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NBA Chase for 2/20

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Posts: 5
 
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Joined: Apr, 2012
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Posted: #1
Just started looking into finding chases and streaks and found this one that starts tomorrow:

One team is on a 5 game ATS winning streak.
3 games ago this team covered the spread by 1 point to 13 points.
2 games ago this team covered the spread by 4 points to 13.5 points.
Last game this team covered the spread by less than 12 points.
Look to chase against this team ATS for the next 3 games.

Since 2004 the "A bet" in this scenario is 45-21 ATS.
The "B bet" is 11-10.
And the "C bet" is 6-4.

Toronto fits these criterion perfectly for tomorrow against Memphis and an A bet would go on the Griz.

Not really looking to do anything further with this just throwing it out there if anyone wants it. BOL whether you do or you don't.

CAP 
 
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Posted: #2
The link for anyone who cares:

https://killersports.com/nba.py/query?sid=guest&text=ats+streak+%3D+5+and+ppp%3Aats+margin+%3E+.5+and+ppp%3Aats+margin+%3C+13.5+and+pp%3Aats+margin+%3E+3.5+and+pp%3Aats+margin+%3C+14+and+p%3Aats+margin+%3C+12+and+season+%3E+2004&submit=query
 
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Posted: #3
Yay.
 
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Posted: #4
bcap, great find, however, it is my belief that for a chase, you must hit better than 55% for each bet in the long run. The A game if superb, but the B and C games seem to lack a little.......

you are risking a little over 8 units to win 1 while playing this as a chase. You end up winning about 33 units if risking 8.26 to win 1.
Playing straight up only A games, risking 8.26 to win 7.5 you win over 150 units.
 
 
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Posted: #5
Alright man thanks for the tip. I haven't looked too much into them like I said just wanted to throw that out there. Will do some more research though and hopefully find something worth taking a look at.
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