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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NBA OT OVER SYSTEM CHASE

    «First Previous 567 ... 678 Next Last»
    robwalton
    semaper
    avenue
    LasVegasSystems
    sahlsa
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    «First Previous 567 ... 678 Next Last»
     
    robwalton
    robwalton
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2010 - 8:57 AM ET #101

    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    46-2 since being posted            99-3 overall record

    4 games went into OT last night wow.

    Pending Series

    CLE [A], TOR [A], NY [A], WAS [A], DAL [A], ATL [A], POR [A], CHI [A]

    Games for today

    CHICAGO [A] / Indy - Over 210

    Memphis / NY [A] - Over 210

    PORTLAND [A] / Minny - Over 195.5

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    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    46-2 since being posted            99-3 overall record

    4 games went into OT last night wow.

    Pending Series

    CLE [A], TOR [A], NY [A], WAS [A], DAL [A], ATL [A], POR [A], CHI [A]

    Games for today

    CHICAGO [A] / Indy - Over 210

    Memphis / NY [A] - Over 210

    PORTLAND [A] / Minny - Over 195.5

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2010 - 8:59 AM ET #102

    Quote Originally Posted by semaper:

    Yep, around 15% plus of the yield

    So, rob, one question: Do you think that system applies for another sports (NHL, MLB, etc)? It's will be successful too?

     

     

    Are you talking about this OT system or are you talking about the numbers u gave me using them for a system?

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    Quote Originally Posted by semaper:

    Yep, around 15% plus of the yield

    So, rob, one question: Do you think that system applies for another sports (NHL, MLB, etc)? It's will be successful too?

     

     

    Are you talking about this OT system or are you talking about the numbers u gave me using them for a system?

     
    semaper
    semaper
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2010 - 11:20 AM ET #103

    Quote Originally Posted by robwalton:

    Are you talking about this OT system or are you talking about the numbers u gave me using them for a system?

    I talking about this OT system. Do you think that your NBA OT System Chase applies in MLB (extra innings games of course) or in the NHL?

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    Quote Originally Posted by robwalton:

    Are you talking about this OT system or are you talking about the numbers u gave me using them for a system?

    I talking about this OT system. Do you think that your NBA OT System Chase applies in MLB (extra innings games of course) or in the NHL?

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2010 - 2:44 PM ET #104

    Quote Originally Posted by semaper:

    I talking about this OT system. Do you think that your NBA OT System Chase applies in MLB (extra innings games of course) or in the NHL?

    for the NHL, I just follow Kangys system and for Baseball, Im working on one right now

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    Quote Originally Posted by semaper:

    I talking about this OT system. Do you think that your NBA OT System Chase applies in MLB (extra innings games of course) or in the NHL?

    for the NHL, I just follow Kangys system and for Baseball, Im working on one right now

     
    semaper
    semaper
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2010 - 1:25 PM ET #105

    Rob, could you talk me about Kangys system?. It´s in this forum?.

    And, please, let me know when you have ready the baseball system.

    Thanks

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    Rob, could you talk me about Kangys system?. It´s in this forum?.

    And, please, let me know when you have ready the baseball system.

    Thanks

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2010 - 2:16 PM ET #106

    2 wins last night

    total record now stands at 101-3

    will update everything tomorrow but here are the plays for tonight

    Milwaukee / ATLANTA [A] - Over 189.5

    WASHINGTON [A] / New Jersey - Over 193.5

    TORONTO [A] / Oklahoma - Over 206.5

    New Orleans / DALLAS [A] - Over 197.5

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    2 wins last night

    total record now stands at 101-3

    will update everything tomorrow but here are the plays for tonight

    Milwaukee / ATLANTA [A] - Over 189.5

    WASHINGTON [A] / New Jersey - Over 193.5

    TORONTO [A] / Oklahoma - Over 206.5

    New Orleans / DALLAS [A] - Over 197.5

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2010 - 2:17 PM ET #107

    Quote Originally Posted by semaper:

    Rob, could you talk me about Kangys system?. It´s in this forum?.

    And, please, let me know when you have ready the baseball system.

    Thanks

    Yeah its in this forum its almost at the end of the first page now.

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    Quote Originally Posted by semaper:

    Rob, could you talk me about Kangys system?. It´s in this forum?.

    And, please, let me know when you have ready the baseball system.

    Thanks

    Yeah its in this forum its almost at the end of the first page now.

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2010 - 2:18 PM ET #108

    One more thing folks

    GO CANADA GO

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    One more thing folks

    GO CANADA GO

     
    avenue
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2010 - 4:41 PM ET #109

    Looks interesting...nice that you just have 10% juice with this! Best of luck.
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    Looks interesting...nice that you just have 10% juice with this! Best of luck.
     
    LasVegasSystems
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2010 - 5:50 AM ET #110

    Quote Originally Posted by robwalton:

    2 wins last night

    total record now stands at 101-3

    will update everything tomorrow but here are the plays for tonight

    Milwaukee / ATLANTA [A] - Over 189.5

    WASHINGTON [A] / New Jersey - Over 193.5

    TORONTO [A] / Oklahoma - Over 206.5

    New Orleans / DALLAS [A] - Over 197.5



    3 of 4 winners- nice. Let's keep the positive cash flow going...
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    Quote Originally Posted by robwalton:

    2 wins last night

    total record now stands at 101-3

    will update everything tomorrow but here are the plays for tonight

    Milwaukee / ATLANTA [A] - Over 189.5

    WASHINGTON [A] / New Jersey - Over 193.5

    TORONTO [A] / Oklahoma - Over 206.5

    New Orleans / DALLAS [A] - Over 197.5



    3 of 4 winners- nice. Let's keep the positive cash flow going...
     
    semaper
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2010 - 1:32 PM ET #111

    Rob, one question:

    Today, play Atlanta (OT yesterday vs Milwaukee, then A bet) vs Chicago (OT vs Portland 02/26, and fail vs Indiana 02/27, then B bet).

    Which is the correct bet, A or B?

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    Rob, one question:

    Today, play Atlanta (OT yesterday vs Milwaukee, then A bet) vs Chicago (OT vs Portland 02/26, and fail vs Indiana 02/27, then B bet).

    Which is the correct bet, A or B?

     
    sahlsa
    sahlsa
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2010 - 2:43 PM ET #112

    A and B bet, two seperate chases.
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    A and B bet, two seperate chases.
     
    semaper
    semaper
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2010 - 3:27 PM ET #113

    Salsa, which are the arguments support that?

    So, why not only one bet (the minor, or the major or the sum of both)?

    Thanks!

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    Salsa, which are the arguments support that?

    So, why not only one bet (the minor, or the major or the sum of both)?

    Thanks!

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2010 - 4:34 PM ET #114

    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    51-2 since being posted            104-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    CLE [A], WAS [B], ATL [A], CHI [B], MIL [A]

    Games for today

    Ny / CLEVELAND [A] - Over 212.5

    ATLANTA [A] / CHICAGO [B] - Over 196

    Reply
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    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    51-2 since being posted            104-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    CLE [A], WAS [B], ATL [A], CHI [B], MIL [A]

    Games for today

    Ny / CLEVELAND [A] - Over 212.5

    ATLANTA [A] / CHICAGO [B] - Over 196

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2010 - 4:39 PM ET #115

    Quote Originally Posted by semaper:

    Salsa, which are the arguments support that?

    So, why not only one bet (the minor, or the major or the sum of both)?

    Thanks!

    Its a A bet plus a B bet. So if you are using the numbers u gave me you will have 4 units on this game. 1 for a A and 3 for a B

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    Quote Originally Posted by semaper:

    Salsa, which are the arguments support that?

    So, why not only one bet (the minor, or the major or the sum of both)?

    Thanks!

    Its a A bet plus a B bet. So if you are using the numbers u gave me you will have 4 units on this game. 1 for a A and 3 for a B

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2010 - 10:34 PM ET #116

    Went 2-0 tonight, picked up another 3 system wins. 7-2 in the last 3 days with the plays. Be back tomorrow around noon to update everything

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    Went 2-0 tonight, picked up another 3 system wins. 7-2 in the last 3 days with the plays. Be back tomorrow around noon to update everything

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 2:37 AM ET #117

    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    54-2 since being posted            107-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [B], MIL [A]

    Games for today

    NO GAMES TILL WEDNESDAY

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    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    54-2 since being posted            107-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [B], MIL [A]

    Games for today

    NO GAMES TILL WEDNESDAY

     
    LasVegasSystems
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 11:28 AM ET #118

    Quote Originally Posted by robwalton:

    Went 2-0 tonight, picked up another 3 system wins. 7-2 in the last 3 days with the plays. Be back tomorrow around noon to update everything



    Rob,

    Very powerful stuff and we have created some good mechanical systems. There is logic to this as well, that being a thing in motion (a trend) tends to stay in motion.

    The reason this method is all over the internet is that it is difficult to back test. I prefer "walk forward" testing in real time as back tests are subject to optimization (curve fitting) and tester bias. Your totals method has performed very well on games not used in your testing and/or observation. This is the proof that there is something very efficacious going on (the system works).
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    Quote Originally Posted by robwalton:

    Went 2-0 tonight, picked up another 3 system wins. 7-2 in the last 3 days with the plays. Be back tomorrow around noon to update everything



    Rob,

    Very powerful stuff and we have created some good mechanical systems. There is logic to this as well, that being a thing in motion (a trend) tends to stay in motion.

    The reason this method is all over the internet is that it is difficult to back test. I prefer "walk forward" testing in real time as back tests are subject to optimization (curve fitting) and tester bias. Your totals method has performed very well on games not used in your testing and/or observation. This is the proof that there is something very efficacious going on (the system works).
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2010 - 5:10 PM ET #119

    Quote Originally Posted by semaper:

    Rob, sorry for my bad english but I will try explain to you my points of view about your system.

    I done some calcs about the optimal wager mount distribution for each step (A,B,C,D) in your system and then I found some interesting data:

    1) The system's theorical yield assuming bets mount like the typical aritmetic progression (A=1, B=2, C=4, D=8) with flat success distribution (4 picks winning: one in A, one in B, one in C and one in D) and no loss is 32.3%

    2) The system's real yield assuming the typical aritmetic progression and the results until last night (A=45, B=25, C=16, D=11 and 3 losses) is 25.6%

    3) My discover is that if we increase the bets mount aritmetic progression to multiple 3 instead of 2 (A=1, B=3, C=9, D=27) then the yield grow up to 40.9%

    4) The handicap is that you need a more deep bankroll, since in one lose system you go down 40 bankroll units instead of 15 bankroll units of the multiple 2 system

    I wait your comments...

     

    why do that when you can just start betting the unders

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    Quote Originally Posted by semaper:

    Rob, sorry for my bad english but I will try explain to you my points of view about your system.

    I done some calcs about the optimal wager mount distribution for each step (A,B,C,D) in your system and then I found some interesting data:

    1) The system's theorical yield assuming bets mount like the typical aritmetic progression (A=1, B=2, C=4, D=8) with flat success distribution (4 picks winning: one in A, one in B, one in C and one in D) and no loss is 32.3%

    2) The system's real yield assuming the typical aritmetic progression and the results until last night (A=45, B=25, C=16, D=11 and 3 losses) is 25.6%

    3) My discover is that if we increase the bets mount aritmetic progression to multiple 3 instead of 2 (A=1, B=3, C=9, D=27) then the yield grow up to 40.9%

    4) The handicap is that you need a more deep bankroll, since in one lose system you go down 40 bankroll units instead of 15 bankroll units of the multiple 2 system

    I wait your comments...

     

    why do that when you can just start betting the unders

     
    robwalton
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2010 - 6:13 AM ET #120

    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    54-2 since being posted            107-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [B], MIL [A]

    Games for today

    WASHINGTON [B] / MILWAUKEE [A] - Over 193.5

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    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    54-2 since being posted            107-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [B], MIL [A]

    Games for today

    WASHINGTON [B] / MILWAUKEE [A] - Over 193.5

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 723
    Posted: Mar. 4, 2010 - 11:51 AM ET #121

    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    54-2 since being posted            107-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [C], MIL [B]

    Games for today

    No games till Friday night, when Washington and Milwaukee play against each other again

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    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    54-2 since being posted            107-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [C], MIL [B]

    Games for today

    No games till Friday night, when Washington and Milwaukee play against each other again

     
    powerade
    powerade
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2007
    Posts: 18254
    Posted: Mar. 4, 2010 - 3:47 PM ET #122

    FYI....take it for whats its worth....

    Just by plays you've posted for basically the month of Feb and March to date when two teams have played each other both as "plays", so both teams played an overtime game within the last 4 games and neither team went over since the OT game the OVER?UNDER is 2-5

    When it was the first game since the OT game for both it was 1-1

    such a small sample size....but leans towards the under in the next game

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    FYI....take it for whats its worth....

    Just by plays you've posted for basically the month of Feb and March to date when two teams have played each other both as "plays", so both teams played an overtime game within the last 4 games and neither team went over since the OT game the OVER?UNDER is 2-5

    When it was the first game since the OT game for both it was 1-1

    such a small sample size....but leans towards the under in the next game

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 723
    Posted: Mar. 5, 2010 - 10:33 AM ET #123

    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    54-2 since being posted            107-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [C], MIL [B], LAL [A], MIA [A]

    Games for today

    LAKERS [A] / Charlotte - Over 190

    MILWAUKEE [B] / WASHINGTON [C] - Over 192

    Reply
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    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    54-2 since being posted            107-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [C], MIL [B], LAL [A], MIA [A]

    Games for today

    LAKERS [A] / Charlotte - Over 190

    MILWAUKEE [B] / WASHINGTON [C] - Over 192

     
    robwalton
    robwalton
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 723
    Posted: Mar. 6, 2010 - 1:28 PM ET #124

    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    54-2 since being posted            107-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [D], MIL [C], LAL [B], MIA [A]

    Games for today

    Cleveland / MILWAUKEE [C] - Over 194.5

    Atlanta / MIAMI [A] - Over 188

    Reply
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    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    54-2 since being posted            107-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [D], MIL [C], LAL [B], MIA [A]

    Games for today

    Cleveland / MILWAUKEE [C] - Over 194.5

    Atlanta / MIAMI [A] - Over 188

     
     
    robwalton
    robwalton
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 723
    Posted: Mar. 7, 2010 - 1:54 PM ET #125

    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    55-2 since being posted            108-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [D], MIL [D], LAL [B]

    Games for today

    LAKERS [B] / Orlando - Over 197

    WASHINGTON [D] / Boston - Over 193

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User

    For those who are following

    53-1 before this thread started

    55-2 since being posted            108-3 overall record

    Pending Series

    WAS [D], MIL [D], LAL [B]

    Games for today

    LAKERS [B] / Orlando - Over 197

    WASHINGTON [D] / Boston - Over 193

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