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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    ESPN Insider Picks

    hoop121
    elithepunk
    manifesto
    rman1049
    King-of-the-NFL
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 846
    Posts: 14
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
    Prospect
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    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 200
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 11:40 AM ET #1

    I'm new to sports gambling and i've been reading everything I can on systems and money management and such. I've seen some crazy swings in my P&L, but it's finally starting to tame out and I'm seeing decent returns. i do not research many of my own picks, but I rather use other peoples picks that I feel are good handicappers or fade those that are hot. One tool that I've used the past week has been the Score simulator that ESPN has for it's Insider subscription holders. So far their ML's are hitting on 60%, which is pretty good in itself. But their "Highest Probability" pick has been hitting at 74% for the past week! What I consider the "Highest Probability" pick is the highest percentage play out of the 3 categories they provide. They are the spread, which is either +1.5 or -1.5, the total, and the moneyline. 

    I'm waiting until I get a 100 game sample before I start throwing money at this. But I just wanted to mention this to you guys and offer something to the table instead of just reading everybody else's great ideas.

    Also, if any of you are making a decent return on your investments and would like to take an up and coming gamer under your wing and offer some tips then please PM me. I'm in this for the long run and want to protect my principal investment as much as possible.
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I'm new to sports gambling and i've been reading everything I can on systems and money management and such. I've seen some crazy swings in my P&L, but it's finally starting to tame out and I'm seeing decent returns. i do not research many of my own picks, but I rather use other peoples picks that I feel are good handicappers or fade those that are hot. One tool that I've used the past week has been the Score simulator that ESPN has for it's Insider subscription holders. So far their ML's are hitting on 60%, which is pretty good in itself. But their "Highest Probability" pick has been hitting at 74% for the past week! What I consider the "Highest Probability" pick is the highest percentage play out of the 3 categories they provide. They are the spread, which is either +1.5 or -1.5, the total, and the moneyline. 

    I'm waiting until I get a 100 game sample before I start throwing money at this. But I just wanted to mention this to you guys and offer something to the table instead of just reading everybody else's great ideas.

    Also, if any of you are making a decent return on your investments and would like to take an up and coming gamer under your wing and offer some tips then please PM me. I'm in this for the long run and want to protect my principal investment as much as possible.
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posts: 3552
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 11:45 AM ET #2

    how much did it cost you to subscribe to their services?
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    how much did it cost you to subscribe to their services?
     
    manifesto
    manifesto
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    Posts: 763
    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 1:02 PM ET #3

    $10.95 mnth and you  get MLB TV
     
    please send a link to the score simulator
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    $10.95 mnth and you  get MLB TV
     
    please send a link to the score simulator
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 1:39 PM ET #4

    Score Simulator
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    Score Simulator
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 1:40 PM ET #5

    my subscription was 49.95 total for 2 years and it gets you the ESPN the magazine as well.
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    my subscription was 49.95 total for 2 years and it gets you the ESPN the magazine as well.
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2009 - 6:09 PM ET #6

    the "highest probability" system is currently on a  7 game winning streak and is 64-22 overall. 
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    the "highest probability" system is currently on a  7 game winning streak and is 64-22 overall. 
     
    rman1049
    rman1049
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    Posts: 278
    Posted: Apr. 18, 2009 - 7:45 AM ET #7

    Does the score simulator produce numbers for all sports?


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    Does the score simulator produce numbers for all sports?


     
    manifesto
    manifesto
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2009 - 11:24 AM ET #8

    Hoop - I signed up for the free 30 day trial.   I am not seeing where you are getting the ML, total and spread percentages to come up with your "highest probability" picks...pickcenter for each game just shows percentage and projected total...
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    Hoop - I signed up for the free 30 day trial.   I am not seeing where you are getting the ML, total and spread percentages to come up with your "highest probability" picks...pickcenter for each game just shows percentage and projected total...
     
    manifesto
    manifesto
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2009 - 11:39 AM ET #9

    Hoop, never mind I figured it out...it does not post until near game time I guess
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    Hoop, never mind I figured it out...it does not post until near game time I guess
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
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    Posts: 200
    Posted: Apr. 18, 2009 - 12:19 PM ET #10

    yeah, i thin they run the simulator for all games about 1 to 2 hours before the first game.

    rman, i've seen them simulate hockey and basketball so far. but not playoff games yet. 
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    yeah, i thin they run the simulator for all games about 1 to 2 hours before the first game.

    rman, i've seen them simulate hockey and basketball so far. but not playoff games yet. 
     
    hoop121
    hoop121
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    Posts: 200
    Posted: Apr. 18, 2009 - 12:23 PM ET #11

    i take that back. they do have it for basketball.

    baseball was 7-8 for highest probability yesterday. by far the worst day i've seen. so far it's still around 66%. however, these are all heavily juiced.

    the moneyline picks yesterday were 10-5. 
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    i take that back. they do have it for basketball.

    baseball was 7-8 for highest probability yesterday. by far the worst day i've seen. so far it's still around 66%. however, these are all heavily juiced.

    the moneyline picks yesterday were 10-5. 
     
    King-of-the-NFL
    King-of-the-NFL
    Covers Rehab
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2008
    Posts: 380
    Posted: Apr. 30, 2009 - 3:24 PM ET #12

    So can't you put the juice in consideration and see if it's worth it. FORGET percentage wins when dealing with ML.
     
     
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    So can't you put the juice in consideration and see if it's worth it. FORGET percentage wins when dealing with ML.
     
     
     
    Mgutmans02
    Mgutmans02
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    Posts: 1037
    Posted: Apr. 30, 2009 - 3:33 PM ET #13

    hoop...can you post the plays or send them to me in a PM?
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    hoop...can you post the plays or send them to me in a PM?
     
     
    06lochie
    06lochie
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    Posts: 497
    Posted: May. 8, 2009 - 12:52 AM ET #14

    has anyone been following this?
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    has anyone been following this?
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