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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Refresh my memory on NCAA system

    texastwister
    whitakp
    Lippsman
    LuckyEight
    KissAPistol
    ...
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    texastwister
    texastwister
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    Posted: Aug. 18, 2009 - 8:22 PM ET #1

    What was the system that had you bet 2 team parlay if side was 30% (or more) of total? I wanting to say Underdog/ under and Favorite/over. Is this correct or is it the opposite way. Seemed to do well in non-conference games last year. Thanks for the help guys
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    What was the system that had you bet 2 team parlay if side was 30% (or more) of total? I wanting to say Underdog/ under and Favorite/over. Is this correct or is it the opposite way. Seemed to do well in non-conference games last year. Thanks for the help guys
     
    whitakp
    whitakp
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2009 - 9:21 AM ET #2

    that is correct.....but, you'll be lucky to find a book to take those wagers from you.  Mine was taking them, until he cut me off.  Think he figured it out.
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    that is correct.....but, you'll be lucky to find a book to take those wagers from you.  Mine was taking them, until he cut me off.  Think he figured it out.
     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2009 - 3:10 PM ET #3

    That's it, but you willl be pressed to find any books that will take them.
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    That's it, but you willl be pressed to find any books that will take them.
     
    texastwister
    texastwister
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2009 - 6:41 PM ET #4

    Thanks whitakp and Lippsman
     I have a local guy who isn't the sharpest knife in the drawer, gonna try him out
    Gl to both you guys
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    Thanks whitakp and Lippsman
     I have a local guy who isn't the sharpest knife in the drawer, gonna try him out
    Gl to both you guys
     
    LuckyEight
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    Posted: Aug. 20, 2009 - 10:53 PM ET #5

    Hi whitakp / Lippsman,
     
    Would you mind provide a little more detail on this sytem, pls.?  Thanks,
     
    LuckyEight
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    Hi whitakp / Lippsman,
     
    Would you mind provide a little more detail on this sytem, pls.?  Thanks,
     
    LuckyEight
     
    KissAPistol
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2009 - 12:55 AM ET #6

    I am confused to how that would even be profitable.  You are playing two of the four possible two team parlays involving the line and total of the same game.  So the overall winning percentage you would have to assume would be close to 50%.  Lets say you play two games, you win the first game, lets use $20 per parlay as the example, the typical payout for winning would be roughly $55 or so on average, minus the $20 for the other 2 team parlay of the same game giving you a profit of $35.  The second game you lose, that is minus $40 giving you a loss of $5 overall by winning 50% of the games you played.  So add that up over much larger wagers and over many games throughout the season, seems like a guaranteed way to lose money?  Am I missing something?
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    I am confused to how that would even be profitable.  You are playing two of the four possible two team parlays involving the line and total of the same game.  So the overall winning percentage you would have to assume would be close to 50%.  Lets say you play two games, you win the first game, lets use $20 per parlay as the example, the typical payout for winning would be roughly $55 or so on average, minus the $20 for the other 2 team parlay of the same game giving you a profit of $35.  The second game you lose, that is minus $40 giving you a loss of $5 overall by winning 50% of the games you played.  So add that up over much larger wagers and over many games throughout the season, seems like a guaranteed way to lose money?  Am I missing something?
     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2009 - 10:51 AM ET #7

    What you are missing is the overall winning percentage on these plays are much more than 50%, that's why books won't let you make these plays.
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    What you are missing is the overall winning percentage on these plays are much more than 50%, that's why books won't let you make these plays.
     
    CInderellaStory
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2009 - 11:35 AM ET #8

    couldn't you each parlay at a different book?  meaning Underdog/Under in one book and Fav/Over in another?
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    couldn't you each parlay at a different book?  meaning Underdog/Under in one book and Fav/Over in another?
     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2009 - 11:38 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by CInderellaStory:

    couldn't you each parlay at a different book?  meaning Underdog/Under in one book and Fav/Over in another?

    No, because you are making a parlay on the same game. No same game parlays.

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    Quote Originally Posted by CInderellaStory:

    couldn't you each parlay at a different book?  meaning Underdog/Under in one book and Fav/Over in another?

    No, because you are making a parlay on the same game. No same game parlays.

     
    duby
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2009 - 11:41 AM ET #10

    Last year I believe Sports interaction still let you do it.
     
    GL if you choose to follow it.
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    Last year I believe Sports interaction still let you do it.
     
    GL if you choose to follow it.
     
    robbypants
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    Posted: Aug. 22, 2009 - 11:43 AM ET #11

    Betinternet and Willhill allowed this kind of action last NFL season.   I do not bet on NCAA so I am not sure if they would allow action on it or not though...
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    Betinternet and Willhill allowed this kind of action last NFL season.   I do not bet on NCAA so I am not sure if they would allow action on it or not though...
     
    KissAPistol
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2009 - 1:09 AM ET #12

    The line being 30% or more of the total?  That seems like a scenario that never would even come up.  You rarely see games with 30+ point spreads even come up, I definitely doubt any of those would have totals in the 90's.  Is that what that means by 30% or more of the total?
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    The line being 30% or more of the total?  That seems like a scenario that never would even come up.  You rarely see games with 30+ point spreads even come up, I definitely doubt any of those would have totals in the 90's.  Is that what that means by 30% or more of the total?
     
     
    KissAPistol
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2009 - 1:15 AM ET #13

    nevermind.  I guess this is referring to football, I was thinking basketball for some reason.
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    nevermind.  I guess this is referring to football, I was thinking basketball for some reason.
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