NCAAF Consensus Picks Strategy

Ok boys NCAAF is starting tonight.  This strategy is simple.  I am using 4 sites that make picks, if 3 or all 4 agree on a pick then it is a play.  I will use agressive lab lines for our money management.  The sites are sportsnetwork, dunkel, dci, and statfox.

Here is how I use agressive lab lines.  Say your unit is $10, your line is just $10, if you win the game then start again with $10 for the next pick.  If you lose the game then write what you lost beside it so

$10 $11

So now you next bet is to win $21 (the number on the right added to the number on the left) This gives you 2 trys to clear the line. Simple right?  So now if 3 of the sites agree it will just be the 2 numbers.  But if our line gets longer and 4 of the 4 sites agree we will then take the one number from the right and 2 numbers from the left. Ex.

$10 $11 $23 $36

So your next bet will be to win ($10 + $11 + $36)

Get it?

I will use 2 lines for now because some games are on at the same time.

Tonights plays are

WISC - 34

MISS St. -30

Things are looking good in both games so going to add in

KENTUCKY -16.5

WISC - Push, they missed an extra point early on, they should of covered.

MISS St. - Win, they rocked it on the road.

KENTUCKY - Loss, they were bad, really bad, WK is awful and they held up pretty good.

Record

1-1-1

Todays play is

TCU -3.5

TCU should of just left the defence off the field for the 2nd and 3rd quarters, they didn't do anything anyway...

Record

3 agree 1-1-1

4 agree 0-1

Going with

BOS COL -5

OHIO ST. -31.5

ALAB -38.5

[Quote: Originally Posted by retire_early] You want to fade the consensus. [/Quote

Not really, this did very well last year in NBA and NHL!!

Football is a different beast, so many more people bet it. I don't think this will work but GL.

I think it will be around 40-50% for the season.

NEB -38

HOU -1.5

Football is a different beast, so many more people bet it. I don't think this will work but GL.

I think it will be around 40-50% for the season.

[/Quote

It doesn't matter how many people bet it, it matters if the teams cover or not.  You will never know how good it does unless you try.

BOS COL -5

OHIO ST. -31.5

ALAB -38.5

INDIANA -5.5

BOISE ST. -3

OREGON -3

NEB -38 Too many fumbles should of covered

HOU -1.5

Even at 50% with labby you still clear lines and make

todays picksx

Ohio St. -17.5

Stanford -20.5