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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Rough Week...

    GMSI
    sports_Network
    jv040
    BillWag27
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    GMSI
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2009 - 4:45 AM ET #1

    Couple different systems here had a rough week RL Blitz, HFOUDL, Total Chase etc...
     
    Anybody else feeling the heat?
     
    Down a nice chunk of change personally, but still keeping the faith... Going to go back to the drawing board for the money mgt.
     
    I was personally running a LABOURCHERE line for each system, but some of the plays have got a little out of control with the loosing streaks.
     
    Looks like im going to sacrifice the profits for the time being and just try and recover some losses. Calculated the total  of all my losses from all the different lines I was running for each system and merged them into one. Split them into a 3 game block for GAME 1, GAME 2, GAME 3. If I manage to clear each line twice for each set of games I would be back to even. Going to be some tough weeks ahead...
     
    Any thoughts/comments/advice... Im all ears.
     
    Thx, GMSI
     
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Couple different systems here had a rough week RL Blitz, HFOUDL, Total Chase etc...
     
    Anybody else feeling the heat?
     
    Down a nice chunk of change personally, but still keeping the faith... Going to go back to the drawing board for the money mgt.
     
    I was personally running a LABOURCHERE line for each system, but some of the plays have got a little out of control with the loosing streaks.
     
    Looks like im going to sacrifice the profits for the time being and just try and recover some losses. Calculated the total  of all my losses from all the different lines I was running for each system and merged them into one. Split them into a 3 game block for GAME 1, GAME 2, GAME 3. If I manage to clear each line twice for each set of games I would be back to even. Going to be some tough weeks ahead...
     
    Any thoughts/comments/advice... Im all ears.
     
    Thx, GMSI
     
     
    GMSI
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2009 - 4:50 AM ET #2

    Note: TOTAL CHASE & RL BLITZ are 6 game chases, so I figured if (hopefully not when!) we get past a GAME 3 I will just re-run it through Game 1 again... So basically split the 6 Game chase into 2 x 3game chases.
     
    Also, the reason i broke down the chases into Game 1,2,3  and merged the lines of each system is incase one system fails the others would pick up the slack.
     
     
    GMSI
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    Note: TOTAL CHASE & RL BLITZ are 6 game chases, so I figured if (hopefully not when!) we get past a GAME 3 I will just re-run it through Game 1 again... So basically split the 6 Game chase into 2 x 3game chases.
     
    Also, the reason i broke down the chases into Game 1,2,3  and merged the lines of each system is incase one system fails the others would pick up the slack.
     
     
    GMSI
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2009 - 9:31 AM ET #3

    a) The Labourchere system is a MM formula designed for playing black & red on the Roulette table(banned in Vegas 20 odd years ago)  wagering on MLB is about units connected to value, which equals profit, that over powers winning% through the equations of your handicapping units as well as the game itself. incorporating the Labourchere system in it's 'true' form is not for MLB, and is proven to do nothing more than delete a cappers BR as it did yours...Up till now, consider yourself novice/in-experienced/niave.. Continue with the application of Labourchere MM to MLB handicapping, would then classify you, unfortunately, as stupid...  b) Chase systems are a handicapping 'base' to produce 'spot' plays periodically..The word "chase" is often used out of text; "disciplined" blind, chasing losses to gain a winning advantage, wagering on the laws of averages, are ALL dis-advantages that can be avoided by staying far away of proven failures, there's no debate, or argument here, these are the facts, pure, and simple... c) Develop your own "form"...Buying 'picks' , tailing screen names on a handicapping site, (most don't wager on their own picks, which makes their information worthless) ect,ect......To be successful at sports wagering/investments you MUST handicapp your own games, no intrusions, no distractions..Use your own mind, not others; or just leave it alone if you can't capp a ballgame You asked for advice, consider this a complementary courtesy, on behalf of SN...may you prosper always
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    a) The Labourchere system is a MM formula designed for playing black & red on the Roulette table(banned in Vegas 20 odd years ago)  wagering on MLB is about units connected to value, which equals profit, that over powers winning% through the equations of your handicapping units as well as the game itself. incorporating the Labourchere system in it's 'true' form is not for MLB, and is proven to do nothing more than delete a cappers BR as it did yours...Up till now, consider yourself novice/in-experienced/niave.. Continue with the application of Labourchere MM to MLB handicapping, would then classify you, unfortunately, as stupid...  b) Chase systems are a handicapping 'base' to produce 'spot' plays periodically..The word "chase" is often used out of text; "disciplined" blind, chasing losses to gain a winning advantage, wagering on the laws of averages, are ALL dis-advantages that can be avoided by staying far away of proven failures, there's no debate, or argument here, these are the facts, pure, and simple... c) Develop your own "form"...Buying 'picks' , tailing screen names on a handicapping site, (most don't wager on their own picks, which makes their information worthless) ect,ect......To be successful at sports wagering/investments you MUST handicapp your own games, no intrusions, no distractions..Use your own mind, not others; or just leave it alone if you can't capp a ballgame You asked for advice, consider this a complementary courtesy, on behalf of SN...may you prosper always
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2009 - 9:54 AM ET #4

    I think with the higher lines in baseball it's just harder too use labuarche line it takes longer too profit.  I personally like betting basketball better.
     
     
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    I think with the higher lines in baseball it's just harder too use labuarche line it takes longer too profit.  I personally like betting basketball better.
     
     
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2009 - 10:32 AM ET #5

    runline&dogs breeds success in MLB handicapping.
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    runline&dogs breeds success in MLB handicapping.
     
    BillWag27
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2009 - 11:15 AM ET #6

    Agreed SN.

    Pick your spots where dogs and small favorites have value and you will come out on top.

    In baseball, you have 162 games. You will kick butt 20 times! You will get your butt kicked 20 times. The other 120 or so games will be decided by 1 or 2 runs.

    I tend to play run line dogs for value when value is present.  My book also offers alternate run lines which I use to my advantage when the number is inflated.

    ex. Washington +2.5!

    GL
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    Agreed SN.

    Pick your spots where dogs and small favorites have value and you will come out on top.

    In baseball, you have 162 games. You will kick butt 20 times! You will get your butt kicked 20 times. The other 120 or so games will be decided by 1 or 2 runs.

    I tend to play run line dogs for value when value is present.  My book also offers alternate run lines which I use to my advantage when the number is inflated.

    ex. Washington +2.5!

    GL
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2009 - 11:21 AM ET #7

    BillWag27 understanding your concept completely
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    BillWag27 understanding your concept completely
     
     
    GMSI
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2009 - 2:01 PM ET #8

    SN,

    I personally do not cap MLB, however as your post above described I do tail a couple people & run some of these chase systems all at once. MY *BR* is not even close to being *all* lost as you stated above, I just decided to re-distribute the numbers. So far this season, with the last couple systems loss I am in the positive so I am not in a "panic" mode as my post might have come across.

    My goal for this post was to get feedback from people who were playing the same way, and Im sure there are a few... 

    I appreciate your comments above nonetheless...

    GMSI

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    SN,

    I personally do not cap MLB, however as your post above described I do tail a couple people & run some of these chase systems all at once. MY *BR* is not even close to being *all* lost as you stated above, I just decided to re-distribute the numbers. So far this season, with the last couple systems loss I am in the positive so I am not in a "panic" mode as my post might have come across.

    My goal for this post was to get feedback from people who were playing the same way, and Im sure there are a few... 

    I appreciate your comments above nonetheless...

    GMSI

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