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Hedging advice for Baker Almagro match

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Views: 418
Posts: 6
 
Captain
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Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6142
Posted: #1
I have a futures on Baker to win the tournament @ +850 for 1 unit ($100), $950 payout, $850 profit.

Currently at Pinnacle, Almagro to win is set at  -755, and Baker at +607. How would you hedge this? The line on Almagro is so juiced, it hardly seems worth it to hedge. In fact, it's tempting to put more on Baker at +607. I might as well let the bet ride since it's only a unit, but after today's shitfest against Davy, I don't think I trust Baker to win against Almagro. Thoughts? Thanks in advance

GL to everyone today.
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 774
Posted: #2
not so sure., i really think almagro will just be to good for him.,  baker had a hell of a run but will run out of gas. i hope baker wins but i don't think so
 
Veteran
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Joined: Jul, 2004
Posts: 3536
Posted: #3
Tough line to hedge. If you're comfortable with losing a unit, I would just let it ride. I've never seen a finals line set so high.
 
Legend
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Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 41623
Posted: #4
2-0 mugro -207 but if it goes 3 you lose everything obviously but risk worth taking to you?
 
Legend
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Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 41623
Posted: #5
ly in Nice mugro came of an impressive 4&4 victory over birdshit but he needed 3 sets to take down hanescu in the finals.
 
 
Captain
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Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6142
Posted: #6
Thanks for the replies everyone. Yeah this one was difficult to hedge, so I just let it ride. As predicted, Almagro was the winner. You know, I can't even get too upset. Baker has been such a money train for a lot of us this week, he already blew his wad by the time he reach the finals. Anyways, GL to everyone today!
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