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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Experimenting with a new under / over MLB system

    psic_sports
    GameBoy7o2
    pdg893
    jv040
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    psic_sports
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2009 - 10:25 AM ET #1

    I've been researching a new totals system for MLB and it looks very promising on the past research and the current year (60+%) However, as many of you know....it always looks great on paper until you play it or post it so what I thought I'd do is post it for the remainder of MLB 2009 and see where it stands in the end.....maybe it's total junk but at least I'll know

    7/6/09 - 3 Totals

    Fla / San Fran UNDER 8
    Texas  / LA Angels UNDER 8.5
    Baltimore / Seattle UNDER 8

    YTD - 0-0
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I've been researching a new totals system for MLB and it looks very promising on the past research and the current year (60+%) However, as many of you know....it always looks great on paper until you play it or post it so what I thought I'd do is post it for the remainder of MLB 2009 and see where it stands in the end.....maybe it's total junk but at least I'll know

    7/6/09 - 3 Totals

    Fla / San Fran UNDER 8
    Texas  / LA Angels UNDER 8.5
    Baltimore / Seattle UNDER 8

    YTD - 0-0
     
    psic_sports
    psic_sports
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2009 - 12:00 PM ET #2

    Quote Originally Posted by psic_sports:

    I've been researching a new totals system for MLB and it looks very promising on the past research and the current year (60+%) However, as many of you know....it always looks great on paper until you play it or post it so what I thought I'd do is post it for the remainder of MLB 2009 and see where it stands in the end.....maybe it's total junk but at least I'll know

    7/6/09 - 3 Totals

    Fla / San Fran UNDER 8
    Texas  / LA Angels UNDER 8.5
    Baltimore / Seattle UNDER 8

    YTD - 0-0

    To clarify and make simple we'll assume a $100 wager and here are the lines I was able to get.

    Fla / San Fran UNDER 8+105
    Texas  / LA Angels UNDER 8.5+105
    Baltimore / Seattle UNDER 8-EVEN

    This way no one will be confused by records or +/- Money

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    Quote Originally Posted by psic_sports:

    I've been researching a new totals system for MLB and it looks very promising on the past research and the current year (60+%) However, as many of you know....it always looks great on paper until you play it or post it so what I thought I'd do is post it for the remainder of MLB 2009 and see where it stands in the end.....maybe it's total junk but at least I'll know

    7/6/09 - 3 Totals

    Fla / San Fran UNDER 8
    Texas  / LA Angels UNDER 8.5
    Baltimore / Seattle UNDER 8

    YTD - 0-0

    To clarify and make simple we'll assume a $100 wager and here are the lines I was able to get.

    Fla / San Fran UNDER 8+105
    Texas  / LA Angels UNDER 8.5+105
    Baltimore / Seattle UNDER 8-EVEN

    This way no one will be confused by records or +/- Money

     
    GameBoy7o2
    GameBoy7o2
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2009 - 12:57 PM ET #3

    just curious on what your basing this on?
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    just curious on what your basing this on?
     
    psic_sports
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2009 - 4:11 PM ET #4

    Well actually it's kind of a hybrid but when I work out all the kinks I'll let you know.  It's based on a formula I used very successfully in NCAA Baskets Totals.   Posting here will help because it's not like just doing it in your head or on paper.  We'll see how it does in the real world now.
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    Well actually it's kind of a hybrid but when I work out all the kinks I'll let you know.  It's based on a formula I used very successfully in NCAA Baskets Totals.   Posting here will help because it's not like just doing it in your head or on paper.  We'll see how it does in the real world now.
     
    psic_sports
    psic_sports
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2009 - 1:17 AM ET #5

    First a real heart felt F*CK Y** to Mr Wilson of the Giants who took a perfectly solid 2-1 day and transformed it into a 1-2.  That's the joy of totals....Wilson is Nuke Lalouche....a million dollar arm....10 cent head.

    Tuesday July 7th - 2 Totals

    Cleveland / White Sox UNDER 9 +105(If you wait long enough you can probably get this one at 9.5)

    Baltimore / Seattle UNDER 8 -115

    Money Managment - No matter what you play, the money management is probably more important than your system.
    I'm going to use the Labourchere since most of the bets will be at + money or even I'll be able to maximize the profits.

    Current Line: 50-50-50-50-100

    Risking 150 on White Sox under 9
    Risking 150 on Seattle under 8

    YTD (1-2) -$100


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    First a real heart felt F*CK Y** to Mr Wilson of the Giants who took a perfectly solid 2-1 day and transformed it into a 1-2.  That's the joy of totals....Wilson is Nuke Lalouche....a million dollar arm....10 cent head.

    Tuesday July 7th - 2 Totals

    Cleveland / White Sox UNDER 9 +105(If you wait long enough you can probably get this one at 9.5)

    Baltimore / Seattle UNDER 8 -115

    Money Managment - No matter what you play, the money management is probably more important than your system.
    I'm going to use the Labourchere since most of the bets will be at + money or even I'll be able to maximize the profits.

    Current Line: 50-50-50-50-100

    Risking 150 on White Sox under 9
    Risking 150 on Seattle under 8

    YTD (1-2) -$100


     
    psic_sports
    psic_sports
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    Posted: Jul. 7, 2009 - 10:55 PM ET #6

    This could end up being the greatest FADE thread EVER....even bigger than FADING LANG!!!   A solid 0-2 yesterday.   Even though it's only the 2nd inning as I'm writing this I'm assuming that Baltimore / Seattle is going over 8 with 5 in the first.   I'd love to be wrong but it's not looking like that kind of game.

    No I'm not worried....you almost expect that when you track something for so long and then decide to play it that this would happen.


    Wedneday July 8th - NO QUALIFYING PLAYS


    Current Line: 50-50-50-50-100-150-150

    YTD (1-4) -$400
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    This could end up being the greatest FADE thread EVER....even bigger than FADING LANG!!!   A solid 0-2 yesterday.   Even though it's only the 2nd inning as I'm writing this I'm assuming that Baltimore / Seattle is going over 8 with 5 in the first.   I'd love to be wrong but it's not looking like that kind of game.

    No I'm not worried....you almost expect that when you track something for so long and then decide to play it that this would happen.


    Wedneday July 8th - NO QUALIFYING PLAYS


    Current Line: 50-50-50-50-100-150-150

    YTD (1-4) -$400
     
    pdg893
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2009 - 11:18 AM ET #7

    tod i am sure if it is coming from you it will be a huge fade
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    tod i am sure if it is coming from you it will be a huge fade
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2009 - 11:35 AM ET #8

    hey tod I'm sure things will turn around. keep the plays comming.
    BOL
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    hey tod I'm sure things will turn around. keep the plays comming.
    BOL
     
    psic_sports
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    Posted: Jul. 9, 2009 - 11:11 PM ET #9

    I am very sorry I got caught away from the computer today working on a project....There were two plays.....Under 8 with Toronto and Under 7 With San Diego / San Fran......Both are off

    Toronto under was a winner but the other is in the 3rd.   I'll be sure to post overnight so that doesn't happen....I'm obviously not going to count and + money on wins as that isn't fair since I didn't post in time.
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    I am very sorry I got caught away from the computer today working on a project....There were two plays.....Under 8 with Toronto and Under 7 With San Diego / San Fran......Both are off

    Toronto under was a winner but the other is in the 3rd.   I'll be sure to post overnight so that doesn't happen....I'm obviously not going to count and + money on wins as that isn't fair since I didn't post in time.
     
    psic_sports
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    Posted: Jul. 10, 2009 - 12:14 AM ET #10

    The two from yesterday split.
    Ok here we go for Fridays Totals and we have 2 the Qualify

    Friday 7/10/09

    Cleveland  / Detroit UNDER 8.5
    Florida / Arizona UNDER 8

    YTD ( 2-5) -400

    As to not take up a bunch of thread space with the labourchere I'm just going to put a link to my google doc where I'm following with both the Labourchere and the "unbeatable system" 

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=r9NOkMtJZZAb3q0FXuCP9Ug
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    The two from yesterday split.
    Ok here we go for Fridays Totals and we have 2 the Qualify

    Friday 7/10/09

    Cleveland  / Detroit UNDER 8.5
    Florida / Arizona UNDER 8

    YTD ( 2-5) -400

    As to not take up a bunch of thread space with the labourchere I'm just going to put a link to my google doc where I'm following with both the Labourchere and the "unbeatable system" 

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=r9NOkMtJZZAb3q0FXuCP9Ug
     
    psic_sports
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 10:31 AM ET #11

    Ok, not too bad yesterday....a win and a push.

    Today there are no qualifying plays...


    Saturday  7/11/09

    NO PLAYS

    YTD ( 3-5) -200
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    Ok, not too bad yesterday....a win and a push.

    Today there are no qualifying plays...


    Saturday  7/11/09

    NO PLAYS

    YTD ( 3-5) -200
     
     
    psic_sports
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2009 - 2:26 PM ET #12

    I am also testing a WNBA Totals program i've been working on so I'm moving this to a thread that will be titled

    MLB / WNBA Totals Experiment

    This way I won't have to clog up this site with two threads
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    I am also testing a WNBA Totals program i've been working on so I'm moving this to a thread that will be titled

    MLB / WNBA Totals Experiment

    This way I won't have to clog up this site with two threads
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