNITSEVENT=WTA KAOHSUING TAIWAN68 WINS--24 LOSSES
Wins first set and cant even hold a serve the next 2 sets.. holy moly she sucks.. :D
She can suck all day who won the match? You didnt take onboard what I said yesterday it seems...
 
 
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Posted: #325
Quote Originally Posted by coscos:

She still pulled off the win though! what a comeback!!
I also am on Beck! BOL

darn logic, breaked 2 times and score 4-0 manges to break it all back. This is such a mind game.. :-D
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