I have to say im very surprised myself how well this year has started. And I dont want you guys getting carried away thinking this will always be this good and betting too much.
Ive it a very good period. Never have I had three streaks of more than five straight wins so close together. 10,9 and now 6 CURRENT. Its a dream start to the year. But when I do hit that losing streak of 4 or 5. And it will happen. Dont be surprised. Im very good at this. I know that. But ive been doing this long enough to know the tide can turn anytime. That said. Lets enjoy the journey through 2016...
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CURRENT WINNING STREAK 6 MATCHES...
I have to say im very surprised myself how well this year has started. And I dont want you guys getting carried away thinking this will always be this good and betting too much.
Ive it a very good period. Never have I had three streaks of more than five straight wins so close together. 10,9 and now 6 CURRENT. Its a dream start to the year. But when I do hit that losing streak of 4 or 5. And it will happen. Dont be surprised. Im very good at this. I know that. But ive been doing this long enough to know the tide can turn anytime. That said. Lets enjoy the journey through 2016...
Hi Christop, why should it scare you?. Well firstly I'm not looking at that play because it doesn't fit my betting parameters. I only bet on plays that fall between 1.40 and 1.67 when I take the price.
That's one of the reasons what I do works well and turns an annual profit. Remember the line is made by the public. The bookmakers just balance that line to assure they get their juice.
I'm a bit surprised Dodig is favoured over PAIRE. And personally I wouldn't play it.
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Hi Christop, why should it scare you?. Well firstly I'm not looking at that play because it doesn't fit my betting parameters. I only bet on plays that fall between 1.40 and 1.67 when I take the price.
That's one of the reasons what I do works well and turns an annual profit. Remember the line is made by the public. The bookmakers just balance that line to assure they get their juice.
I'm a bit surprised Dodig is favoured over PAIRE. And personally I wouldn't play it.
It scares me because the numbers are almost too good to be true on hard courts indoor. Just a four-match sample over a year but you get similar numbers if you stretch back two years.
DD is significantly better Aces to DF ratio, significantly better first serve and first serve win % better second serve win % etc...
The horrible form of Paire ATM, and last time these two played on hard court a few months ago DD won in straight sets easy... It seems like this should be a home run... but I get nervous when something feels too easy, particularly in tennis.
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It scares me because the numbers are almost too good to be true on hard courts indoor. Just a four-match sample over a year but you get similar numbers if you stretch back two years.
DD is significantly better Aces to DF ratio, significantly better first serve and first serve win % better second serve win % etc...
The horrible form of Paire ATM, and last time these two played on hard court a few months ago DD won in straight sets easy... It seems like this should be a home run... but I get nervous when something feels too easy, particularly in tennis.
It scares me because the numbers are almost too good to be true on hard courts indoor. Just a four-match sample over a year but you get similar numbers if you stretch back two years.
DD is significantly better Aces to DF ratio, significantly better first serve and first serve win % better second serve win % etc...
The horrible form of Paire ATM, and last time these two played on hard court a few months ago DD won in straight sets easy... It seems like this should be a home run... but I get nervous when something feels too easy, particularly in tennis.
Christop don't labour mentally too much over ANY MATCH. It's wasted negative energy. I average 4 plays a day unless I'm on holiday.
I don't treat anyone of them differently to the other. Regardless of who is playing. I don't believe in H2Hs. EXAMPLE. Baghdatis had beaten Gasquet 3 times before they met in the Montpellier semi final
But this is a different story now. Gasquet is number 10 in the world. Baghdatis number 53 I think. But that wasn't the factor that made me go for Gasquet. The fact that swung it was Gasquets pride and performance in this particular tournament. He had won it before or at least made the final.
So don't get hung up too much on current form and statistics. On paper Serena was supposed to blow Kerber off the court. But the bookies had an orgasm when that didn't happen.
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Quote Originally Posted by christop:
It scares me because the numbers are almost too good to be true on hard courts indoor. Just a four-match sample over a year but you get similar numbers if you stretch back two years.
DD is significantly better Aces to DF ratio, significantly better first serve and first serve win % better second serve win % etc...
The horrible form of Paire ATM, and last time these two played on hard court a few months ago DD won in straight sets easy... It seems like this should be a home run... but I get nervous when something feels too easy, particularly in tennis.
Christop don't labour mentally too much over ANY MATCH. It's wasted negative energy. I average 4 plays a day unless I'm on holiday.
I don't treat anyone of them differently to the other. Regardless of who is playing. I don't believe in H2Hs. EXAMPLE. Baghdatis had beaten Gasquet 3 times before they met in the Montpellier semi final
But this is a different story now. Gasquet is number 10 in the world. Baghdatis number 53 I think. But that wasn't the factor that made me go for Gasquet. The fact that swung it was Gasquets pride and performance in this particular tournament. He had won it before or at least made the final.
So don't get hung up too much on current form and statistics. On paper Serena was supposed to blow Kerber off the court. But the bookies had an orgasm when that didn't happen.
Christop don't labour mentally too much over ANY MATCH. It's wasted negative energy. I average 4 plays a day unless I'm on holiday.
I don't treat anyone of them differently to the other. Regardless of who is playing. I don't believe in H2Hs. EXAMPLE. Baghdatis had beaten Gasquet 3 times before they met in the Montpellier semi final
But this is a different story now. Gasquet is number 10 in the world. Baghdatis number 53 I think. But that wasn't the factor that made me go for Gasquet. The fact that swung it was Gasquets pride and performance in this particular tournament. He had won it before or at least made the final.
So don't get hung up too much on current form and statistics. On paper Serena was supposed to blow Kerber off the court. But the bookies had an orgasm when that didn't happen.
Another example is no one expecting Nadal to lose 4 years in a row at Wimbledon to players ranked outside the Top 100. First time or two was fine but a 3rd and 4th were just shocking...
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Quote Originally Posted by Sentinel3:
Christop don't labour mentally too much over ANY MATCH. It's wasted negative energy. I average 4 plays a day unless I'm on holiday.
I don't treat anyone of them differently to the other. Regardless of who is playing. I don't believe in H2Hs. EXAMPLE. Baghdatis had beaten Gasquet 3 times before they met in the Montpellier semi final
But this is a different story now. Gasquet is number 10 in the world. Baghdatis number 53 I think. But that wasn't the factor that made me go for Gasquet. The fact that swung it was Gasquets pride and performance in this particular tournament. He had won it before or at least made the final.
So don't get hung up too much on current form and statistics. On paper Serena was supposed to blow Kerber off the court. But the bookies had an orgasm when that didn't happen.
Another example is no one expecting Nadal to lose 4 years in a row at Wimbledon to players ranked outside the Top 100. First time or two was fine but a 3rd and 4th were just shocking...
Another example is no one expecting Nadal to lose 4 years in a row at Wimbledon to players ranked outside the Top 100. First time or two was fine but a 3rd and 4th were just shocking...
Right but Nadal was never a safe bet on GRASS after 2011. His style always favoured clay. And with his rapid decline since 2014. Any player that plays great can take him on grass. I'm a Nadal fan but sadly he will never win another slam not even at Roland Garros. His time has past. He will be the God of clay forever though. NINE FRENCH OPENS. Forget it. Nobody ever breaks that record...
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Quote Originally Posted by Gwyl:
Another example is no one expecting Nadal to lose 4 years in a row at Wimbledon to players ranked outside the Top 100. First time or two was fine but a 3rd and 4th were just shocking...
Right but Nadal was never a safe bet on GRASS after 2011. His style always favoured clay. And with his rapid decline since 2014. Any player that plays great can take him on grass. I'm a Nadal fan but sadly he will never win another slam not even at Roland Garros. His time has past. He will be the God of clay forever though. NINE FRENCH OPENS. Forget it. Nobody ever breaks that record...
is kato going to win so i can go to sleep. they keep breaking each other serves....lol
I never watch the match or the scoreboard. Once I lay my bet. Its up to the player to bring in the right result. Dont sit there sweating on every point. The wins will come.
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Quote Originally Posted by accountant4life:
is kato going to win so i can go to sleep. they keep breaking each other serves....lol
I never watch the match or the scoreboard. Once I lay my bet. Its up to the player to bring in the right result. Dont sit there sweating on every point. The wins will come.
Just me or is Lucas Rosol going to win, look at the oppononents form it's soooo bad
Im never keen on Rosol. You never know which version of him is showing up. I considered him as his price was right for me. But decided to bypass him in favour of SINIAKOVA.
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Quote Originally Posted by Chroem:
Just me or is Lucas Rosol going to win, look at the oppononents form it's soooo bad
Im never keen on Rosol. You never know which version of him is showing up. I considered him as his price was right for me. But decided to bypass him in favour of SINIAKOVA.
What reason do you trust Kravchuk, he lost to him before + his form doesnt look soo good.
H2H means little at this level. And besides that was 2014 and its went 3 sets. It's wasn't a thrashing. I feel Kravchuk will edge this. And I'm in a position to take a few chances now after 8 straight winners...
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Quote Originally Posted by Chroem:
What reason do you trust Kravchuk, he lost to him before + his form doesnt look soo good.
H2H means little at this level. And besides that was 2014 and its went 3 sets. It's wasn't a thrashing. I feel Kravchuk will edge this. And I'm in a position to take a few chances now after 8 straight winners...
H2H means little at this level. And besides that was 2014 and its went 3 sets. It's wasn't a thrashing. I feel Kravchuk will edge this. And I'm in a position to take a few chances now after 8 straight winners...
Doesn't seem promising from Kravchuk.
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Quote Originally Posted by Sentinel3:
H2H means little at this level. And besides that was 2014 and its went 3 sets. It's wasn't a thrashing. I feel Kravchuk will edge this. And I'm in a position to take a few chances now after 8 straight winners...