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Any value on Murray to win the Austrailian Open now?

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Posted: #1

Any value at +150 to win it all now?   Should we wait till Murray actually gets into the final and plays against Djoker instead of betting it expecting him to beat Ferrer because what do you guys think the odds will be if he makes it to the final? 

Thoughts??

 
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Posted: #2
no value at all. chances he beats both guys are much less than that.  djoker has more value at -150 imo.
 
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Posted: #3

The odds on all 3 are very accurate imo. I'd expect Murray to be something like +125 if he wins tomorrow so Djokovic shouldn't go much shorter than he is now.

 
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Posted: #4
No not at this time in the tourney, thats the thing with futures, you have to make them rather early to get great value.  I got him at +850 right before the Melzer match.  I do prob see Djoko being a slight fave so perhaps the future mught be better than the odds on Murray come the finale if they meet.
 
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Posted: #5
yeah, ill wait on it... Ferrer isnt an easy win either, and i agree that Murray will probably be around a +130 dog anyway so no real point to take him at +155, might as well wait till he actually makes the final to bet on him which i might not anyway.
 
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Posted: #6
 
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Posted: #7
if Murray is a dog, i will pound him...he must bring his best IF he want to win a grend slam...ever.
 
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Posted: #8

Quote Originally Posted by Mad_Skillz123:

if Murray is a dog, i will pound him...he must bring his best IF he want to win a grend slam...ever.

He will be, Djoker is a -145 fav right now and murray is a pretty decent size fav against Ferrer so that -145 is pretty much made assuming that Murray wins.

 
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Posted: #9
Ferrer will win tonight if he's on like he's been and Murray is too defensive. This is the kind of match that Murray definitely needs to get a little offensive. Ferrer is relentless and hardly misses. If Dolg wouldn't of missed so many stupid shots and had more experience, that match would of had some drama. I'm expecting a good match tonight, closer than alot of people expect.
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:

He will be, Djoker is a -145 fav right now and murray is a pretty decent size fav against Ferrer so that -145 is pretty much made assuming that Murray wins.



in that line in incorporated also IF Ferrer wins ( then, Nole will have easier job ). So, i think Nole will be more like -130 or -125 in the final vs Murray ( if ofc ).

I pounded NOW Murray @+160
 
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Posted: #11
Yes

There's some value in it because a Djokovic-Murray line shouldn't be more than -130 to either side in the final
 
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Posted: #12
djoko will win i think, again djoko already won here in 2008, big plus
if murray win tonight, it will be a good final
i can't say who's the better player since both are very good players
but the mental edge goes to djokovic, murray will be probably very nervous, honestly djokovic is on a mission, he is really a different player right now.
i wish djoko murray final
to get the better value in the final.
right now i dont like to lay -155 or -160 on djoko.

 
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Posted: #13

Quote Originally Posted by depressed:

Yes

There's some value in it because a Djokovic-Murray line shouldn't be more than -130 to either side in the final

i understand that but i dont think its worth betting murray right now at +150 or whatever it is, we might as well just wait till after he beats ferrer which isnt that easy to do and get him at +120/130 in the final if we are going to bet murray at all.

 

 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by MoneyShot:

i understand that but i dont think its worth betting murray right now at +150 or whatever it is, we might as well just wait till after he beats ferrer which isnt that easy to do and get him at +120/130 in the final if we are going to bet murray at all.

 

Who says he's going to be +120?
 
 
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Posted: #15

Quote Originally Posted by depressed:

Who says he's going to be +120?

Murray is a +139 dog against Djoker at Pinnacle... so from +150 before beating Ferrer to +139 after... definitely worth the wait if someone was going to bet murray.  I think i may just stay away though..

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