One Run Game Series

Basically, there is a statistic that says only 8% of all 3+ game series will end in 3 to 4 straight one run games. At some point one of the teams will win by at least 2 runs. The system says that if the first two games of a series end in one run margins, then you place a one unit bet on the run line of the favorite team. And then you place a one unit bet on the alternative run line of the under dog. 

I started doing this on Sunday for the Phillies-Braves game. The run line on the phillies was +165 and the run line on the Braves was +175. The Phillies ended up covering by 3 runs and I netted a +.65 unit win. 

Tonight i wagered on the Royals and White Sox. The Royals were a +120 line and the White Sox were a +220 line. The White Sox won by 2 and I netted +1.2 units. 

So in two games I have netted +1.85 units. 

The Nats and Rockies qualify for this system tomorrow. 

Let me know what you guys think. 

It sounds like something worth looking at.  Almost sounds to easy.  Im gonna try it with half a unit on each side until win a couple of times.  Ive never heard of this.  You would think something this easy would have been discussed by now, thats what worries me.

It's like 33-10 for the year.  Already know of this and so do many others.... Only problem is if it's a 1 run game again you lose both bets, so $200 if that is your unit size.

If 8% is the magic number then the percentages have some catching up to do in favor of the bettor.

could someone post a heads up in here when theres a play?

 

thanks