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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    How I Made $72,000 in 2008 - FREE System

    «First Previous 123 ... 567
    elithepunk
    SUPEREAGLE43
    sports_Network
    fisherton
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    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2009 - 12:23 PM ET #151

    Quote Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43:

    Anyone with 9 or more wins, all the way up to the #1 guy with however many wins he may have.  Each day I reset and fade. Doesnt matter whether they won or lost the day before.  Each day I start all over.  I dont even look at the names, only the numbers.  The worst day so far was 1-8.  The best day so far was 19-4.  Unfortunately, I have not taken advantage of this.  I am beginning to wonder if ColDave's system is just gonna hover around 50%. 
     


    Gotcha. Interesting. Never thought of looking at those survivor picks. Gotta keep in mind someone ( or a couple of people ) could get up to 20 once in a while and so that's gonna put a dent in the overall record. But, depending on the volume of picks, it could be something to look out for before it evens out.  Any idea of the average odds or you're just keeping track of the picks?
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    Quote Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43:

    Anyone with 9 or more wins, all the way up to the #1 guy with however many wins he may have.  Each day I reset and fade. Doesnt matter whether they won or lost the day before.  Each day I start all over.  I dont even look at the names, only the numbers.  The worst day so far was 1-8.  The best day so far was 19-4.  Unfortunately, I have not taken advantage of this.  I am beginning to wonder if ColDave's system is just gonna hover around 50%. 
     


    Gotcha. Interesting. Never thought of looking at those survivor picks. Gotta keep in mind someone ( or a couple of people ) could get up to 20 once in a while and so that's gonna put a dent in the overall record. But, depending on the volume of picks, it could be something to look out for before it evens out.  Any idea of the average odds or you're just keeping track of the picks?
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2009 - 12:24 PM ET #152

    shit - posted in the quote

    Gotcha. Interesting. Never thought of looking at those survivor picks. Gotta keep in mind someone ( or a couple of people ) could get up to 20 once in a while and so that's gonna put a dent in the overall record. But, depending on the volume of picks, it could be something to look out for before it evens out.  Any idea of the average odds or you're just keeping track of the picks?
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    shit - posted in the quote

    Gotcha. Interesting. Never thought of looking at those survivor picks. Gotta keep in mind someone ( or a couple of people ) could get up to 20 once in a while and so that's gonna put a dent in the overall record. But, depending on the volume of picks, it could be something to look out for before it evens out.  Any idea of the average odds or you're just keeping track of the picks?
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2009 - 9:24 PM ET #153

    Just keeping track of the picks.  If you look at the Survivor All-Stars you will see that only about fifty people in ten years have even been above fifteen straight winners.  I think only 3 or so have eclipsed 20.  Those numbers may not be exact, but are close.  Its probably worth the risk to run a chase on every contestant that reaches fifteen wins, but chase's scare the crap out of me after two losses.
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    Just keeping track of the picks.  If you look at the Survivor All-Stars you will see that only about fifty people in ten years have even been above fifteen straight winners.  I think only 3 or so have eclipsed 20.  Those numbers may not be exact, but are close.  Its probably worth the risk to run a chase on every contestant that reaches fifteen wins, but chase's scare the crap out of me after two losses.
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Apr. 20, 2009 - 3:25 AM ET #154

    Quote Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43:

    Just keeping track of the picks.  If you look at the Survivor All-Stars you will see that only about fifty people in ten years have even been above fifteen straight winners.  I think only 3 or so have eclipsed 20.  Those numbers may not be exact, but are close.  Its probably worth the risk to run a chase on every contestant that reaches fifteen wins, but chase's scare the crap out of me after two losses.

               been their, done that already, and found, (after reviewing thousands of Survivor particapants) the majority of losses occur after reaching the # 12..seldom is 13 ever seen. even though this is a contest, and can't be taken serious, from a handicapp perspective, the equation is still their, (12) and you have no choice, but to fade the next pick; regardless. As you know Survivor is limited, with line restrictions, and games offered. If you pick your "spots" their is a possibility of temporary success, very limited, "chasing" numbers of contest particapants, without any form of cappin' involved, would be ludicrous..i am sure you recognize the fact, that chasing requires doubling-up, all based on a mere number, and nothing else, puts you in a high risk category. Try some experiments, pull 4 plays a day for 10 days, and see what happens after 40 plays, also include "units wagered" and some form of management..This will then explain, whether to proceed, or move on to another area.....

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    Quote Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43:

    Just keeping track of the picks.  If you look at the Survivor All-Stars you will see that only about fifty people in ten years have even been above fifteen straight winners.  I think only 3 or so have eclipsed 20.  Those numbers may not be exact, but are close.  Its probably worth the risk to run a chase on every contestant that reaches fifteen wins, but chase's scare the crap out of me after two losses.

               been their, done that already, and found, (after reviewing thousands of Survivor particapants) the majority of losses occur after reaching the # 12..seldom is 13 ever seen. even though this is a contest, and can't be taken serious, from a handicapp perspective, the equation is still their, (12) and you have no choice, but to fade the next pick; regardless. As you know Survivor is limited, with line restrictions, and games offered. If you pick your "spots" their is a possibility of temporary success, very limited, "chasing" numbers of contest particapants, without any form of cappin' involved, would be ludicrous..i am sure you recognize the fact, that chasing requires doubling-up, all based on a mere number, and nothing else, puts you in a high risk category. Try some experiments, pull 4 plays a day for 10 days, and see what happens after 40 plays, also include "units wagered" and some form of management..This will then explain, whether to proceed, or move on to another area.....

     
    fisherton
    fisherton
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 8:57 AM ET #155

    hey people - so i followed this for the past week - started Friday April 17th up to & including Thursday April 23rd - just betting against the wagerline survivor picks by players on a 9 game winning streak or more - record for the week > 23 -9 > not bad
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    hey people - so i followed this for the past week - started Friday April 17th up to & including Thursday April 23rd - just betting against the wagerline survivor picks by players on a 9 game winning streak or more - record for the week > 23 -9 > not bad
     
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Apr. 24, 2009 - 11:10 AM ET #156

    Fisherton, had you done this the entire month you would be WAY up with the bankroll.  Be careful.  Its just to easy and is bound to go the opposite direction at some point I think.  If not everyone would be getting rich.  One day this month went 19-4. 
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    Fisherton, had you done this the entire month you would be WAY up with the bankroll.  Be careful.  Its just to easy and is bound to go the opposite direction at some point I think.  If not everyone would be getting rich.  One day this month went 19-4. 
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