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....Little Dawgs & BIG Favorites...

...
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Posts: 9
 
Veteran
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Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 1636
Posted: #1
Here is the update as of 16May09.....
 
Since April 6,  I have been following .....
I am posting this on 17May09
 
All Dawg Plays (+110 to +130) 87wins- 78losses=
                                                 53% winners
 
     Home Dawgs (+110 to +130)....25wins-20 losses= 56%
 
     Road Dawgs (+110 to +130)....62wins-58losses= 52%
 
All Big Favs Plays ( -180 or more) 31wins- 9losses=
                                                  78% winners
 
     Home Favs (-180 or more) 30wins-8 loss= 79%
 
     Road Favs (-180 or more) 1win-1 loss= 50%
 
.... ...................
 
April 25...7-0  +8.19 units
April 26...0-3  -4.31 units
April 27...3-0  +4.24 units
April 28...2-3   -0.59units
April 29...4-3   +0.67units
April 30...2-1   +1.13units
May 1....3-1   +2.2 units
May2...3-4     -2.06 units
May3...3-4     -0.68 units
May 4...4-3     +0.46units
May 5...5-2     +3.74units
May6...3-1      +2.12units
May 7...2-2     +0.42units
May 8...4-2      +1.58units
May 9...2-4      -1.69units
May 10...2-4    -1.72units
May 11...1-1     -0.68units
May 12...2-5     -2.66 units
May 13...1-3    -1.78units
May 14...2-3   -0.61units
May 15...3-3     +0.12units
May 16...2-2     +0.12units..............+8.21 units total
 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 1636
Posted: #2

MLB Baseball Trends - Season to Date

Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)

Away Teams 246-297 45.30%
Home Teams 297-246 54.70%
Favorites 296-239 55.33%
Dogs 239-296 44.67%
Away Favorites 76-71 51.70%
Away Dogs 168-220 43.30%
Home Favorites 220-168 56.70%
Home Dogs 71-76 48.30%

Against The Spread Trends (ATS)

Away Teams 297-245 54.80%
Home Teams 245-297 45.20%
Favorites 217-325 40.04%
Dogs 325-217 59.96%
Away Favorites 59-87 40.41%
Away Dogs 238-158 60.10%
Home Favorites 158-238 39.90%
Home Dogs 87-59 59.59%

Over vs. Under Trends

Extra Inning Games 26 61.90% 16 38.10%
Non-Extra Inning Games 247 52.11% 227 47.89%
All Games 273 52.91% 243 47.09%
 
Veteran
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Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 1636
Posted: #3
....Betting ALL DAWGS....
 
...Wudda won 59.96% of all bets made....
 
 
Prospect
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Joined: May, 2003
Posts: 172
Posted: #4
gasman,do not use covers stats for moneyline sports. they are totally false.i've contacted them and they cannot tell me the formula they use to convert moneyline to ats spreads. heck, they have hockey underdogs hitting 64% over 1300 games which i know is not true. perhaps someone in this forum knows the correct numbers on mlb underdogs. keep up the good work!
 
Prospect
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Joined: Apr, 2003
Posts: 182
Posted: #5
thats fkng disturbing.

tater
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 15
Posted: #6
Was wondering what line do you base this on ? Covers or a offshore book or what if your in a 20cent book like bookmaker. thanks great info.
 
Rookie
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Joined: Oct, 2004
Posts: 683
Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by gasman33:

MLB Baseball Trends - Season to Date

Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)

Away Teams 246-297 45.30%
Home Teams 297-246 54.70%
Favorites 296-239 55.33%
Dogs 239-296 44.67%
Away Favorites 76-71 51.70%
Away Dogs 168-220 43.30%
Home Favorites 220-168 56.70%
Home Dogs 71-76 48.30%

Against The Spread Trends (ATS)

Away Teams 297-245 54.80%
Home Teams 245-297 45.20%
Favorites 217-325 40.04%
Dogs 325-217 59.96%
Away Favorites 59-87 40.41%
Away Dogs 238-158 60.10%
Home Favorites 158-238 39.90%
Home Dogs 87-59 59.59%

Over vs. Under Trends

Extra Inning Games 26 61.90% 16 38.10%
Non-Extra Inning Games 247 52.11% 227 47.89%
All Games 273 52.91% 243 47.09%
what site did you get this from?
 
Prospect
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Joined: May, 2003
Posts: 172
Posted: #8
COVERS TRENDS.ITS AMAZING HOW PEOPLE ARE ON THIS SITE AND HAVE NO IDEA HOW TO NAVIGATE
 
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jun, 2008
Posts: 72
Posted: #9
Covers stats database is just fine.  The 59% on the dogs is Against The Spread.... the +1.5 Runline (ATS).  59% of the time the team getting 1 and a half runs covers.
 
The moneyline (straight up wins) is right around 45%.
 
I'm tracking this independently myself.  Both stats are pretty much right on.
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