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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    ESPN Insider Picks

    hoop121
    elithepunk
    manifesto
    rman1049
    King-of-the-NFL
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 846
    Posts: 14
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 200
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 11:40 AM ET #1

    I'm new to sports gambling and i've been reading everything I can on systems and money management and such. I've seen some crazy swings in my P&L, but it's finally starting to tame out and I'm seeing decent returns. i do not research many of my own picks, but I rather use other peoples picks that I feel are good handicappers or fade those that are hot. One tool that I've used the past week has been the Score simulator that ESPN has for it's Insider subscription holders. So far their ML's are hitting on 60%, which is pretty good in itself. But their "Highest Probability" pick has been hitting at 74% for the past week! What I consider the "Highest Probability" pick is the highest percentage play out of the 3 categories they provide. They are the spread, which is either +1.5 or -1.5, the total, and the moneyline. 

    I'm waiting until I get a 100 game sample before I start throwing money at this. But I just wanted to mention this to you guys and offer something to the table instead of just reading everybody else's great ideas.

    Also, if any of you are making a decent return on your investments and would like to take an up and coming gamer under your wing and offer some tips then please PM me. I'm in this for the long run and want to protect my principal investment as much as possible.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I'm new to sports gambling and i've been reading everything I can on systems and money management and such. I've seen some crazy swings in my P&L, but it's finally starting to tame out and I'm seeing decent returns. i do not research many of my own picks, but I rather use other peoples picks that I feel are good handicappers or fade those that are hot. One tool that I've used the past week has been the Score simulator that ESPN has for it's Insider subscription holders. So far their ML's are hitting on 60%, which is pretty good in itself. But their "Highest Probability" pick has been hitting at 74% for the past week! What I consider the "Highest Probability" pick is the highest percentage play out of the 3 categories they provide. They are the spread, which is either +1.5 or -1.5, the total, and the moneyline. 

    I'm waiting until I get a 100 game sample before I start throwing money at this. But I just wanted to mention this to you guys and offer something to the table instead of just reading everybody else's great ideas.

    Also, if any of you are making a decent return on your investments and would like to take an up and coming gamer under your wing and offer some tips then please PM me. I'm in this for the long run and want to protect my principal investment as much as possible.
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2007
    Posts: 3552
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 11:45 AM ET #2

    how much did it cost you to subscribe to their services?
    Reply
    how much did it cost you to subscribe to their services?
     
    manifesto
    manifesto
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 763
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 1:02 PM ET #3

    $10.95 mnth and you  get MLB TV
     
    please send a link to the score simulator
    Reply
    $10.95 mnth and you  get MLB TV
     
    please send a link to the score simulator
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 200
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 1:39 PM ET #4

    Score Simulator
    Reply
    Score Simulator
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 200
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 1:40 PM ET #5

    my subscription was 49.95 total for 2 years and it gets you the ESPN the magazine as well.
    Reply
    my subscription was 49.95 total for 2 years and it gets you the ESPN the magazine as well.
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 200
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 6:09 PM ET #6

    the "highest probability" system is currently on a  7 game winning streak and is 64-22 overall. 
    Reply
    the "highest probability" system is currently on a  7 game winning streak and is 64-22 overall. 
     
    rman1049
    rman1049
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2009
    Posts: 278
    Posted: Apr. 18, 2009 - 7:45 AM ET #7

    Does the score simulator produce numbers for all sports?


    Reply
    Does the score simulator produce numbers for all sports?


     
    manifesto
    manifesto
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 763
    Posted: Apr. 18, 2009 - 11:24 AM ET #8

    Hoop - I signed up for the free 30 day trial.   I am not seeing where you are getting the ML, total and spread percentages to come up with your "highest probability" picks...pickcenter for each game just shows percentage and projected total...
    Reply
    Hoop - I signed up for the free 30 day trial.   I am not seeing where you are getting the ML, total and spread percentages to come up with your "highest probability" picks...pickcenter for each game just shows percentage and projected total...
     
    manifesto
    manifesto
    Rookie
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    Posts: 763
    Posted: Apr. 18, 2009 - 11:39 AM ET #9

    Hoop, never mind I figured it out...it does not post until near game time I guess
    Reply
    Hoop, never mind I figured it out...it does not post until near game time I guess
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 200
    Posted: Apr. 18, 2009 - 12:19 PM ET #10

    yeah, i thin they run the simulator for all games about 1 to 2 hours before the first game.

    rman, i've seen them simulate hockey and basketball so far. but not playoff games yet. 
    Reply
    yeah, i thin they run the simulator for all games about 1 to 2 hours before the first game.

    rman, i've seen them simulate hockey and basketball so far. but not playoff games yet. 
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 200
    Posted: Apr. 18, 2009 - 12:23 PM ET #11

    i take that back. they do have it for basketball.

    baseball was 7-8 for highest probability yesterday. by far the worst day i've seen. so far it's still around 66%. however, these are all heavily juiced.

    the moneyline picks yesterday were 10-5. 
    Reply
    i take that back. they do have it for basketball.

    baseball was 7-8 for highest probability yesterday. by far the worst day i've seen. so far it's still around 66%. however, these are all heavily juiced.

    the moneyline picks yesterday were 10-5. 
     
    King-of-the-NFL
    King-of-the-NFL
    Covers Rehab
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2008
    Posts: 380
    Posted: Apr. 30, 2009 - 3:24 PM ET #12

    So can't you put the juice in consideration and see if it's worth it. FORGET percentage wins when dealing with ML.
     
     
    Reply
    So can't you put the juice in consideration and see if it's worth it. FORGET percentage wins when dealing with ML.
     
     
     
    Mgutmans02
    Mgutmans02
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2008
    Posts: 1037
    Posted: Apr. 30, 2009 - 3:33 PM ET #13

    hoop...can you post the plays or send them to me in a PM?
    Reply
    hoop...can you post the plays or send them to me in a PM?
     
     
    06lochie
    06lochie
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2009
    Posts: 497
    Posted: May. 8, 2009 - 12:52 AM ET #14

    has anyone been following this?
    Reply
    has anyone been following this?
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